NFL week 7 is here, with all updated SU and ATS records, significant injuries, recent trends, opening NFL odds, and as always, some early NFL picks for the readers.
Thursday, October 22, 2015
Seattle Seahawks -5½, 41 vs. San Francisco 49ers (CBS, NFL Network, 8:25 p.m. EDT/5:25 p.m. PDT): Fresh off Sunday’s 25-13 win over the Baltimore Ravens at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday, the San Francisco 49ers (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) welcome the defending NFC champion Seattle Seahawks (2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS) to Santa Clara for this Week 7 NFC West showdown which now seems like a must-win for Head Coach Pete Carroll’s (55-38-3 ATS) team after losing to the Carolina Panthers in Seattle on Sunday, 27-24 to fall to 2-4. Last year in this series, the Seahawks won 19-3 in The City By The Bay getting 1-point as an underdog, then won again 17-7 as 10-point chalks in Seattle, pushing the Point Spread. Note how low-scoring these games (22, 24 points) were. On Thursdays, the Seahawks are 5-2 ATS and 3-1 ATS on the Road while San Francisco is 3-5 ATS and 1-2 ATS at Home. Seattle is a shiny 7-0-1 ATS L8 vs. the 49ers and the Seahawks are 3-1 ATS the L4 here in San Francisco. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Seattle as -8½ favorites in this one in their NFL Games of the Year while last week’s Advanced Line from that same sportsbook had Seattle as 6-point favorites. Expect the Niners and QB Colin Kaepernick (11-12 ATS at Home), who looked good in the win vs. Baltimore, to really be up for this one. Both teams seem to be not quite as bad as current perceptions of them or their 2-4 SU records. The Seahawks are 5-2 ATS lifetime (4-3 SU) and 3-1 ATS on the Road on Thursdays while the host San Francisco 49ers are 3-5 ATS (5-3 SU) on Thursdays and 1-2 ATS at Home, although those games were played at the old Candlestick Park. Talented Seahawks LB Bobby Wagner (Pectoral) is listed as Questionable for this one.
Sunday, October 25, 2015
Buffalo Bills -4 -102, 42 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, Wembley Stadium, London England (Yahoo!, 9:30 a.m. EDT/6:30 a.m. PDT): The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS) meet the Buffalo Bills (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) in this overseas AFC inter-divisional matchup from Wembley Stadium in London, England—the second such game of the 2015/16 NFL Regular Season to be played in the United Kingdom at this venue. The last time these two teams met was in 2013 where the Bills won and covered as 4-point favorites in Jacksonville, 27-20. The Jaguars and QB Blake Bortles have scored the 3nd-lowest number of points in the AFC (93)—only behind the Dolphins (65) who have played one less game (4)—and headed into their Week 5 meeting with Houston on a 3-game losing streak. The Bills are 4-1 ATS the L5 against the Jaguars and this seems like a pretty good spot on the schedule for them coming off a couple tough Losses to maybe the top two teams in the NFL (Patriots, Bengals) and playing maybe the worst team in the league at a neutral site. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook lined this one at Buffalo -7½ in its NFL Games of the Year and even if QB EJ Manuel gets the nod for Buffalo over Tyrod Taylor (Leg), the Bills seem like the right side here, especially at this low opening price. Expect this Point Spread to rise, as few will want to back the fading Jaguars here.
NFL Pick: Bills -4 at Pinnacle
Cleveland Browns vs. St. Louis Rams -4½, 42 (Pinnacle) (CBS, Directv 712, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): The Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis, Missouri is the site of this Week 7 inter-conference meeting between the visiting Cleveland Browns (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS) and the host St. Louis Rams (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) in what will prove to be a tough Loss for the ultimate loser. On Sunday, the Browns and QB Josh McCown played another really good game, but again fell short, losing to the still unbeaten Denver Broncos in OT, 26-23. The last time these two teams met, the Rams won outright, 13-12 as 3-point underdogs in Cleveland in 2011, while in the last meeting here in the Gateway City, the Browns won 27-20 and covered ATS as 3-point favorites in 2007. St. Louis and dynamic Rookie RB Todd Gurley (Georgia) will be well-rested (13 Days) and the Rams are 3-1 ATS over the Browns in the L4 in this series. The Advanced Line here was (Rams minus) 4½, and that’s the number showing at all sportsbooks so far this morning. These two teams seems to still both be a little bit better than the General Public’s current perception of them, although improving from the simple days and simple analysis that, “The Rams suck,” and “The Browns suck.” We may have massive clumps of Plastic in our oceans now, but at least Cleveland and St. Louis have much better professional football teams than they used to, although like most NFL clubs, the endless search for a franchise QB continues. Guys like Bernie Kosar and Kurt Warner only come once in a Blue Moon. A tough call here.
Pittsburgh Steelers -2 -105 vs. Kansas City Chiefs (CBS, Directv 709, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): Head Coach Andy Reid (20-19 ATS) and the Kansas City Chiefs (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS) welcome the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2 SU, 4-0-2 ATS) to Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City on Sunday for this Week 7 AFC inter-divisional tilt in which a number of key players are Injured heading in, including Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger and Chiefs WR Jeremy Maclin and RB Jamaal Charles (Out). On Sunday, Pittsburgh used a little Michael Vick and a little Landry Jones to knock the Cardinals off their high horse at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, rolling to a 25-13 victory. The last meeting here in the Show Me State between these two ended with the Steelers winning 13-9, but failing to cover as big 11-point chalks in 2011. When these two met last year in the Steel City, the Steelers won 20-12 and covered ATS as 2½-point favorites last season (2014). The Chiefs are 3-1 ATS the L4 vs. Pittsburgh and Kansas City is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. the Steelers here at Arrowhead Stadium but this Pittsburgh team should explode onto the scene again and be a force to be reckoned with once Roethlisberger (Knee) returns in mid-November, although rumblings indicate the Miami-Ohio product may be back sooner. This matchup seems like a gritty, focused Top 10 team against a waning, only 1-Win Bottom Team so giving just 2 points here seems like a bargain, although this is a marketplace and the oddsmakers must know what they’re doing, right? This number should rise to and probably past the Key Number of 3 later in the week.
NFL Pick: Steelers -2 at BetOnline
Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins -5, 43 (Pinnacle) (CBS, Directv 710, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): Offshore sportsbook Pinnacle seems to be the only operator hanging a Dolphins -5 on the betting board this morning (Monday), and this is a rare number I just don’t understand, as a Pick’ Em or even Texans -1 line would have made just as much sense. So, this perceived 6-point gap in the Point Spread is where bets evolve from the mud. Almost every other Las Vegas and Offshore book is now showing a 4½ on the Don Best odds betting screen, so this perception Miami is a better team—even at a theoretical neutral site (worth 3 points) with this number—just seems wrong. Both teams have underachieved to date, but with the brutal back half of the Regular Season schedule coming for Miami and this team only able to beat bad teams, this game will reveal the Texans (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS) true colors here in Miami Gardens at Sun Life Stadium against the Miami Dolphins (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) and new Head Coach Dan Campbell. The last time these two AFC clubs met, the Texans won 30-10 as big double-digit favorites (-14) in Week 1 at NRG Stadium in Houston in 2012, while the last time these two met here in South Florida, Houston won and covered, 23-13 as 3-point favorites in 2011. The Texans are 3-0 ATS the L3 overall vs. Miami and 3-0 ATS the L3 here at Sun Life Stadium. The Dolphins had just 14 3rd-Down Conversions in their first 4 games, heading into their Win against the Titans on Sunday and with Steve Tannehill, aren’t much better off at the QB spot than the neurotic Texans. The Advanced Line here was Miami -1½, so there is something dumb is going on. Listed as Questionable and injured for Houston are WR Nate Washington (Hamstring), S Quintin Demps (Hamstring) and LB Jadeveon Clowney (Ankle).
NFLPick: Texans +5 at Bet365
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots -9, 48½ (SIA) (CBS, Directv 711, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): Do not miss this one. The New York Jets (4-1 SU; 4-1 ATS) head to Gillette Stadium in New England not to see Plymouth Rock or eat Dunkin Donuts on a Sunday afternoon, but to the play the host and defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) and QB Tom Brady (70-48-5 ATS at Home) in a massive AFC East showdown and (probably) a great example of American Football. Gang Green (the Jets) have allowed an NFL-low 75 points after their easy 34-20 win over the Redskins on Sunday, while New England and TE Rob Gronkowski have scored an AFC-high 183 points. So, the Best D in the NFL against the best O in the NFL (now). Best buckle up, Buttercup. Last season when these two met, the Patriots won, 27-25 here in New England in the first meeting, but failed to cover as chalky 9½-favorites, while in East Rutherford, the spread was the same—New England -9½—and the result was the same (Patriots Win) as was the ATS result (Jets cover) in a close 17-16 affair in Week 16. So, the Patriots won by 2 and 1 points against the Jets and then-Head Coach Rex Ryan, and New York AFC is even better this season as has former New England All Pro DB Darrelle Revis on their side The Jets are 5-1 ATS the L6 overall vs. New England and New York is a surprising 4-1 ATS the L5 here in Foxboro. The numbers here range from 9 to 9½ to 10, and this number should stay in that range as the Jets looked good sunday and have impressed all year while the Patriots toppled Andrew Luck and the Colts on Sunday Night Football, 34-27, to stay unbeaten and still look like the class of the league. With the Patriots and the Bengals both looking so strong and deep and the Packers and Seahawks showing some issues, now would be the perfect time to lock in a NFL pick for AFC +2½ Super Bowl Future Bet (Bovada) or maybe even take the conference (AFC) on the Money Line with the small plus.
Minnesota Vikings -2½, 44½ vs. Detroit Lions (FOX, Directv 711, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): The Detroit Lions (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS) and QB Matthew Stafford (17-24-1 ATS at Home) welcome the Minnesota Vikings (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS) to Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday afternoon for this Week 7 NFC North affair which looked a lot better on the schedule this Summer. Last year when these two Upper Midwestern rivals met, the Vikings lost outright in Minneapolis to Detroit as 1-point favorites, 17-3, while in this game in Motown, the Lions won again, 16-14, but didn’t cover, laying 8 points. Heading into Week 6 play this weekend, Detroit was the only winless team in NFL and although it squeaked by the Bears in OT to get that first Win, the Lions and Head Coach Jim Caldwell (8-10 ATS) and his staff still aren’t looking so good right about now, granted this team did lose some real talent in the Offseason (NT Ndamukong Suh—Dolphins, DT Nick Fairley—Rams, DL CJ Mosley—Dolphins). The Vikings are a plumlike 7-2 ATS the L9 overall in this series and Minnesota is 3-1 ATS the L4 here in Detroit. This line would’ve been around Detroit -3 if the Lions were what we all thought they were or maybe a year ago now. And besides the visiting Vikings, the Under (44½, Pinnacle) seems to be a good pick here in a league of endless Overs. Why? Vikings Unders are 5-0 ATS heading in (23, 42, 45, 43 and 26 points) and this will be a game host Detroit gets up for, especially after already losing to Minnesota, 26-16 in Minneapolis back in Week 2, so the pace should be pretty slow in the 1st Half and Minnesota games have been really sluggish so far. Also, that low 16-14 scoreline in this game last season. This Point Spread should rise to 3 in no time.
NFL Picks: Vikings -2½ -119 &Under 44½ at Heritage
Atlanta Falcons -3½, 43½ vs. Tennessee Titans (CBS, Directv 707, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): The Tennessee Titans (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS; vs. Dolphins on Sunday) and Rookie QB Marcus Mariota (Knee, Questionable) play host to the Atlanta Falcons (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) and QB Matt Ryan (32-29 ATS on Road) at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta in this inter-conference Week 7 game which will be huge for both teams, with the Falcons coming off an upset loss to Drew Brees and the Saints on Thursday in the Big Easy. The last time these two met, the Falcons won 23-17 as 5½-point favorites in 2011 in Atlanta, barely covering ATS by ½ point, while the last meeting here in Nashville was in 2007 where the Falcons lost 20-13, but covered (by 1 point) as 8-point underdogs. A couple of really close shaves there. Atlanta will be coming in off 9 Days Rest and could be mad after seeing their unbeaten season and lead (tie) in the NFC South go down the tubes while Tennessee, with a nicked-up Rookie QB (Mariota) may be licking wounds and wondering where it all went wrong. The Advanced Line here from the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook was Atlanta -3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Redskins -3½, 43 (Pinnacle) (FOX, Directv 708, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): The Advanced Line here was -5, so you can see what Sunday’s Loss to the New York Jets did to perceptions of the Redskins who looked fairly decent to start off the season. But Schedules, and who you play and when you play them matter in this league and all others—Amateur and Professional—and Reality now seems to be catching up with Washington (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS), who hosts NFL Top Draft pick Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) at FedExField in Landover, Maryland on Sunday in a can-miss inter-divisional NFC clash. The last meeting between these two was in 2012 at Tampa where the Redskins won outright, 24-22, as 2-point underdogs, while the last meeting here in Landover, the Redskins were surprised, 31-7 by Tampa Bay as 7-point chalks. Washington is just 1-3-2 ATS over the L6 in this series and will need a good game from starting QB Kirk Cousins. The Buccaneers will be heading in off a 13 swashbuckling Days of Rest, coming off of their Bye week. The site here and the Redskins improvement on Defense should be two of the big things here in this Week 7 contest few may watch and fewer may wager on. The Bucs will be coming in off their Open Date and this may be one best left untouched, although backing host Washington on the Money Line (Redskins -195, SIA) may be worth a very small play.
New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts -4½, 52 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) (FOX, Directv 706, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): The Indianapolis Colts (3-3 SU, 2-4) and Andrew Luck (18-7-2 ATS at Home) welcome Drew Brees (56-49-4 ATS on Road) and the New Orleans Saints (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) to Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Sunday in this NFL Week 7 inter-conference game which will be a tough Loss for the losers. The last time these two teams played was back in 2011 in The Big Easy where the Colts more than got saddled, 62-7, as huge 13½-point underdogs, while the last meeting here in Naptown was in Week 1 in the 3007 season where Indianapolis romped 41-10 as 5½-point chalks. These two teams also met in Super Bowl XLIV at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens in the 2009/10 season, with Purdue product Brees and the Gumbo-loving Who Dats beat the New Orleans-born Peyton Manning and Indianapolis outright, 31-17, as 4½-point underdogs for their first and only NFL championship and the only major professional title for the city, which has no MLB or NHL team and only the NBA’s Pelicans besides these beloved Saints. New Orleans is an impressive 6-2 ATS overall the L8 against the Colts and the Advanced Line here was Colts -6½, so a slight uptick in perceptions for the Saints and the slightest downtick for TY Hilton and Indianapolis after losing to the dreaded Patriots in Naptown on Sunday Night Football. With the oldest starting Defense in the NFL, betting the Over seems like a decent pick here.
NFL Pick: Over 52 at 5Dimes
Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers -4, 47 (bet365) (CBS, Directv 713, NFL RedZone, 4:05 p.m. ET/1:05 p.m. PT): The injury to San Diego WR Keenan Allen (Hip Flexor) is the big news heading into this AFC West meeting between Philip Rivers (41-34-1 ATS at Home) and the San Diego Chargers (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS) welcome Fresno State product David Carr (5-5 ATS on Road) and the Oakland Raiders (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) to Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego on Sunday in this AFC West matchup which will prove to be a very rough Loss for the losers. Last year in this series, the Chargers won 31-28 in Oakland but failed to cover as 7-point favorites, while in San Diego in this game last season, San Diego won 13-6 but again failed to cover, laying a robust 10 points. The Raiders are 9-3 ATS in the L12 in this Southern California series and with QB Carr, Rookie WR Amari Cooper (Alabama), Free Agent WR Michael Crabtree (49ers) and K Sebastian Janikowski and new Head Coach Jack Del Rio, actually have better personnel and coaching than in past seasons. The Advanced Line, released last Wednesday, was San Diego -4½ here, so you can see that maybe the Open Date for the Silver and Black and the 13 Days of Rest for Oakland combined with the Chargers Loss at Green bay mattered like ½ a point. And as far as WR Allen, who had 14 catches in the Chargers hard-fought Loss to Green Bay at Lambeau Field in Sunday, he was reportedly getting his Hip (Hip Flexor injury) checked out on Monday and the injury is not thought to be that serious. So expect him to go here and quit acting like you’re a General Manager of an NFL football team, processing trivial news like that as if it were real Wisconsin butter. It’s not. Information like that is just Margarine, so talking about a minor Hip Flexor Injury to a San Diego receiver is just part of separating the wheat from the chaff. There’s likely nothing there, unless an MRI reveals a small Hobbit-like individual has taken up residence in Mr. Allen’s Hip. NFL odds say it’s nothing but chirping.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants -4½, 48 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) (FOX, 4:25 p.m. EDT/1:25 p.m. PDT): If you listened really carefully two weeks ago, you could hear Dallas Cowboys (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS; Open Date) owner Jerry Jones screaming, “No more Weeden, no more Weeden, No more Weeden, No more Weeden” in his private little luxury box at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, so with starting Cowboys QB Tony Romo still out and (former) backup Brandon Weeden (11 straight SU Losses, 11 straight ATS Losses) having not won a start since Walter White was still just an honest Science Teacher in Albuquerque, it’s apparently Matt Cassel (acquired from Bills) who will get the football from Center against the host New York Giants (3-2 SU; 3-2 ATS; at Eagles on Monday Night Football; Giants -3½, 51, Pinnacle) at MetLife Stadium in scenic East Rutherford, New Jersey next Sunday afternoon. Last year, New York and QB Eli Manning (43-50-1 on Home) lost 31-21 at Arlington as 4½-point underdogs, failing to cover ATS, while in this game in the Garden State, the Cowboys won, again, 31-28, but failed to cover by a point, giving 4 points to New York and Victor Cruz. Hopefully, superstar WR Odell Beckham Jr. (Probable) and Cruz will both be healthy for the G-Men who are 2-3 ATS L5 against the Cowboys after a Week 1 cover as a 7-point underdog in a 27-26 loss at that aforementioned House of Football, AT&T Stadium in Arlington and Jerry World. At least America’s Team—who besides Romo will be without star WR Dez Bryant (Foot, Late October return hopeful)—should be very well-rested (13 Days), coming in off their Open Date. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook lined this one at Giants -6½ in its NFL Games of the Year while the Advanced Line here was 5½.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers -3, 47 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) (NBC, 8:30 p.m. EDT/5:30 p.m. PDT): Cam Newton (18-16-1 ATS at Home) and the Carolina Panthers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) welcome Sam Bradford and the Philadelphia Eagles (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Giants on Monday Night Football in Week 6) to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina for this NFL Week 7 Sunday evening inter-divisional tilt and huge game for both NFC sides. The last time these two played, the Panthers were smashed, 45-21, last season in Philadelphia as 7½-point favorites while the last time the Eagles visited that state (North Carolina) that gave us the guys that invented the Airplane (The Wright Brothers), the Eagles again trounced Carolina, 38-10 as 2½-point favorites in Week 1 in 2009. So 24- and 28-point Wins. But that was Then and this is Now. And Now is more important. The Eagles and young RB DeMarco Murray are a nice 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. Panthers and the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Carolina up as 1½-point favorites in this one in their NFL Games of the Year while the advanced Line had the host Panthers as 2½-point favorites. This should be good TV, good Theater and maybe not the best game to bet on although Carolina has stellar LB Luke Kuechly (14 tackles in win at Seattle on Sunday) back and may be worth a look on the Money Line and/or may also be a solid Parlay element. Don’t miss this fun primetime NBC game and it may provide a good chance for those who seldom get to see this gritty Ron Rivera-coached (40-31-1 ATS) Carolina team play. The Panthers are 4-4 ATS at Home on Sunday nights while the Eagles are 11-12 ATS on the Road on Sundays, so, not much from this ultra-niche Trend.
Monday, October 26, 2015
Baltimore Ravens vs. Arizona Cardinals -7, 48½ (Wynn Las Vegas) (ESPN, Directv 206, 8:30 p.m. EDT/5:30 pm. PDT): The Advanced Line was 7 and the opener here is also 7 but the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook made Arizona 4-point chalks in its renowned NFL Games of the Year, out in the late Spring, so you can see fading perceptions of Baltimore and increased stock rising for Arizona. Here, the upstart Cardinals (4-2 SU, 4-2) and QB Carson Palmer will be glad to be Home after a 2-game Road Trip (Detroit, Pittsburgh), but angry after losing to the Steelers and third-string QB Landry Jones in Pittsburgh on Sunday. And the slumping and certainly now Road-weary Baltimore Ravens (1-5 SU, 0-5-1 ATS)—who saw their Super Bowl 50 odds rise from (a high of) 80/1 last week to their 250/1 (888sport) now—and QB Joe Flacco (36-31-3 on Road) will have to deal with Arizona, who have scored the most points in NFL (203), although the Cardinals had played some pretty marginal teams (Saints, Bears, 49ers, Rams, Lions) before Pittsburgh on Sunday. The last time these two played, Arizona lost 30-27 at Baltimore but covered as 10½-point favorites in 2011 while the last time these two met here in the Valley of the Sun—way back in 2003 at Sun Devil Stadium, the home of Arizona State University—the Ravens were 26-18 victors. Although Baltimore is 4-1 SU all-time in this infrequent series (108 PF-91 PA) between one team (the Cardinals) who used to be somebody else (St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cardinals) and another named after an Edgar Allen Poe poem (“The Raven”), the Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in those lone 5 meetings against the Ravens and Head Coach Bruce Arians (25-13-1 ATS). And this underrated Head Coach and his consistent and now balanced squad have been one of the most profitable teams for NFL bettors over the past couple of seasons and with guys like WRs Larry Fitzgerald, John Brown and Michael Floyd, it’s no wonder this team is finally starting to make some noise. And coming off a Loss, expect Arizona to be on its best behavior, especially knowing that NFC West rival Seattle is sitting on a 2-4 record and has to face the 49ers (2-4) in San Francisco on Thursday Night Football (CBS, 8:25 p.m. PDT/5:25 p.m. PDT; Seahawks -5½, 41, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) and that a 5-2 record would be a nice start to not losing the division like Arizona ended up doing last season. Those bitter, recent Memories of that collapse could serve this solid Cardinals football team very well down the road. On Mondays, the Cardinals are an ugly 0-4 ATS lifetime as a Home Favorites and Arizona is 0-7 ATS vs. an opponent coming off a SU Loss (Baltimore lost at San Francisco) on Mondays while the Ravens are 6-8 ATS lifetime on Mondays as Road Underdogs. So the Day-of-the-Week Trends says fade Arizona but there may actually be no Cardinals in the Sonoran Desert. But at a clean -7, yes please on Arizona.
NFLPick: Cardinals -7 at Bookmaker
NFL Week 7 Byes: Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, Green Bay Packers
NFL Week 7 Openning Picks: Bills -4 (Pinnacle); Steelers -2 (BetOnline); Texans +5 (Bet365); Vikings -2½ & Under 44½ (Heritage); Saints-Colts Over 52 (5Dimes); Cardinals -7 (Bookmaker)
NFL Super Bowl Futures Prop Pick: AFC +2½ over NFC at Bovada