NFL Picks: 4-Team Teaser to Increase Your Week 3 Profits

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, September 23, 2015 9:23 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 23, 2015 9:23 PM UTC

It was a wild Week 2 in the NFL and most sportsbooks began to recoup from the opening beatdown by those placing NFL picks. Many popular favorites not only did not cover the spread but lost outright.

This destroyed not only straight bets, but traditional parlays, money line parlays and teasers of all kinds. In doing research, what turned out to be the game that broke the bettors' back and made the sportsbooks flush with new cash was Washington beating St. Louis, as the Rams off their upset of Seattle was backed heavily in almost all scenarios.

As I mentioned a couple weeks ago, teasers have really grown in popularity among all forms by football bettors making NFL picks because you can structure the betting odds in a more favorable position, with the risk of choosing more games to increase your payout for wins.

Many football handicappers, including yours truly, have jumped in and are more interested on being on the right side of key numbers, besides just trying to determine winners. After just missing a winner in Week 1, I nailed the four-team teaser last week and will try and hit another as we move ahead.

Here are my teaser picks for NFL Week 3 and if you like them, remember that you do not have to play all four and can break them down into smaller segments and Heritage has some of the best NFL odds for teasers.


Baltimore +3.5
While it sounds ridiculous to say this, in terms of the present, this is a must win for Baltimore, because if they lose to Cincinnati, they fall three games behind them and would still have to play them in Ohio, plus, they have two games with Pittsburgh remaining. Thus, incentive will not be an issue for the Ravens.

When teasing down Baltimore from -2.5 to +3.5, we cross the all important No.3 on the hook which gives us and edge if needed. Here is a very positive position to be in against the betting odds on the Ravens: Baltimore is 30-3 against a teaser line in September home games, winning by an average 9.8 points a game.


Buffalo +9
Key division confrontations between Miami and Buffalo, with the winner staying within a game of New England in the division race. The Bills are three-point spread road underdogs, but on the six-point teaser, they jump all the way to +9, which takes us past the six and seven point barriers.

How this one should work in our favor is the Dolphins have been dreadful home favorites for more than a decade and are 13-30 ATS the last 10 years and being able to catch nine points certainly seems like and advantageous spot to be in.


Arizona -0.5
Arizona took the early lead in the NFC West last season and faltered down the stretch when having to play their third-string quarterback. If Carson Palmer would get hurt again, a similar fate could be awaiting the Cardinals, but for now, they are healthy and playing with purpose.

Arizona faces hated San Francisco, who has looked very good and very bad in their first tries of 2015. It appears the greatest concern about the 49ers is when they do not generate a pass rush, they are vulnerable in the secondary and the Cardinals have numerous weapons to create havoc. With the Redbirds just having to win the game and 14-3 at home the past two-plus seasons, like their chances on the teaser line.


Green Bay -0.5
You may have noticed Aaron Rodgers always finds a way to stay motivated. This seems to be a fairly common trait among great athletes, always seeking that edge. With Kansas City in Green Bay Monday night, I will expect Rodgers to express to his teams the last time they played the Chiefs in 2011, they were 13-0 and lost to them on the road 19-14 as 11-point favorites.

With Rodgers and Pack 37-3 SU in his last 40 starts at Lambeau Field, at these teaser odds, hard not to add this to the list of plays.

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