NFL Divisional Round Prop Pick: Brady Should Carve Up Titans

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, January 11, 2018 5:34 PM UTC

Thursday, Jan. 11, 2018 5:34 PM UTC

It’s time again for some prop betting picks in the final week of football before the conference championships. Here's a player pick on Saturday's Titans-Patriots game.

Tom Brady O/U 23½ Pass Completions

The Titans made one of the more impressive postseason comebacks in recent memory in the Wild-Card round in Kansas City, and their reward is going to be given to them as they serve as the sacrificial lamb to Tom Brady and the New England Patriots.

Marcus Mariota's Titans are a solid team, but on the road against the likes of Bill Belichick is not the way you want to play your first career playoff game. On top of that, the Titans’ defense has been horrible against opposing quarterbacks this season. It gave up 264 yards on 24 completions to Alex Smith last week, and you can bet that Brady and the Pats are going to be throwing all game.

The Titans’ defense gave up more pass completions than any team outside of Dallas and Tampa Bay, and Tennessee led the league in allowing 602 pass attempts. Over the last five weeks of the regular season, the Titans’ secondary gave up three games of 300-plus yards, and with the Pats getting healthier after the week off it’s going to be close to a full stable for Brady.

Chris Hogan is expected back for the Pats, and along with Rob Gronkowski and Brandin Cooks in the fold after either being injured or on another team for last year, the Pats have extra weapons to beat up on the Titans’ secondary. Not only that, but Tennessee was tough to run on this year, the likelihood of a high-volume passing night for Brady that much more likely.

The weather in Foxborough is supposed to also be mild for the game. Considering Brady is averaging more than 26 completions over his last 10 games, I like his chances of 24 or more in the Divisional Round.

Free NFL Pick: Over 23½ (-110)Best Line Offered: 5Dimes
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