Biggest Spreads Worth Adding To Your Week 4 NFL Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, September 30, 2016 9:30 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 30, 2016 9:30 PM UTC

A 2-1 ATS record on the three biggest spread in Week 3, hitting on Seattle (-9) over San Francisco and Green Bay (-6.5) against Detroit. Missed on Miami (-10) vs. Cleveland. Here are three of the biggest Week 4 spreads on 5Dimes NFL odds.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals -9

Have you seen the NFC West standings? Obviously, it's very early in the season, but the Rams are tied for first with the Seahawks and Arizona is last with San Francisco. Who saw that coming after the 49ers embarrassed the Rams 28-0 in Week 1? Los Angeles was the only team in the league without a touchdown entering Week 3 but put up 37 points in Tampa Bay in a five-point upset win. And it's not like that Rams offense did a ton, totaling just 320 yards. Case Keenum threw for only 190 and had a pick returned for a score but did have two scores, and Todd Gurley had his best game of the season with 85 yards and two scores. It's the first time since 2006 that the Rams are 2-1. Arizona is one of the early disappointments in the NFC at 1-2. You can understand losing Week 1 to New England, even if the Pats were without Tom Brady. But last week's 33-18 loss at previously winless Buffalo was embarrassing, although I wrote here at SBR  to stay away from that one as it felt like a trap game for the Cardinals with the early start time and a desperate Buffalo team. It's games like that why I don't think the Cardinals will make the Super Bowl, mainly Carson Palmer. Guy has never won a truly big game. He imploded in last year's NFC title game vs. Carolina and threw four picks and barely completed 50 percent of his passes against the Bills. The Rams and Cardinals split last year, each winning on the road.

Free NFL Pick: Cardinals usually play very well after a loss under Bruce Arians so you can give the points, give as few as 7.5 points at some other of SBR's best sportsbooks. The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011246, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,93,169,123], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Redskins -9

I'm thinking the Browns will be in this biggest spread story most weeks this season. They won't be Week 6 at Tennessee but other than that?? Perhaps Week 16 vs. San Diego. That said, Cleveland had every chance to pull the big upset in Miami last week, but Cody Parkey missed a winning 46-yard field goal at the end of regulation, his third miss of the game. An admirable performance for the Browns with third-round rookie QB Cody Kessler making his first start and the team missing several key players to injury or suspension, including first-round rookie receiver Corey Coleman and top cornerback Joe Haden. Neither will play vs. Washington. A popular fantasy football pickup this week surely had to be Cleveland receiver Terrelle Pryor, no doubt we can find the betting odds showing the highest numbers for Cleveland too. Against the Dolphins, the former Ohio State quarterback had eight receptions for 144 yards, completed 3 of 5 passes for 35 yards and rushed for 21 yards. He was the first player to have at least 120 receiving yards, 30 passing yards and 20 rushing yards in a single game since Frank Gifford in 1959. Pryor will no doubt be used all over the place again. The Redskins likely saved their season with a come-from-behind 29-27 win over the Giants last week to avoid a 0-3 start. Kirk Cousins had his best game of the year with 296 yards, two TDs, and no picks. This game was to feature Robert Griffin III's return to Washington, but he's of course hurt. It does feature two former Bengals offensive coordinators in Browns head coach Hue Jackson and Washington counterpart Jay Gruden. 

Free NFL Pick: Browns can stay within a touchdown. The Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their past five at home.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011243, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,93,169,123], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

Tennessee Titans At Houston Texans -5

Every week here at SBR, I write a story called "Too Risky To Bet" for the NFL week. This matchup was No. 1 on that list. That's because Houston's heart-and-soul and the best defensive player in the NFL, J.J. Watt, has been lost to injured reserve with a back injury and his season is likely over. You simply don't replace a three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year who had arguably the best first five years of a career of any defensive lineman ever. Since he came into the NFL in 2011, Watt has been on the field for 90 percent of the Texans' defensive snaps and has 76 sacks. How will the Texans react to that gut-punch? They certainly will need more from 2014 No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney. Tennessee might not win more than three games it did last year in 2016 but it's clearly a more competitive team. The defense is playing much better, but the offense hasn't topped 16 points. Marcus Mariota hasn't gotten it going yet with four interceptions and a rating of 79.3. He really needs an upgraded group of receivers. On the bright side, former No. 1 receiver Kendall Wright is expected to make his season debut Sunday. He has been out since early August with a strained hamstring. This game makes for an interesting Football pick.

Free NFL Pick: Texans, who dominated Tennessee twice last year. Houston has covered five straight in the series. 

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011239, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,93,169,123], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]

comment here