NFL Pick Influenced by Strong Offense in Saints vs. Cowboys

Steven Suarez

Friday, September 26, 2014 4:05 PM GMT

Friday, Sep. 26, 2014 4:05 PM GMT

Sunday Night Football in Week 4 should provide a lot of fireworks, as two top offenses in Dallas and New Orleans go at it. Will it be Tony Romo's Cowboys or Drew Brees' Saints that are the last ones standing?

Though the Saints have the worse record and will be on the road, they still find themselves classified as favorites for Week 4. They're laying three points at the best online sportsbooks, like Pinnacle.

This matchup figures to be one of the most high-scoring games of the week, which is backed up by the high total of 53.5.

 

Dallas Cowboys in 2014-15 regular season: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, +2.7 margin of victory
Injury Watch: Tony Romo (probable), Dez Bryant (questionable), Rolando McClain (questionable), Henry Melton (questionable), Justin Durant (probable), Anthony Spencer (questionable), Terrell McClain (questionable), Amobi Okoye (out), Jakar Hamilton (out),

New Orleans Saints in 2014-15 regular season: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, +2.0 margin of victory
Injury Watch: Mark Ingram (out), Ben Watson (questionable), Curtis Lofton (questionable), David Hawthorne (questionable), Marcus Ball (questionable)

 

The Cowboys have rebounded after a Week 1 loss to beat both Tennessee (26-10) and St. Louis (34-31) on the road.

In Week 3, Dallas held on for the win over the Rams, covering as short favorites on the NFL odds board in the process.

Tony Romo was 18-of-23 for 217 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. He linked up well with Dez Bryant, who had six catches for 89 yards and a touchdown, while Terrance Williams (two receptions for 32 yards) also found the end zone. DeMarco Murray had another productive game, totaling 100 yards and a TD on the ground as well as four catches for 31 yards. Murray is off to a terrific start for Dallas this season, and figures to be a huge part of the game-plan again this weekend.

Week 4's opponent will be the Saints, who finally got on the winning side o things last weekend.

After losing consecutive games on the road in Atlanta and Cleveland, New Orleans righted the ship with a 20-9 home win over Minnesota. The Saints were dominant in all phases, racking up 396 total yards of offense and limited the Vikings to 247 yards overall.

Drew Brees finished 27-of-35 for 293 yards and two touchdowns, Khiry Robinson ran 18 times for 69 yards (Pierre Thomas added eight carries for 30 yards and a TD), and Brandin Cooks led all New Orleans receivers with eight catches for 74 yards. Marques Colston and Josh Hill caught the touchdown passes.

As is typically the case with the Saints, they've been excellent on offense but struggled with their defensive consistency. Rob Ryan's unit faces another difficult challenge against Romo, Bryant, Murray and the rest this weekend.

 

Suarez Says:
The 'over' should always be considered when these two teams face off, as it'd be surprising not to see a shootout, especially in a nationally televised game. There's going to be a lot of speed and play-making ability on that field on Sunday night.

A total play looks even more appealing when you see little edge in an ATS play. Both teams have been inconsistent to start the season, so we're not sure which version of either team we're going to get this weekend.

Sometimes the obvious play is the correct play. Let's roll with the 'over' for this Sunday night NFL pick in what should be a torrid offensive display from both sides.

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