NFL Odds Favor Patriots Over Dolphins in Season Opener

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 2, 2014 7:41 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 2, 2014 7:41 PM UTC

The Patriots enjoyed another successful regular season in 2013-14, but couldn't get it done come playoff time. They open their season on the road against a division rival in Miami, and oddsmakers have opened Bill Belichick's crew as the favorites.

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Some interesting line shifts throughout the week.

When we checked earlier, oddsmakers had the spread at either 4.5 or 5, but now we mostly see 3.5 and 4 available for the taking. 

And, in all honesty, we'll gladly take the shorter odds that come with backing New England. We know Miami returns a lot of key guys, but this is the Patriots we're talking about. They're a juggernaut and appear poised to make a run at another Super Bowl this season.

We're not going to over-think this one. Take the Patriots to win and cover as NFL Picks.

Free NFL Pick:? Patriots -3.5


We know New England is going to be one of the top dogs in the NFL as long as Belichick and Tom Brady are around. The same should hold true for 2014-15.

Week 1 presents an early test, though, with the Patriots taking on a Dolphins team that went 8-8 last season. New England is favored either 4.5 or 5 points, depending on the sportsbook, while the O/U is listed at right around 45.

In terms of movement, the Patriots line has grown a point and a half since the opening football odds were released. The public is liking New England.

Miami in 2013-14 Regular Season: 8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS, -1.1 margin of victory

New England in 2013-14 Regular Season: 12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS, +6.6 margin of victory

One of Miami's biggest moves over the offseason was the addition of Knowshon Moreno, who will compete with Lamar Miller for touches in the backfield. Ryan Tannehill remains as the starting quarterback of choice, with Mike Wallace, Brian Hartline and Brandon Gibson the top three receivers on the depth chart. Feisty corner back Cortland Finnegan is a man to watch on the defensive side of things.

The Patriots are, as usual, led by Brady, who has his fair share of weapons to help out this season. We've seen Brady make the most of his supporting casts in the past, but he shouldn't have to worry much about that with Rob Gronkowski, Julian Edelman, Aaron Dobson. Tim Wright and Danny Amendola all involved in some way or another. Running back Shane Vereen looks like he'll have a lot of value due to his ability to help in the passing game too.

What it comes down to is we've learned never to count out Belichick and Brady to have the team in contender status. New England comes in with a lot of talent on both sides of the ball, and they should be one of the best teams in the league. The NFL odds reflect that notion.

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