NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens Season Win Totals & Futures Odds to Win Super Bowl 50

Nikki Adams

Sunday, May 10, 2015 7:00 PM GMT

Baltimore Ravens projected season win totals have hit the books. Find out what benchmark is being set by the odds makers and how they stack up in NFL futures betting markets. 

Top Ten Betting Faves, Baltimore Ravens 
The Baltimore Ravens enter the NFL odds market as one of the top ten favorites to win outright. They are priced at +2200 to win Super Bowl 50 and at +900 to win the AFC Conference. The 2012 Super Bowl champions are notorious for elevating their play in the postseason, largely down to excellent coaching from John Harbaugh and the clutch play of Joe Flacco. Not for nothing, they are one of the teams to spot on the NFL odds board for the coming season.

 

Table 1: Super Bowl 50 Odds To Win Outright
(Odds Courtesy of Bet365

Seattle Seahawks +450
Green Bay Packers +650
New England Patriots +800
Indianapolis Colts +1000
Denver Broncos +1200
Dallas Cowboys +1800
Philadelphia Eagles +1800
Baltimore Ravens +2200
Pittsburgh Steelers +2500
Kansas City Chiefs +2800
Arizona Cardinals +2800
Miami Dolphins +2800
Cincinnati Bengals +3000
New York Giants +3000
San Diego Chargers +3300
Detroit Lions +3300
Carolina Panthers +3300
Buffalo Bills +3300
New Orleans Saints +4000
St. Louis Rams +4000
San Francisco 49ers  +4000
Atlanta Falcons +4000
Minnesota Vikings +4000
Chicago Bears +4000
Houston Texans +5000
New York Jets +6600
Cleveland Browns +8000
Washington Redskins +15000
Tennessee Titans +15000
Oakland Raiders +17500
Jacksonville Jaguars +17500

 

2014-2015 In Review
Last year, the Ravens defeated their divisional rivals Pittsburgh Steelers 30-17 in the first round of the NFL playoffs. Then they gave the Patriots a serious run for their money. They took it to the Patriots and, even, enjoyed the lead for the better part of the game before the Patriots rallied behind some heroic play from Tom Brady and gutsy calling by Bill Belichick and eked out the 35-31 victory. Tale told, it was a respectable account in the playoffs even if it ended rather abruptly.

This season, the Ravens will have a new look on offense. Ex-Bears head coach Marc Trestman is taking over the offensive coordinator role after Kubiak took the head coach opening in Denver. There's a lot to like about the Ravens and plenty of their core pieces including Justin Forsett are expected back next season.

It's a tough AFC North division. Arguably, one of the toughest in the NFL as evinced by the three-strong representation in the NFL playoffs: Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and Baltimore advanced (in that order) from the AFC Division. Appropriately, the NFL odds to win the AFC North are tightly packed with the Ravens matched as the +163 faves and the Steelers (+200) and Bengals (+240) nipping at their heels (Table 2).

The Ravens finished the regular season with a 10-6-0 SU mark, which included a 6-2 SU mark at home and a modest 4-4 SU mark on the road. In the AFC North, they went 3-3 SU against the field. In the Conference, they went 6-6 SU against the field.

 

Conference Division Odds: 

NFL Conference Division Odds: AFC East

New England Patriots Off the Board
Miami Dolphins Off the Board
Buffalo Bills Off the Board
New York Jets Off the Board

 

NFL Conference Division Odds: AFC North

Baltimore Orioles +163
Cincinnati Bengals +240
Pittsburgh Steelers +200
Cleveland Browns +900

 

NFL Conference Division Odds: AFC South

Indianapolis Colts -350
Houston Texans +350
Tennessee Titans +1400
Jacksonville Jaguars +2200

 

NFL Conference Division Odds: AFC West

Denver Broncos -200
Kansas City Chiefs +425
San Diego Chargers +350
Oakland Raiders +3000

 

Baltimore Ravens Projected Season Win Totals
Sportsbooks have released the projected season win totals for each and every team in the NFL. As it is, 9 wins on the season is the projected benchmark for the Ravens (Table 3), just a smidgen ahead of the Steelers and Bengals (both projected on an 8.5 season win total line).

Last season, the Ravens were projected on an 8.5 season win total; in part down to the modest 8-8-0 regular season finish in their title defence campaign in 2013. The Over was favored over the Under, however; what's more, we predicted the Ravens would finish Over the 8.5 point mark on our NFL picks and, even, suggested they would go 10-6-0 SU. We we're spot on with our NFL picks!

 

American Football Conference Projected Season Win Totals
(Odds Courtesy of WestGate LV Sportsbook)

AFC East Odds: Projected Season Win Totals 

New England Patriots 10.5
Miami Dolphins 9
Buffalo Bills 8.5
New York Jets 7

 

AFC North Odds: Projected Season Win Totals 

Baltimore Ravens 9
Cincinnati Bengals 8.5
Pittsburgh Steelers 8.5
Cleveland Browns 6.5

 

AFC South Odds: Projected Season Win Totals 

Indianapolis Colts 10.5
Houston Texans 8.5
Tennessee Titans 5.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5

 

AFC West Odds: Projected Season Win Totals

Denver Broncos 10
Kansas City Chiefs 8.5
San Diego Chargers 8
Oakland Raiders 5.5

 

Ravens and the AFC North Division
The Ravens have consistently hit .500 winning percentage or over since 2007, the last time they finished at the bottom of the AFC North pile. In the last five years, they clinched the division twice (2011 and 2012). They narrowly missed a third division title in 2010 after tying the Steelers 12-4-0 SU.

It's interesting to note that the Ravens' win column has declined over the last two years; that's a combination of several things, one of which is the improved competition in the division. Last season, serves as the best example with all four teams finishing above .500 (Table 4). Certainly, if that competitive trend extends into the coming season it's going to be another tight race down the stretch; not least it's going to be impossible to predict where the Ravens will fall, when all is said and done. 

 

AFC Season Win-Loss-Tie Record Last 5 Years

AFC EAST

2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12 2011-12

AVERAGE WIN TOTALS

 

Patriots 12-4-0 12-4-0 12-4-0 13-3-0 14-2-0 12.6
Dolphins 8-8-0 8-8-0 7-9-0 6-10-0 7-9-0 7.2
Bills 9-7-0 6-10-0 6-10-0 6-10-0 4-12-0 6.2
Jets 4-12-0 8-8-0 6-10-0 8-8-0 11-5-0 7.4

AFC NORTH

 

           
Ravens 10-6-0 8-8-0 10-6-0 12-4-0 12-4-0 10.4
Bengals 10-5-1 11-5-0 10-6-0 9-7-0 4-12-0 8.8
Steelers 11-5-0 8-8-0 8-8-0 12-4-0 12-4-0 10.2
Browns 7-9-0 4-12-0 5-11-0 4-12-0 5-11-0 5

AFC SOUTH

 

           
Colts 11-5-0 11-5-0 11-5-0 2-14-0 10-6-0 9
Texans 9-7-0 2-14-0 12-4-0 10-6-0 6-10-0 7.8
Titans 2-14-0 7-9-0 6-10-0 9-7-0 6-10-0 6
Jaguars 3-13-0 4-12-0 2-14-0 5-11-0 8-8-0 4.4

AFC WEST

 

           
Broncos 12-4-0 13-3-0 13-3-0 8-8-0 4-12-0 10
Chiefs 9-7-0 11-5-0 2-14-0 7-9-0 10-6-0 7.8
Chargers 9-7-0 9-7-0 7-9-0 8-8-0 9-7-0 8.4
Raiders 3-13-0 4-12-0 4-12-0 8-8-0 8-8-0 5.4

 

NFL Betting Verdict
By the above five year overview, the Ravens seasonal win average is 10.4. Had they not dropped the ball in 2013-2014, their seasonal win total average would probably be higher. Nevertheless, the Ravens have been consistent performers in the regular season with a .500 winning percentage or better. That bodes well for the coming season and makes them a solid NFL pick.

The projected 9 wins across sports betting platform is partly down to their lower win totals of the last couple of seasons (10+8=18/2=9). It also recognises the stiff competition they face in their division. Wins don't come easy, neither at home nor on the road.

Another reason for the single-digit projection is the NFL schedule. Ravens have received no favors from schedulers, with the eleventh toughest schedule in the league. Based on last season's records, the combined strength of their opponents is 137-117-2 SU for a 0.539 winning percentage. What's more, they open the season in Denver.

If there's one advantage they have over the Steelers and Bengals though, it's that their schedules are even worse. In fact, the Steelers have the toughest schedule (0.579 winning percentage) while the Bengals have the second toughest (0.563 winning percentage). That could play right into the Ravens' hands and lift them well above the 9 wins projected across NFL betting markets.