These particular odds come from LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas, but most of the season win totals are the same with the exception of how much money you are laying or taking. Remember to check the articles on each team for our detailed NFL picks, plus an early Week 1 lean for all 32 teams this season.
New England Patriots (11 ½)
There are three teams with 11 ½ win totals for the 2013 season, but the Pats would be the most profitable of all three teams because they are getting +115 if they get 12 or more wins in 2013. The under is laying a ton of money at NFL odds of -135, but the Pats schedule isn’t that bad this year. They have about ten wins in the bag before the season even starts it seems, so the question is, out of their remaining six games which include at Atlanta, Cincinnati, Baltimore and Houston, along with home games against the Broncos and Saints, can the Pats win two of those games?
Miami Dolphins (7 ½)
I would be all over the over in this bet, but the chalk is a little disconcerting. Miami is -130 for the over on this wager this season, with the under sitting at +110. Miami is a much improved team this season, but can they put it all together to compete in a below average division? I think they can. Their road schedule this season is far from tough. Besides their annual trip to New England, their toughest road tests will be early against Indianapolis and New Orleans, two beatable teams.
New York Jets (6 ½)
The Jets are laying ten cents regardless if you bet the under or over on this price, and I see the number as pretty solid. There aren’t many optimistic things being said about the Jets this season, and while 6 ½ might be slightly undervaluing the Jets, it could also be slightly overvaluing them as well. New York has one of the toughest first halves of any team in the NFL. Six of their first nine games in 2013 are against teams with projected win totals of over eight games. I could easily see the Jets at 2-7 SU by the time their bye rolls around.
The Bills are also priced at 6 ½ wins this season, but they are getting +115 for the over, and the under at -135. The sportsbooks have priced them kind of tough this offseason, but the Bills are a bit of the wildcard still this season, and it’s tough to tell how close to the six-win mark they will actually be by the time Week 17 rolls around. While Buffalo looks to be solid it many areas, the question at quarterback will be with this team well into the preseason, and likely the regular season as well. I haven’t seen enough with the Bills to cast any sort of lean one way or another.