NFL Picks: 6-Point Teasers to Strongly Consider Playing Week 11

Doug Upstone

Friday, November 20, 2015 1:19 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 20, 2015 1:19 PM GMT

It was a wild this past weekend for the sportsbooks, as their betting odds on just besides football placed them in peril. Fortunately for them Sunday sports picks bailed them out with NFL results.

There was a lot long faces after heavily favored Ronda Rousey was knocked out in the second round on Saturday night. Most sportsbooks were extremely top heavy with Holly Holm money as underdog and reports had more than one Las Vegas casino suffering biggest UFC fight loss ever.

But Week 10 of the NFL season arrived on Sunday and underdogs were 10-2 ATS, which included nine outright underdog upsets. What losses the books suffered the day before paled in comparison to what they took in on Sunday for NFL picks. For many wagering outlets it has been consecutive top winning weeks in professional football for the season to date and besides just winning sides bets, they cleaned up on parlay and teaser cards.

Football handicappers like myself use teasers more frequently to be right side of key numbers to build an edge. While I present a four-team teaser weekly, break these out into two or three-team teasers, which increases your chances of winning, as I have actually been correct overall on 28 of 39 choices. (One Push)

Here are my teaser picks for NFL Week 11 and consider Heritagesports.eu, who has some of the best NFL odds for teasers.

 

Carolina -1 Teaser Odds
Carolina was not one of the casualties from last week among favorites, but they still helped destroy teaser cards which had Tennessee anywhere from +10 to +13. Rather shocked to see the unbeaten Panthers at only -7 for regular spread action and absolutely delighted to be able to take them at -1 for teasers. We increase our value getting off the -7 and under -3. Also, happy to find out Carolina is 23-2 against a teaser line at home after playing their last game on the road, winning by 7.2 points a contest.

 

Atlanta -0.5 Teaser Odds
The Falcons have lost three of four and all those defeats are against teams currently below .500. I never thought Atlanta was as good as their 5-0 starting record, but with a week off and playing at home, the Dirty Birds quite literally just have to win the game against Indianapolis without Andrew Luck in teaser wager. It all boils down to QB Matt Ryan playing better and let's not forget the Colts are off upset of Denver and road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (standard odds) off an upset win as a home underdog, against opponent off a road loss, are 5-20 ATS the last 10 years, losing by 11.6 PPG.

 

Cincinnati +10 Teaser Odds
For Cincinnati fans who hoped they would never see the old Andy Dalton again, it was like the old Alice Cooper album, "Welcome to my Nightmare" on Monday night. Since the previous two unbeaten teams have gone on to lose another contest, Bengals backers have to be feeling trepidation with their team heading to the desert to face one of the Top 3 teams in the NFC. Fear not Cincy fans, your team just had an off night and I look for focus to be quickly adjusted for squad that is 4-0 SU and ATS on the road this season. Being able to climb all the way to +10 points surely matters and Cincinnati is in 80 percent system in which the underdog wins by nearly a point (+0.8) in 34 tries.

 

New England -1 Teaser Odds
I knew the Patriots would have a close contest with the New York Giants a week ago. This week they are down to -7 at home against Buffalo and I will have no problem taking them for teaser at this price. New England is the best team again in the NFL and despite the loss of Julian Edelman, the Patriots embody the idea of "next man up". In the last three seasons, New England is 20-1 against a teaser line playing against a team with a winning record with average winning margin 10.8 PPG.

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