NFL Odds Asking too Much of San Fran in Bears vs. 49ers?

Steven Suarez

Thursday, September 11, 2014 2:10 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 11, 2014 2:10 PM UTC

Will the Bears end up 0-2 after Week 2 is done and dusted? They'll try to rebound after a tough home loss, but it's not going to be easy against Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers. Which team should we be backing with our NFL picks?

* * U P D A T E * *

The NFL odds have stood still, as the 49ers have remained favored by seven points at practically every sportsbook. The total is at 48.

San Francisco looked great in its Week 1 dismantling of the Cowboys in Dallas, and now the 49ers make their home debut against a Bears team that was upset by Buffalo at home.

Momentum is clearly on San Francisco's side here, but is the home team the right side with our ATS picks?

The 49ers have a lot of talent on both sides of the ball, we know that, but the Bears do too. This is a top offense in Chicago we're talking about here, as Jay Cutler can rely on the likes of Matt Forte, Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery to bail him out. There are injury question marks on Marshall and Jeffery, but we'd be surprised if they didn't find a way to get on the field.

We'd be surprised to see Chicago win straight up, but this is a lot of points to lay for San Francisco. As such, we're going to add the Bears as dogs to our NFL picks for Week 2, as we expect Cutler and company to keep this thing relatively close on Sunday Night Football.

NFL Picks: Bears +7

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* * O R I G I N A L * *

Though a couple books have different numbers, most of the sites have a spread of seven on the board. Of course, it's the 49ers that are the favorites on their home turf.

The total has moved from 48 to 48.5, at sportsbook like 5Dimes, with plenty of time still left for the NFL betting lines to shift.

San Francisco 49ers in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, +11.0 margin of victory

Chicago Bears in 2014-15 Regular Season: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, -3.0 margin of victory

The 49ers have momentum on their side after going into Dallas and crushing the Cowboys 28-17.

The score-line flatters the Cowboys, as San Francisco was dominant right from the get go, racing out to a 28-3 lead before Dallas grabbed a couple second-half touchdowns that ended up making little difference.

Kaepernick made quick work of the Cowboys, finishing 16-of-23 for 201 yards and two touchdown throws, both of which were caught by tight end Vernon Davis. Frank Gore and Carlos Hyde toatled 113 yards and a touchdown, with Anquan Boldin (eight catches for 99 yards) standing out most in the receiving game.

Defensively, the 49ers swarmed Tony Romo and forced numerous mistakes, and they'll look to do the same to Jay Cutler in Week 2.

Chicago was left wondering what went wrong in a 23-20 home loss to Buffalo. The Bears were favored coming in, but ended up losing on a field goal in overtime.

Cutler ended up with 349 passing yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw two interceptions. Matt Forte had 169 total yards, but didn't reach the end zone, while Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery and Martellus Bennett all recorded at least 70 yards receiving.

Week 1 was a great opportunity for the Bears to get out to a positive 1-0 start in front of their own fans, but now they're in a very precarious position, facing a very difficult challenge in San Francisco. There's a good possibility Chicago will be 0-2 to start the season.

It's difficult to discern where the best NFL odds value is for this game, but we do think this could be a good spot to take the Bears, a talented team, especially on the offensive side of the ball, that will be itching to redeem themselves. This is may be a little too high of a spread not to take Chicago for our NFL picks.

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