Now that the draft and free agency are over, the month of May and June should be the months where the different divisions are going to start shaping up. While NFL Divisional Odds are not out quite yet, during this series of offseason odds updates, division futures should be out. With that being said, we are kicking it off with the AFC East, a division that seems to have one very clear favorite. The NFL odds for this piece some from bet365.
New England Patriots (+700 Super Bowl, +300 AFC)
While it depends on which online sportsbooks you use whether or not the Pats are the outright favorite to win it all, they sure seem to be at least co-favorites to win it all with the 49ers. The Patriots seem very appropriately priced here, but for me, I see this season being a very boom or bust one for Tom Brady, Bill Belichick and the rest of the New England cohort.
If you’re one who thinks New England is destined for a 2008-like run but with a different ending for this season, +700 right now is looking mighty tasty. Even though it may look inviting, that is by design. The Pats are priced right behind the +275 Broncos to win the division. This is somewhat similar to how we started out last offseason, and see how that turned out. Personally, I don’t see a lot of value for our NFL picks right now. I don’t expect the Pats to be any lower than -1000 to win the AFC East, so we’ll have to wait until the season, and by that time they might have enough hype to become overvalued game by game as well.
Miami Dolphins (+4000 Super Bowl, +1800 AFC)
The Dolphins almost certainly had one of the best off seasons of any of the other 31 teams in the league, and have raised their future odds immensely since they opened about 3 months ago. The Dolphins added a bunch of good free agents and they drafted well, including moving up to 3rd overall to get who I think will be the next DeMarcus Ware, Dion Jordan.
Miami isn’t going to win any titles this season, and they are somewhat appropriately priced because of this. They could be a little lower in my opinion, but then again, they started around 60/1 in some cases. Once the division odds come out, that will be when we can gauge how good the books think they are, but betting on a team that sees Brady twice a season, not smart.
Buffalo Bills (+10,000 Super Bowl, +4500 AFC)
Not much to see hear. The Bills are starting over with a new coach and seemingly a rookie quarterback. While I hope the best for Doug Marrone and company, the only reason I have them listed in position three of four in this article is because the team behind them is so atrocious I can’t list them anywhere but the bottom.
I think better odds for the Bills will be them getting the number one overall pick in the 2014 Draft. While it remains to be seen what they will look like come the preseason, I sincerely doubt the Bills win more than 3-4 games this season (both SU and ATS).
New York Jets (+10,000 Super Bowl, +3300 AFC)
I hope no one outside of Long Island or New Jersey is putting a big wager on the Jets to win the AFC at +3300 in the NFL Odds, but I know that anyone who is doing that is a fool. The Jets should almost certainly priced much higher up around the range of the Bills as well. I would even say I would take the Titans (+4000 AFC) to win the AFC before the Jets.