The NFC is dominated by favorites, but I’m here to give you my three best sleeper values in the NFL Futures. To qualify for a sleeper in this piece, a team has to have NFL Odds of 10/1 or higher to win the NFC from Bovada.
The NFL Odds have the Seahawks, 49ers and Packers as three solid NFC favoritee. Here are three sleeper teams on the opposite end of the spectrum.
Chicago Bears (NFC +1000)
The Bears may be one of the more undervalued teams in the entire NFL this season, let alone the NFC. The Bears are at +1000 at Bovada Sportsbook, and right away it looks like a value. The Bears have a legitimate shot to win the NFC North if everyone is healthy, and with the league’s 8th best offense from 2013 returning in full, the Bears look like they could surprise some people.
Not only did the Bears attain top status offensively, but also they did it without their starting quarterback for the entire season. Jay Cutler gets a lot of flak from Bears fans and national fans as well, but if he had played the entire season, Bears probably would have won the North. Obviously Aaron Rodgers also projects to be healthier than he was last season, but with the Bears’ defense drastically improved and healthier than 2013, Chicago is definitely in the sleeper category.
St. Louis Rams (NFC +2800)
Now before you start throwing Internet Assaults my way for listing the Rams’ NFC Futures price, hear me out on this one. Although I am far from recommending them as a potential NFL wager at this point, the Rams are very undervalued compared to the team they have. Sure they are young, but their defense is also very good. St. Louis may have one of the best front sevens in football this year, and playing indoors also gives them a nice advantage for half the season.
Another thing they could have going for themselves is a healthy Sam Bradford. Much like Cutler, Bradford was on pace for at least a solid year offensively. Through seven games in 2013 before he got hurt, Bradford was on pace for 3800 yards, 32 touchdowns and less than 10 interceptions. If he can replicate that with a skill group core that has another year under their belts, the Rams could be one of the best ATS values of any team.
Washington Redskins (NFC +2800)
This one may be somewhat of a homer pick, however if Robert Griffin III looks as good as everyone around here says he does, this team is in for a huge run up the standings. After a three-win season there almost isn’t anywhere to go but up, but a 9-7 record is easily possible for Washington this season. While that may not get them into the playoffs, the NFL Odds price of +2800 to win the NFC is undervaluing the football team in DC.
Washington also had a ton of injuries on defense last year which really killed them, but now with RG3 shedding the knee braise and gaining a quarterback/offense guru in Jay Gruden, the Redskins are looking like they too could have tremendous ATS value like they did two seasons ago.