NFL Picks: AFC West Division Season Win Totals

Jordan Sharp

Monday, June 17, 2013 8:35 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 17, 2013 8:35 PM UTC

The AFC West could be one of the worst divisions in football this season outside of Denver, or it could be one of the most undervalued divisions depending on how the season unfolds.


Books with the best prices on 2013-14 NFL Futures

AFC West season wins future odd update

With that being said let's take a look at this division’s season wins future odds courtesy of LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas. Maybe it will give us a good idea on how the sportsbooks think of this division, which collectively has the easiest strength of schedule of any division in the entire NFL.

Denver Broncos (11 ½)

Denver is one of only three teams in the entire league that is handicapped at 11 ½ wins in the offseason NFL future odds. The over comes in priced at +110, with the under coming in at -130. Just looking at their schedule overall, the Broncos have the easiest strength of schedule of any team in the NFL this season, based on their opponents’ 2012 winning percentage. After their opening game against the defending Super Bowl champions at home, and their Week 2 trip to face the New York Giants, their schedule eases up tremendously. Tough games in the second half for them will be a trip to New England, as well as a trip to Houston, but realistically this team could very well go 12-4 or even 13-3 SU in the 2013 season.

San Diego Chargers (7 ½)

San Diego is under new management this season, and the sportsbooks price them at 7 ½ wins this offseason. Unlike some of their divisional rivals, the Chargers’ first half of the season is definitely not as tough as the last half. I could see the Chargers being in above .500 football team before their bye week, and then completely crashing and burning in between Weeks 9 through 15. Because of the obvious large gap between their floor and ceiling this season, I don't think I can recommend San Diego in any sort of season wins future odds bet. They could easily go 9-7 or 6-10 SU this season.

Kansas City Chiefs (7)

On the other hand, the Kansas City Chiefs look like the most improved football team in the entire NFL this season. When Andy Reid coming in to command an offense that already had tons of talent on it, all they have to do is fix their passing game and their rushing defense, and this team could very well return to the playoffs after a 2-14 SU season in 2012. It is because of this that the sportsbooks price the over at -135, and the under at +115 this season for Kansas City. Even though I normally run away from chalk this much on the side of a bet that I like, I still think the Chiefs are a great bet to go 8-8 SU or better in the 2013 season.

Oakland Raiders (5 ½)

Much like San Diego, the Raiders have a very wide gap between their floor and ceiling in the 2013 season. They have talent on both sides of the ball, but the uncertainty is so high with Oakland that I also cannot recommended making an NFL pick oneither side of this wager. The over comes in price to +110, with the under at -130. Also much like the Chargers is the first part of their schedule is not that bad, but they have a four-week stretch after there bye week that is going to be brutal. Starting in Week 8, they play Pittsburgh and Philadelphia at home, followed by trips to face the Giants and the Texans. If they start the season any worse than 2-4 SU, I think the 2013 season might be over before it begins for the Oakland Raiders.

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