NFL Picks: 49ers +3.5 For Last Home Game Of The Season Over Rams

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, December 31, 2015 2:35 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 31, 2015 2:35 PM UTC

St. Louis Rams traveling to face the San Fran 49ers in the season finale for a pair of teams who conclude the season with this contest. Join us inside as we present our free NFL pick for Sunday afternoon.

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NFL Picks: 49ers +3.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


St. Louis Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers 4:25PM ET
With last week’s improbable Baltimore Ravens’ victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers, the contrary Lone Ranger selections of the year in the NFL this season are a now remarkable 14-2 ATS. This week’s underdog upset special sees the St. Louis Rams traveling to face the San Fran 49ers in the season finale for a pair of teams who conclude the season with this contest.  


Betting Preview
It does not take much for the public to fall in love with a team who pulled a huge upset, such as St. Louis did in their (23-17) outright win at Seattle. Nor, does it take the public long to look to fade a 4-11 SU team, off 3 consecutive losses (the last of which was a 32-17 defeat at the hands of another losing team).  Thus, the stage is set for the great public support for St. Louis as road chalk in their visit to the San Fran 49ers.  It was a matchup that saw the Rams win the first meeting (27-6).  

Furthering the case for the public is that after a 0-6 ATS slide (0-5 SU), the Rams  have recovered in the last 3 weeks to post wins of 21-14 at home vs. Detroit, 31-23 vs. Tampa Bay at home, before that huge upset at Seattle last week (23-17) as 13 point underdog.  A closer inspection of that contest, however, finds that the Seahawks held the yardage advantage 313-207 (the 7th consecutive game in which the Rams have been outgained).  Also favoring the Rams is their quest for a .500 season, a defensive line that has recorded 40 sacks, the motivated performance of QB Keenum and the performance of RB Gurley.  As for the 49ers, who have the biggest roster makeover in the NFL this year, they enter on a 3-game losing streak, including a 32-17 loss at Detroit which came despite the fact they outrushed the Lions 121-87.  Nine of the 11 of the 49ers losses have been by double digits and they are on a 1-10 ATS slide in division play.  


Final Analysis
All the above makes this yet another one of the Lone Rangers unlikely, contrary selections. For, as poorly as the 49ers have played overall this season, however, it must be noted they are still 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS on their home field. 

I invite you to join us for the final game of the NFL regular season with my NFL pick on the San Fran 49ers as the Lone Ranger selection of the week. By putting the NFL odds in your favor, we extend the record of these selections to 15-2 ATS this season. 

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