NFL Picks: Bears vs. Steelers Opening Odds

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, September 17, 2013 6:11 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 17, 2013 6:11 PM UTC

After losing to the Bengals on Monday night, the Steelers head back home to play the Bears in another primetime showdown, this time with the Chicago Bears.

Read Week Three's NFL Betting Odds Report for an early edge in this week's games!

The NFL odds were late coming out because of the Monday night game, but Chicago is a -2.5 road favorite, with a total of 40 points. I think there could be some early week value in these odds, so let’s take a brief look back before beginning to break down this matchup.

Comeback Cutty

The Bears’ Jay Cutler is known for a lot of things, but not a lot of them are positive. However after two weeks of 2013, he is beginning to grow a reputation of being a comeback kid. Twice now he has lead game winning drives in the 4th quarter, and the Bears are 2-0 SU because of it.

Heading into Pittsburgh won’t be easy, and one of the other things Cutler is known for is being somewhat inconsistent. Even though these two games are a nice start, the Steelers’ defense is no joke, especially when playing on the road. Sportsbooks may want bettors to lay the few points with Chicago in this game, although the Steelers have not looked good so far this season.

Steel drapes

Pittsburgh is up against some big problems, and the Bears are likely not the team to solve them against. Chicago is one of those teams that you need it all put together in order to beat them, and that’s why the Steelers come into this game as +2.5 underdogs in the betting odds. The Steelers only put up 10 points against the Bengals this past week, and now on short rest, they are going to have to build on some things from last week.

On the bright side, the Steelers' offensive line did a little better job of keeping Ben Roethlisberger upright. However, that area is still an issue, as is their running game. Although it’s tough to run on the Bears to begin with, the Steelers are going to have to be able to keep the ball on the ground. They have turned to Felix Jones for this, because no tailback on their roster seems to be effective until LeVeon Bell comes back, however there is no guarantee that he will be effective.

Right now, I have to give my early lean to the Bears in this game, but a more lucrative sports pick might be their team total, which will surely be not much more than 20 points. Chicago’s offense has gotten a lot better this offseason, and I think while the Steelers may be slightly undervalued in the spread, the Bears are very undervalued in this total.

Obviously the Steelers’ defense will get better being back at home, but right now the Steelers are ranked 25th in the NFL against the run through 2 games. With Matt Forte to worry about, the Bears’ many receiving weapons will be running loose. I could easily see Chicago winning this game easily if they can get some early scoring. 21 or more points should be attainable for your NFL picks.


Talk regular season football on SBRForum's NFL message boards!

Get my Spread Pick here as well!

comment here