Welcome to a Monday Night Football doubleheader! It’s the opening week of football and after a wild and crazy Week 1 on Sunday, we still have two more games and some prop betting picks from Bovada to win before we put a wrap on opening weekend!
Ted Ginn Jr. O/U 47 ½ receiving yards
With Willie Snead suspended for the first three games of the season, there is some opportunity available in the Saints’ receiving core. Michael Thomas is still going to eat those three weeks, but tonight on the road against a stacked Vikings defense, there is a chance that the Vikes sell out to stop Thomas and make the Saints beat them underneath.
That’s where Ted Ginn Jr. comes in. Without Snead, Ginn is going to need to step up for this offense. While I expect Coby Fleener and the running game to do more as well, Ginn will be a threat to take a corner one-one-one into the end zone.
At a total of just 47 ½ yards, that’s two or three big plays down the sideline or coming across the middle of the field. In a game where the Saints may not be able to run the ball at all, short and intermediate passes to Ginn and Fleener might be the answer.
I am almost sure that Thomas will be facing either double teams or safety help over the top all game from the Vikings secondary. If Ginn can get some mismatches and/or one-on-one coverage, I like his chance to go over tonight in a game the Saints could be trailing.
My Prop Pick: OVER 47 ½ (-125) @ Bovada
Philip Rivers O/U 245 ½ passing yards
Playing on the road in Mile High Stadium on the opening night of Monday Night Football is not an easy task. While Philip Rivers may not be riding in his $200,000 luxury SUV/film room to the game in Denver, he is going to be well prepared in this one.
Plus, there is always the chance that his team could fall behind on the road, and on the road early in the season is where you want to bet on Rivers going over his passing yards total.
For his career, he averages 267 yards per game on the road, and in games played in September, he averages nearly 277 passing yards per game.
He has played well against the Broncos in his career, a team he has played 23 times, as much as any other team in the league along with the Chiefs. River is averaging almost 250 passing yards per game in his last three trips to Mile High, and while that’s not a great average by any means, his passing weapons are as good as they have ever been, and as long as his O-line is blocking well for him, the Broncos can’t cover everyone.
I expect 265 passing yards on more than 35 attempts tonight for Rivers, making him a nice over bet for the late-night Monday game.
My Pick: OVER 245 ½ (-115) @ Bovada