From top to bottom, the AFC North may be the best division in football this season, and the teams’ season win totals reflect that. The sportsbooks have handicapped 32 wins for this division in 2013, so which teams will meet or exceed their price in the NFL future odds, and which teams will fall short? All of these odds are courtesy of LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas.
If you bet the over with the Ravens for you NFL picks this season, you're going to be hit with a ton of chalk at -140. However if the Ravens have a .500 or worse season, you will be met with a nice +120. Not only are they the Super Bowl champions, but also they have one of the toughest strength of schedules of any team based on the 2012 winning percentage of their opponents. The Ravens open up against the Broncos in Denver, which will not be any fun, and between all the players they have lost or let go, combined with their schedule of 16 teams wanting to crush them every week, I’m not quite sure if the Ravens are in for a nice season again.
One of only a few teams that have an even win total this season are the Steelers at nine wins. The over is sitting at -120 while the under would cash at an even +100 this season. Pittsburgh is not the favorite to win the division in most future odds, but their strength of schedule is much better looking than the Ravens this season. Pittsburgh has the 22nd ranked strength of schedule this season, but either way you look at it, this team has its’ holes and nine wins is surely a tough number to get to in this division. If they can split against the Bengals and Ravens they have a chance at the over, but that will be quite difficult for a Steelers team that is starting to break down.
One of my best bets in the season wins totals are the Bengals. At only 8 ½ wins this season, the over would cash at +110 for the Bengals, as the under is chalked up to -130. I think there is almost no better AFC bet this season than the Bengals and the over at +110. This team improved a whole lot in the offseason, and with an already stellar core of young players, and with the teams in their division crumbling; it’s about Bengals time. I see a ten-win season for the Bengals, making +110 easy money. Cincinnati does have a tough schedule ahead of them this season, but I think they will have a winning season and cash the over for NFL future odds bettors.
Another team with an even win total is the Browns. The over is where the chalk lies with the Browns this season at -130, with the under cashing +110 for NFL Bettors. I think we can rule out the over in this situation based on the NFL Odds and the Browns playing in this division. However the under does intrigue me just a little bit, however I don’t think it’s enough to warrant a wager. I handicapped the Browns to 6 wins this season, and even though they could go more or less than that, I’m not seeing it. They rank 21st in strength of schedule this offseason, so that may be why sportsbooks are chalking them so much on the over. Either way it’s a no play for me.