NFL Odds Favor Home Patriots over Raiders in Week 3

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 16, 2014 3:24 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 3:24 PM UTC

The Patriots notched their first win of the season in Week 2. Now they will take part in their first home game, where they'll welcome the Raiders. We know who the NFL betting odds will favor, but will New England be able to cover the huge number?

***U P D A T E***
Though there's a sportsbook or two that have a spread of 15, most of the sites have a spread of either 14 or 14.5. It's a lot of chalk, but this is the Patriots we're talking about. 

There are quite a few injury concerns for New England, though most are probably just precautionary. Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski, Shane Vereen, Jamie Collins, and Alfonzo Dennard are questionable to play, but we'd be surprised if the majority didn't feature on Sunday.

Oakland's Maurice Jones-Drew, Rod Streater, Justin Tuck, Sio Moore and Carlos Rogers are questionable. 

For Sunday, we're going to find it tough not to take New England, regardless of how high the spread is. The Raiders haven't looked too good at all in the early stages of the season, whereas the Patriots were fantastic in their Week 2 demolition of the Vikings in Minnesota. 

Some are going to be wary about laying so many points, but if there's one team to back in a situation like that it's the Patriots, especially at home against an inconsistent Raiders team. Take New England as large favorites.

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -14 for your free pick


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For Week 3, the biggest favorites on the board are the Patriots, who are favored at either 14 or 14.5 points depending on the book. We wouldn't be surprised to see the line grow even more as we approach Sunday.

As for the game's total, it's going back and forth between 46.5 and 47 at 5Dimes and other books.

New England Patriots in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, +5.0 margin of victory

Oakland Raiders in 2014-15 Regular Season: 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, -10.5 margin of victory

The Patriots disappointed Week 1, falling short to a division rival in Miami, but they bounced back in style last weekend, crushing Minnesota 30-7. In the process, New England easily covered as the betting favorites.

Tom Brady didn't have to do much in the win, as his team's defense stepped up and did the most damage. Brady had only 149 passing yards with one touchdown, with Stevean Ridley running 25 times for 101 yards and a score and Julian Edelman topping all receivers with six catches for 81 yards and a touchdown.

As we mentioned though, defensively is where the Patriots shined. They forced four Matt Cassel interceptions and also sacked the quarterback six times.

You'd have to think New England will have a lot of success once more in Week 3 at home against Oakland, who lost 30-14 at home Houston in Week 2. Coming in, the Raiders were small underdogs in the NFL odds.

Derek Carr was 27-of-42 for 263 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions, and added four carries for 58 yards. Darren McFadden filled in for the injured Maurice Jones-Drew to carry 12 times for 37 yards and a touchdown. James Jones led Oakland with nine catches for 112 yards and a trip to the end zone.

All in all, the Raiders weren't competitive in Week 2 in an overall disappointing effort, and now they face one of the strongest overall teams in New England on the road. The NFL betting lines could very well continue to grow in the Patriots favor.

Regardless of how high that line may get, we only feel good about siding with Brady and company in this spot when it comes to an ATS NFL pick. We may take a gander at a total selection, but for now we have a lean on the home team.

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