NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Monday, July 27, 2015 4:58 PM GMT

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the Baltimore Ravens.

 


The 2015 NFL season kicks off on Thursday night, September 10th, and in an attempt to help you with your NFL picks, we are presenting daily team profiles in advance of that season opener. Today we are profiling the Baltimore Ravens, who finished 10-6 in 2014 and in third place in the AFC North before advancing to the Divisional Round of the playoffs.

First, here is a summary of the Baltimore betting statistics over the past five seasons. Take note these stats are for regular season games only.

 

Baltimore Ravens Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home    Away    Overall  
ATS Overall  19-20-1    18-19-3    37-39-4   
ATS Favorite  17-16-1  10-10-1  27-26-2
ATS Underdog  2-3  8-8-2  10-11-2
Avg. Margin  +8.5  -0.4  +4.1
Over – Under  19-21  22-18  41-39
Avg. Total Score    42.6  42.4  42.5

 

If you want to talk about a middling team from a betting perspective, nothing really stands out in any of the Ravens’ splits over the last five years. One thing that is apparent is their strong home field advantage given their home AMOV of +8.5 points compared to an AMOV of -0.4 points on the road, but that has been factored in the line extremely well given the nondescript 19-20-1 ATS home mark.
Key Trend: Baltimore is 10-6, 62.5 percent ATS as a single-digit home favorite when coming off of a win.

Up next we take a look at the Ravens’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Baltimore Ravens Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  26.1  8th  19.7  7th
Rushin  122.3  9th  82.8  3rd
Yds. Per Rush    4.4  10th  3.5  3rd
Passing  242.1  13th  261.1  29th
Yds Per Pass  6.9  13th  6.8  17th
Total Yards  364.3  12th  343.9  12th
Yds. Per Play   5.8  10th  5.6  11th

 

The Ravens have long been a team known for defense, but the offense set a franchise record last season with 409 points scored and quarterback Joe Flacco threw for a career high 27 touchdowns while coming within 14 passing yards of 4,000. And although Baltimore finished third in the AFC North, the Ravens beat the first place Steelers when it mattered most in the Wild Card Playoffs before losing to the Super Bowl Champion Patriots in the Divisional Round.

And now we take a peek at various Baltimore Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Baltimore Ravens NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +2300  +1971  +2500  +2100
AFC Conf. Odds  +1000  +930  +1200  +800
AFC North Odds  +170  +139  +190  +160
Win Total  9 ov-135    9 ov-137  9 ov-125    9 ov-120  

 

The Ravens could be interesting sleepers this season as Flacco may surpass the 4000-yard passing mark the first time under new offensive coordinator Marc Trestman and the defensive secondary should be improved. And Baltimore is indeed the current favorite to win the AFC North Division, although it seems capable of much bigger things.

 

Baltimore Ravens Key Additions
The Ravens made a couple of key veteran additions to the secondary in safety Kendrick Lewis and cornerback Kyle Arrington, which was a weak spot after ranking 29th in the league in passing defense one year ago. And Baltimore improved the offensive passing game through the draft, talking a physically gifted freak of a wide receiver in Breshad Perriman and then tight end Maxx Williams, whom many considered a first-round talent, late in the second round.

Baltimore Ravens Key Losses
Some key departures from last season were wide receiver Torrey Smith, tight end Owen Daniels, running back RB Bernard Pierce and nose tackle Haloti Ngata. Smith and Daniels were replaced in the first two rounds of the draft though and Timmy Jernigan looked very strong filling in for Ngata while the latter was suspended during the second half of last season and should benefit from the experience. And Pierce will not be missed as long as Justin Forsett is healthy.