In our Into The Weekend with BetDSI show for January 10th, Brent and I discussed the four NFL Divisional round playoff games, as well as how he wound up doing on our sports picks the previous weekend with the Wild Card playoff games and the BCS Championship.
In contrast to our call last week where we discussed the Wild Card games and Brent had seen little in the way of sharp action, there has actually been quite a bit of sharp action on the Divisional games so far according to Brent.
The lines for these games may be a bit more difficult for the average recreational handicapper to get a handle on, since each game involves a team coming off of a week of rest, at home, facing a team that is on the road and without extra rest, but also off of a playoff win.
Denver and New England are both near-double digit favorites, as the market does not appear to believe that Baltimore and Houston, both of which closed the regular season a bit unsteady and sub-par against the spread, are likely to be able to stay competitive.
The Seattle/Atlanta game has the most controversial line out of all the Divisional Round games. Seattle, of course, made impressive gains at the end of the regular season, matching their strong year-long defense with a suddenly explosive offense led by rookie QB Russell Wilson, who may have simply matured into a new level of ability after getting used to NFL play.
So, the issue is exactly how highly Wilson and Seattle should be rated right now. Are they playing at a new level that the market simply hasn’t caught up with yet, and will be undervalued as far as they go for the rest of the playoffs? Perhaps. Many SBR forum members expressed surprise at how small of a favorite top NFC seed Atlanta opened, and Brent did take some early sharp action on a side in this one.
Then finally, the Green Bay/San Francisco game simply pits two elite programs against each other with a standard spread of a field goal favoring the home team. But even on that game, Brent has seen sharp action with an opinion on a side.
Check out our popular weekly show, where Brent goes into detail about the betting volume and sharp/public splits of all these events and more NFL free picks!Follow all of this weekend's NFL betting odds.