It was another great day of prop betting on Sunday as we easily cashed a couple of plays from Bovada sportsbooks. Now it’s Monday night's game in Mexico between Houston and Oakland and two NFL picks to finish off Week 11.
NFL Props Season Record: 63-45-2
Derek Carr O/U 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
After a couple of big wins on Sunday, I am feeling confident heading into the Monday Night Football battle in Mexico City. Oakland's Carr very well could have a huge game on this neutral field, but the Texans’ passing defense has been very good this season.
the Texans have allowed only eight touchdowns through the air. They gave up two passing TDs last week, but overall this season the Texans have held quarterbacks like Matthew Stafford and Andrew Luck to only one passing TD in a game.
The other big reason I like this play so much is the NFL odds from Bovada. The sportsbook is offering +175 for the 'under' here, and while Carr and Co. are a great passing offense, I see the Texans getting up for this game and slowing down the Raiders. Oakland could also run the ball a lot more against this poor rushing defense, leading to even fewer passing touchdown opportunities for the Raiders.
NFL Free Pick: 'Under' 1.5 (+175)
Best Lines Offered Both Props: Bovada
DeAndre Hopkins O/U 65.5 Receiving Yards
Unlike the Texans’ defense, the Raiders’ secondary has been full of holes at times this season. it has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards to opposing receivers, and while Hopkins hasn’t exactly been that show-stopping receiver from last season he has a chance to have a big game tonight on a neutral field.
Other than their games against Tampa Bay and Kansas City, two teams that are far from passing titans, the Raiders have given up a ton of yards to receivers recently. They have allowed an average of 202 yards to opposing receivers against the Ravens, Chargers, Jaguars and Broncos, so even with Brock Osweiler’s struggles it’s hard to bet against Hopkins in this one.
Even though "Nuk" has been very poor this season, Hopkins is a buy low candidate for his prop on NFL picks tonight. In a game that could feature a ton of passing offense, look for him to have over 70 or even 80 receiving yards. The Raiders have not only allowed a ton of yards to receivers, they have given up an average of 14 catches per game to receivers in 2016. Assuming Hopkins gets about seven or eight of those catches tonight, the 'over' is the play.
NFL Free Pick: 'Over' 65.5 (-125)