What a ride it has been so for in the NFL. We head into Week 5 and things could get messy if the Tennessee Titans continue to test positive for the coronavirus. They have gone two consecutive days without any new cases and hopefully that’s the case all week as they prepare to take on the Buffalo Bills. But to stay clear of last week’s issues, we’re not going to pick them for our contest… at least right now.
Continue to follow me as I dive into this season while taking part in the SBR Pick 6 Football contest. The best part is it’s free to play and you can sign up any week.
The SBR Pick 6 contest has you pick 6 football picks each week. It’ll have you getting out of your comfort or safe zone and rooting for teams you wouldn’t ever dare to. It’s great for beginners and experts. I’ll point out the best plays each week and sportsbooks to look into. You can bet with me or against me.
It’s never too late! Join me and my first SBR contest, Go PRO, where I will test my own knowledge in capping over the entire NFL season. With the most unusual offseason we have ever seen in NFL history and no preseason, we’ll see what teams actually took quarantine as a time to prepare to reach the Super Bowl.
I hope you’ll join the fun! Happy NFL betting, ya’ll and may the odds be in your favor.
And remember—play with your head and not your heart.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears
Thursday, October 08, 2020 – 8:20 PM EDT at Soldier Field
Things will get much easier this week as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football.
Tampa is coming off of an explosive, but close, win against the LA Chargers. Now they’ll turn right around to prepare for Chicago with not much time to celebrate their 3-1 start to the season. The Bears, who took a 3-0 record into their Week 4 matchup with the Indianapolis Colts, held them to only 19 points in their loss this week.
This marks the third week in a row that the Bucs will face a team whose quarterback is not the same one who started in Week 1, after facing injury replacements Jeff Driskel and Justin Herbert. At least this time it will be a familiar face, Nick Foles, who replaced Mitch Trubisky in Week 3 with a win over Atlanta.
This also marks the third straight season the Bucs play Foles. Tampa Bay won in Jacksonville last December, 28-11, with Foles starting. In the second week of 2018, the Bucs beat Philly in Tampa, 27-21, with Foles front and center.
The Bucs can win this one even without the injured Chris Godwin, but they’ll have to play a more consistent 60 minutes. Tampa looked a bit rusty against the Chargers after falling behind and having to rally. The Buccaneers will need their backups to step it up for a more productive offense.
The Bears, who are the underdogs at home, will definitely keep it close and possibly cover, but they don’t have enough power on offense to end Tom Brady’s Thursday night streak. Tampa Bay opened up as a 3 point favorite and now they’re at 6 in Bovada’s sportsbook.
Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, October 11, 2020 - 1:00 PM EDT at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
The Falcons might be a little more relieved to see Carolina on the menu this week. Though the 0-4 Falcons can’t seem to find a way to win, they always do against Carolina. In their past nine games against the Panthers, the Falcons are 8-1.
The Falcons continue to confuse fans and analysts by having a fire, but winless offense. Things ultimately come down to Dan Quinn who is inches away from the end of an era.
As for Carolina, new head coach Matt Ruhle is figuring it out. After their 0-2 start, the Panthers have won the last two games even without their primary weapon in Christian McCaffrey. Their young revamped defense looks solid and Teddy Bridgewater has morphed into a real starting quarterback throwing three touchdowns in three of four games.
The Falcons do, however, have their new No. 1 option Calvin Ridley back in the game after an ankle injury. Ridley, who had 3 consecutive 100-yard games, couldn’t catch the ball against the Packers and will get his momentum back this week at home. Even the washed-up Todd Gurley is gaining yards and keep the Falcons about water.
I feel all Atlanta has against the Panthers is Ridley and Gurley, who will take things seriously. Atlanta, who can’t rely on their defense at all, will have to outscore the Panthers. I can’t pick a side because my heart and head hurt. However, this will be a battle of the offenses. I’m going with the common “over” theme here.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, October 11, 2020 - 1:00 PM EDT at Arrowhead Stadium
The Las Vegas Raiders continue to get beat up, and Week 5 isn’t looking any prettier for them as they take on the Super Bowl Champions Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Raiders are coming off a 30-23 loss to the Buffalo Bills which dropped them to 2-2 on the season which is second in the AFC West. The Chiefs continued their 4-0 winning streak against the Cam Newtonless Patriots.
The Chiefs have jumped from 11 to 13 point favorites in this one, and that’s no surprise since Derek Carr and are struggling.
Since Mahomes has taken over as the starting quarterback in Kansas City, the Raiders have failed to be competitive. The Chiefs have scored at least 28 points in all four games and have nearly reached 40 twice. They have won three of the games by double-digits and two by more than 30 points.
There was, however, one game of competitiveness in December of 2018 where the Raiders scored 33 points in a seven-point loss. That’s the kind of play they’ll need if they want to keep up with this KC team at all. The Chiefs’ defense has only improved and their offense is unbeatable itself. KC will win this one outright, but that 13 point spread is high.
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, October 11, 2020 - 4:25 PM EDT at AT&T Stadium
Though Dallas has been struggling, they’re big favorites over the Giants in this one. The Cowboys continued to fall behind by several touchdowns before making coming back things interesting against the Browns in their 49-38 loss.
The Cowboys are OK on offense; it's their defense they’ll have to worry about. QB1 Dak Prescott had 502 yards for four touchdowns on Sunday, but it still wasn’t enough to overcome the weak defense. It will be this week though.
The winless Giants actually played much better than expected against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 4. New York fell 17-9 to the Rams after QB Daniel Jones threw an interception in the final minute to keep the Giants from scoring on their final drive. It was New York’s best rushing day of the season, gaining 136 yards on the ground.
After being let go by the Dallas Cowboys, the Giants hired Jason Garrett as their offensive coordinator. Despite their losses, he has been impressive so far on the year with his dynamic play-calling for Daniel Jones. Garrett will get his revenge by keeping it close with some great play calling against a leaky defense, still, the Cowboys take the win.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, October 11, 2020 - 8:20 PM EDT at CenturyLink Field
The Vikings game to like against the Houston Texans this week for their first win. Now they hit the road to Seattle as the underdog. The Seahawks continue to improve 4-0 with a win over Miami.
Something to remember heading into this matchup is that Pete Carroll is 4-0 as Seattle’s head coach against Mike Zimmer and Minnesota. But, both defenses rank low in the league which means a high-scoring game. A poor defense, however, hasn’t stopped Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks from winning each week. Wilson continues to perform well and there is little reason to think that will change against the Vikings.
Wilson leads all NFL quarterbacks with a 136.7 passer rating and a 75.2% completion rate. He’s on his way to making history with 16 touchdown passes and two interceptions and has led the Seahawks to over 30 points in every single game.
The Vikings, unfortunately, are without their top cornerbacks and pass rushers from last season, and it has been noticeable. The Seahawks are 4-0 against the spread, and the Vikings are 2-2.
Seattle has defeated Minnesota in each of the last two seasons having 14 points more in 2018 and a touchdown in 2019. The Vikings continue to hold their team together with scotch while the Seahawks’ duct tape hasn’t worn off, and certainly won’t this week.
Free NFL Pick: Seattle Seahawks -7 (-105) at BetOnline
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New Orleans Saints
Monday , October 12, 2020 - 8:15 PM EDT at Mercedes-Benz Superdome
The Chargers come off of a close win to one of the worst teams in the league, the New York Jets. The Saints beat the Lions by a touchdown, and continue their wild gambling run; New Orleans has covered the spread in 18 straight October games dating all the way back to Week 6 of 2015.
Just when you think QB Drew Brees is washed up, he’s not. He had a solid game through the air for the Saints on the road as he connected on 19 of his 25 pass attempts for 246 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 interception. The ground game was also efficient with Alvin Kamara running for 83 yards and 1 TD on 19 carries, and Latavius Murray with 64 yards and 2 TDs.
The Los Angeles Chargers have looked impressive with their rookie QB Justin Herbert, but they will have big problems with Austin Ekeler out. And their defense struggled against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as they allowed them to score 38 points and rack up a total of 484 yards. The Saints continue their crazy October streak.
Free NFL Pick: New Orleans Saints -7 ½ (-115) at Bovada