We crashed and burned on Sunday Night Football with our player props. Bovada sportsbook is at it again for the Monday Night Football showdown between the Falcons and Saints and I have two more player props to try and improve our record some more to close out Week 3.
Matt Ryan O/U 300½ Passing Yards
In my fantasy football team with my friends from high school and college, I always take a quarterback late in the draft. Last year it was Phillip Rivers as the 13th quarterback off the board and this time around it is Matt Ryan.
My strategy has paid off and after a horrible 2015, through two games it looks as if the Falcons’ passing game has their mojo back. Ryan is off to a very hot start to the season and his battle with the Saints on Monday is going to bring more passing prowess to the Big Easy.
Ryan has already attempted 73 passes and has 730 yards through the air in two games and he has already beaten up on two bad defenses this season. The Saints will be the third bad defense he gets the chance to beat up on, so as long as Mohamed Sanu is healthy and the running game is doing their job, Ryan should have no problem throwing for more than 300 yards for the third straight week.
The Saints’ secondary is already banged up, but what’s great about this play is that even f the Falcons gain the lead early, they are still going to throw the ball. However, I see them falling behind eventually in this game, which is going to lead to a lot of Ryan to Julio Jones pass attempts in this one.
Free NFL Pick: Over 300 ½ (-130)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada
Tevin Coleman O/U 22½ Receiving Yards
This NFL week 3 prediction is almost completely reliant on game theory in this one, but if the Saints are playing with the lead, we are going to be seeing a lot more of Tevin Coleman in this one. He was targeted six times in Week 1 with the Falcons playing from behind and he added two more targets and catches last week.
He has now gone over 22½ receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ first two games and if Atlanta falls behind on the road, he is going to once again be seeing three or four targets and catches in this one.
New Orleans allowed the Giants to get five catches on five targets to their running backs in Week 1 and in Week 2, the Raiders got their running backs four catches for 40 yards. Look for Coleman to get about three or four looks like the passing game here, especially considering Devonta Freeman doesn’t play much or at all on passing downs.
Free NFL Pick: Over 22 ½ (-125)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada, now offering 100% Cash Bonus
Season Player Props Record: 12-7-2