NFL Picks: Bengals Props Bets For Thursday Night Against Browns

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, November 4, 2015 11:31 PM GMT

Cincinnati is one of four unbeaten teams left in the NFL. And Cincy is a big home favorite Thursday vs. the Browns to improve to 8-0. Here are some Bengals player props from various sportsbooks.

The Bengals won in Pittsburgh last week 16-10 to improve to 7-0 for the first time in franchise history. And that gave Cincinnati a 3.5-game lead over the second-place Steelers (4-4), not to mention an early head-to-head tiebreaker. Considering that Pittsburgh lost All-Pro running back Le'Veon Bell to a season-ending injury last week and with how bad the Browns and Ravens are, the Bengals might clinch the AFC North by the end of this month.

Cincinnati is a huge -5000 favorite on Bovada's NFL odds to win the North for the second time this decade. We know how the Bengals have fared in the wild-card round the past few seasons so they need to get home-field advantage to have a shot at winning the AFC. Cincinnati should be 9-0 when it visits Arizona in Week 11, a game flexed to Sunday night. The only other team left on the Bengals' schedule currently with a winning record is at unbeaten Denver in Week 16. That could be huge for the No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the AFC depending on what New England does.

 

Andy Dalton 'Over/Under' 21.5 Completions, 262.5 Passing Yards, 2 TD Passes

Dalton Longest Completion: O/U 40.5

Will Dalton Throw a Pick: Yes -165, No +130
Dalton is having his best season and might be the MVP leader in many other years but that award is easily Tom Brady's to lose now. Dalton entered Week 8's game at Pittsburgh atop the NFL's rating list but he struggled a bit, going 22-for-38 (worst completion percentage of season) for 231 yards and two interceptions, his first multi-interception game of the season. Dalton came up big when it mattered, hitting star receiver A.J. Green on the go-ahead 9-yard touchdown pass with just under three minutes left. It was Dalton's 23rd career road win. It  may shock you to learn that's tied for the most of any quarterback in NFL history through his first five seasons with former Dolphin Dan Marino, Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger and Atlanta's Matt Ryan. Only Big Ben has won a Super Bowl.

This game is one of five remaining for Dalton in prime-time during the regular season. And that might be a problem. In his career, Dalton has a record of 44-16-1 with 103 touchdowns and 59 interceptions in games that start before 7 p.m. ET. In those that start after, Dalton is just 3-7 with 11 touchdowns and 11 picks. One of Dalton's worst prime-time games was in Week 10 last year at home against these Browns, where he was just 10-for-33 for 86 yards and three interceptions (a rating of 2.0) in a 24-3 upset loss. Dalton also struggled vs. the Browns in a 30-0 win in Cleveland later in the season. The Browns are going to be without arguably the two best members of their secondary in Pro Bowl cornerback Joe Haden and hard-hitting safety Donte Whitner. Both left Sunday’s 34-20 home loss to the Cardinals in the third quarter and were diagnosed with concussions.

NFL Picks: 'Under' all and Dalton doesn't throw a pick. The Browns can't stop the run so Cincinnati won't need Dalton to throw much. Plus the Bengals could get out to a big early lead and go conservative.

 

A.J. Green O/U 6 Receptions, 83.5 Yards, -130 To Score a TD
Probably no player in this game will benefit more from Haden being sidelined than A.J. Green, one of the NFL's top receivers. Haden will likely be replaced by second-year cornerback Pierre Desir. That's quite a downgrade. Green has 46 catches for 649 yards and four touchdowns. He had 11 catches for 118 yards and that TD last week vs. Pittsburgh. It was his second game this season with  at least 10 catches and that many yards. But in the other five, Green never was targeted more than seven times. Since entering the league four years ago, Green has 135 catches for 1,971 yards and 14 touchdowns against AFC North foes. In the past five games vs. the division, he has 45 catches for 700 yards and four scores. Dalton was very quiet in the two games vs. Cleveland last year so Green was too.

NFL Picks: 'Over' both and he will score.