Monday Night Football for Week 9 should be only a slightly downgraded version of one of the game’s best rivalries, as the banged up Bears head into Lambeau Field to play their NFC North foe, the Packers. Even though this game is still just under a week away, the NFL Odds for this one favor the Packers anywhere from -10 ½ to -12, with a total of just under 50 points. Neither one of these teams are the model of health right now, but the Bears are coming off of a bye week, so will that give them any added value?
Check out SBRs NFL Week 9 Betting Odds Report
Cutler-less with cheese
Jay Cutler will miss this game and probably a couple more after it, and the Bears will be forced to start Josh McKown in his place. McKown came on for Cutler after he tore his groin in he first half against the Redskins in Week 7, and he actually played ok. However Washington’s defense isn’t even close to what Green Bay’s is, but with all of their injuries, the Packers gave up 31 points to the Vikings this past week
However this week, the Packers have a good shot at getting back James Jones, another one of their banged up receivers. If Jones starts to practice this week, it will look good for his chances to play on Monday night. The Packers will need all the help they can get, because three out of their four starting linebackers were out against the Vikings, and Clay Matthews will not play in this game against the Bears.
The Bears have not been successful against the Packers recently, and without Cutler it’s going to make things even harder. The Bears are only 2-8 ATS and SU in their last ten games against Green Bay overall, and while Chicago is only 1-5-1 ATS this season, the Packers have been undervalued at 5-2 ATS.
Chicago’s defense is in shambles right now, as their defensive line, and linebackers all have major injuries. The Bears are giving up about 30 points per game, and their defense ranks in the bottom fourth in the NFL against both the run and pass. Chicago will be starting two rookies in this game at linebacker, and it is going be tough to stop the newfound run game behind Eddie Lacy in Green Bay.
The Bears are 0-5 ATS and SU in their last five games overall against the Packers, (they have lost six in a row SU) and in their last five trips to Green Bay, the Bears are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS.
If McKown can play well against the Packers, this game could be a shootout. The total of 49 ½ seems like a bargain at this point in the week, as both of these teams have been scoring about 30 points per game. It all depends on McKown for the value in this one. If he plays well, the Bears will cover and the total will surely go over 49 ½, however if he puts up a duck on Monday night, the Packers will win by two touchdowns, and the Bears will fall further in the standings after their 3-0 SU start. I see the line going upwards this week more towards -12 Packers, as the public or sharps won’t expect much from McKown on the road.
Make sure you check back later this week for my NFL picks on the spread for this game!