NFL Picks: 6-Point Teasers To Consider Playing In Wild Card Weekend

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, January 6, 2016 8:00 PM GMT

With the regular season concluded, it's time to move ahead to the excitement of the playoffs. The Wild Card weekend has evolved to lower seeds being favorites, which complicates matters for football bettors.

This season in doing this article on teasers, I was on the right side of 49 of 66 picks and had two pushes. In all, have made a nice profit with four outright winners on four-teamers and if you followed my advice on these NFL picks, you should have also put together a solid group of winners on two or three-team teasers.

Let's move ahead to this week and as I have been preaching all season, football handicappers like myself use teasers more frequently to be right side of key numbers to build an edge. With so few choices for the postseason, playing two or three-teamers at best is probably the best option the next couple weeks. While that might not excite a lot of you going for the big score, the idea is to win and get a solid return on your investment, not swinging for the fences always trying to hit home runs.

In reviewing the NFL odds, here are my four best selections.

 

Kansas City +3 Teaser Odds
In another article here at SBR, I picked Kansas City to win and cover against Houston on the spread line. Thus, being able to turn the Chiefs in three-point underdogs on the teaser line goes accordingly. This is not very complicated, with coach Andy Reid's team having won 10 in row, they have established themselves as a very formidable club. Besides having an edge at the quarterback position, they also have more playmakers. Two numbers which cannot be ignored about Kansas City are these: The Chiefs are 15-0 on the teaser line off one or more consecutive Under's and 19-1 after playing a home game.

 

K.C./Houston UNDER 46 Teaser Odds
Coming into this AFC battle, these are two salty defensive units. Kansas City has given up only 12.8 points per contest during this their long winning streak. Houston closed the season 7-2 and was even better defensively in surrendering just 12.6 PPG. In looking at both offenses, we are not talking about the Pittsburgh Steelers here when it comes to playmakers, thus, points could be a challenge for both squads. With the teaser line this high, we crawl over key numbers like 43 and 44, providing us value. In addition, we have the Chiefs at 12-3 UNDER after six or more consecutive wins and the Texans at 11-1 UNDER after a win by 21 or more points.

 

Cincinnati +9 Teaser Odds
Cincinnati has a long history of failures at home against Pittsburgh, losing 20 of 25. Now forced to go with an inexperienced quarterback or a rusty one, against one of the best offenses in the NFL, sounds like a very tall order. Oddsmakers have said as much making the Steelers three-point road favorites. Nonetheless, when seeing the total is down to 45.5 after the first two conflicts were at 49, this might be a telling sign. If the game is more defense-oriented, that favors Cincinnati, because they will not win a shootout. We are also able to catch the Bengals above key numbers like six and seven and have a home dog thirsting to end seven-game playoff slide. Excellent value with Cincy.

 

Washington +7 Teaser Odds
The line on the last Wild Card game has been flipping around like a presidential candidate's views. The game opened as a Pick, went to Washing ton at -1 and Wednesday morning switched to Green Bay -1. This is where to jump on the Redskins on the teaser line. Here we get a home team past three and six points at home, playing their best football of the season, against a laboring opponent not doing much of anything well. With the total at 50, that signifies more scoring and Washington is 55-23 on the traditional ATS line when they score 22 to 28 points.