NFL Picks: AFC Championship's Notable Absences

Swinging Johnson

Friday, January 17, 2014 4:50 PM UTC

Friday, Jan. 17, 2014 4:50 PM UTC

Both the New England Patriots and the Denver Broncos have suffered pretty big losses when it comes to their defense. Will they be able to step up and make the right plays to adjust? Or will things go south?

NFL Conference Championship Odds Update

Denver Broncos

According to an anonymous source the Broncos will be without safety Rahim Moore in the lineup. Denver was hoping to have Moore suited up and ready to go against the Patriots in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game but he has been ruled out. This is just the latest blow to an injury plagued defense that will also take on Tom Terrific and the Patriots vaunted offense without Von Miller, Derek Wolfe, Kevin Vickerson and Chris Harris.

This paper thin defense may account for the total spiraling upwards in the world of the offshore books. The total opened at a lofty 54 ½ but just when you thought the sharps might bang the Under, allowing those of you looking for a betting edge to get over in the low 50’s, quite the opposite has happened. The total now sits at 56 at and may still be a bargain in what should be an offensive explosion.

NFL Picks: Patriots vs. Broncos Betting Report

New England Patriots

Sunday’s matchup between the Patriots and the Broncos is all about Brady vs. Manning. Superman versus the Incredible Hulk. Neither QB wants it to be that way as they prefer to talk about their team and not themselves. But the bottom line is that both defenses are injured and the secondaries are ripe for the plucking. 

But the big change is the coming-of-age of the Patriots defense. Even though they have lost key components, the zone schemes designed by defensive coordinator Matt Patricia has left offenses bewildered and struggling. The most effective piece of the puzzle is rookie linebacker Jamie Collins who had a ferocious game last week against the Colts. The betting edge in this matchup could hinge on a suddenly lethal Patriots ground game coupled with their emerging defense. Patriots +5 might be looking even more tempting and for those truly convinced, New England +200 on the money line in NFL odds could be a winning ticket.

Patriots vs. Broncos NFL Picks: Filling Defensive Gaps


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