NFL Picks: AFC 2013-14 Futures Odds Update

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, July 25, 2013 8:45 PM GMT

We have entered training camp, and the NFL regular season is just over a month away.


A lot has happened since we last talked about the future NFL Odds, so let’s take an updated look at the future odds to win the AFC conference, and see which teams I have added or taken off of the value-list. All of these odds are courtesy of Bet365.

Favorite: Broncos +275

Even though they aren’t without concern, I still think the Broncos are the cream of the crop in the AFC. The teams that are favored with them are all dealing with some major injuries to key players, and even though the Broncos are dealing with the possible suspension of Von Miller, I don’t see many other weaknesses.

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They have the best offense in the AFC by far, and if their defense can be as solid as they were a year ago, I’m not seeing the chinks in their armor. Obviously the news on Peyton Manning and his grip on his right arm is a bit of a concern, but really, can he be less healthy than he was a season ago? I’m not buying it. I think the Broncos are trying to play us a little bit, to make us believe that Manning isn’t healthy. I think the Broncos will be just fine, and although they are far from without concern, they have the least amount to worry about heading into the season about a month from now. I doubt we see too much of Manning in the preseason, if at all, and although they may not be a great bet in the NFL game odds, I think a future odds bet on them to win the conference is a better deal.

Dark Horse: Steelers +850

This is purely a value play, because the Steelers should be a really good team this season. +850 is simply undervaluing a team with a couple of Super Bowl rings. They have reloaded this season adding Le’Veon Bell to the running game, and bringing back some key players on defense. As long as they stay healthy, I think the motivation of watching their archrivals win the Super Bowl last season will be key for this team.

On top of all that, the Steelers don’t have that bad of a schedule this season. If the Ravens regress from last season, and if the Steelers’ defense is still the same unit it was a season ago, don’t sleep on them to win the Super Bowl either. This team could easily do it in a shallow AFC conference.

Long shots: Colts +1600 & Bengals +1400

These two teams were of course both playoff teams a year ago in the AFC, and it really boils down to their defenses and their quarterbacks if they want to win anything this season. However the talent is there, and so is the value.  I can’t decide which one I like better, but both have tremendous upside in the NFL Odds.

The Colts added Ahmad Bradshaw to shore up their running game, while also beefing up their defensive line. The Bengals retained a lot of key components on defense, and already have a pretty good offense. As long as Andy Dalton doesn’t blow it in the playoffs like he did a season ago, the Bengals could very well win this division and make their way through a shallow AFC. Andrew Luck and the Colts’ offense are no different, so if you feel like gambling, these two present long shot value in the AFC future odds this summer.