NFL Betting: Week 8 Advanced Lines From the Westgate Las Vegas

Kevin Stott

Friday, October 23, 2015 1:41 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 23, 2015 1:41 PM UTC

Here are all the fresh Advanced Line Point Spreads, from the Westgate Las Vegas, for NFL Week 8 & some Trends for the 14 games along with recent series results and picks.

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
The Miami Dolphins (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Texans on Sunday) head to Gillette Stadium next Thursday night to face the Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS; vs. Jets on Sunday) and QB Tom Brady (70-48-5 ATS at Home) in a primetime AFC East meeting in Foxboro. When these two played last season, the Patriots won and covered as 9=point favorites in this game at Home, 41-13, while in Week 1 in Miami, the Dolphins upset New England, 33-20 as 3-point underdogs. Recent Trends in this series see the Patriots at 3-0 ATS the L3 here in Foxboro (41-13, 27-17, 28-0). Still it seems oddsmakers are 2-3 points off on this Miami team—the Dolphins are 4½-point favorites over the Houston Texans this Sunday in Week 7 in Miami—so backing New England at this seemingly bargain basement price just feels right. Head Coach Bill Belichick knows the importance of Home-field advantage in the Postseason. TE Rob Gronkowski and the Patriots opened 9½-point favorites in the NFL Games of the Year number out this Summer, so just about the same vibe.
NFL Pick: Patriots -10½


Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs -2½
The Kansas City Chiefs (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS; vs. Steelers on Sunday) and the Detroit Lions (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS; vs. Vikings on Sunday) meet at Wembley Stadium in London, England next Sunday in Week 8 in the third game of the 2015/16 NFL Regular Season to be played in Londontown and the second straight week of American professional Football action in the United Kingdom. These two teams don’t play often, but the last time they met, the Chiefs rolled, 48-3 as 3-point underdogs in Detroit. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in the L6 meetings, but this is a tough call with both teams being on the downswing and the neutral site. RB Jamaal Charles is out for the season for Kansas City while WR Jeremy Maclin continues to nurse an injury, so this team is not even close to being 100% on Offense. The Chiefs opened up as 3½-point favorites in this game in the renowned Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook NFL Games of the Year.


Minnesota Vikings -2½ -120 vs. Chicago Bears
The Minnesota Vikings (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS; at Lions on Sunday) head to Soldier Field in Chicago next weekend to face the Chicago Bears (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, Open Date) in this Week 8 contest which will be a big Win for the ultimate winners and a tough Loss for the ultimate Losers, possibly ending any Postseason hopers. When these two met last season, the Vikings lost 21-13 in this game in Chitown as 2½-point underdogs while the Vikings won in Minneapolis, but failed to cover as 7-point chalks, 13-9. The Bears are 6-1 ATS L7 vs. Minnesota here at Home and the Bears are 8-3 ATS the L11 in this series. With QB Jay Cutler (22-42 ATS at Home) back, Chicago is much better and although improved, Minnesota is still just a middle-of-the-pack team and nothing to write home about. Pass. And why don’t you punt and kick it while you’re at it too.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons -9
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; at Redskins on Sunday) head to the Georgia Dome to face the Atlanta Falcons (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS; at Titans on Sunday) and QB Matt Ryan in Week 8 in Atlanta in a big NFC South game for both teams. Last season, the Falcons won 56-14 in this game, easily covering as 7-point favorites while in the return leg in the Sunshine State, Atlanta won 27-17, again covering, this time as a 3-point favorite. The Falcons are 3-1 ATS the L4 vs. Tampa Bay and Atlanta is also 3-1 ATS the L4 here at Home against the Buccaneers. A big number and still unsure if first-year Head Coach Dan Quinn’s Dirty Birds v2.0 are the real deal.


New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints -2
The Superdome in New Orleans is the site of the Week 8 game between the host New Orleans Saints (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS; at Colts on Sunday) and Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr. and the New York Giants (3-3 SU; 3-3 ATS; vs. Cowboys on Sunday). When these two last met, the G-Men clobbered the Saints, 52-27 as 4-point favorites in 2012—the year the World didn’t end...again—while the last meeting here in The Big Easy (2011), New Orleans and future HOF QB Drew Brees won, 49-24, covering as 7-point chalks. The Saints are 4-0 ATS the L4 here at the Superdome vs. New York NFC and New Orleans is 3-1 ATS the L4 overall in this series.


San Francisco 49ers vs. St. Louis Rams -5
The San Francisco 49ers (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS; vs. Seahawks on Thursday Night Football) head to the Gateway City of St. Louis to break bread with the Rams (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Browns on Sunday) and Rookie RB Todd Gurley (Georgia) next Sunday afternoon in a big NFC West affair from the Midwest city that gave us Budweiser beer and Nelly. Why my Cutlass blue? The last time these two played, the Rams won outright 13-10 as huge 10-point underdogs at the brand new Levi’s Stadium last season while in the game here in St. Louis last season, the 49ers won and covered ATS, 31-17 as 3-point favorites. San Francisco is 3-1 ATS the L4 overall against the Rams and Colin Kaepernick and the Niners—who will lose 2 Body Clock Hours traveling east from PDT to CDT—could very well go in to St. Louis and win this one.
NFL Pick: 49ers +5


Arizona Cardinals -4 vs. Cleveland Browns
The upstart Arizona Cardinals (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS; Open Date) and QB Carson Palmer (37-33-3 ATS on Road) head east once again, this time to Cleveland and FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland to play the Browns (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS; at Rams on Sunday) and Josh McCown in this surprisingly interesting inter-conference Week 8 matchup from the Buckeye State which will be a big game for both sides. The last time these two met, the Cardinals won 20-17 as 6-point favorite in Glendale in 2011, while in the last meeting here in Cleveland, the Browns won 44-6 in 2003 easily covering ATS. After losing to the Steelers in Pittsburgh in Week 6, expect a better performance from QB Carson Palmer, WR Larry Fitzgerald, WR Michael Floyd and WR John Brown here in Ohio next weekend in Week 8.
NFL Pick: Cardinals -4


Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers No Line
The undefeated (at this point, Week 7) Cincinnati Bengals (6-0 SU, 5-0-1 ATS; Open Date) head to Heinz Field in Pittsburgh next Sunday to face the Steelers (4-2 SU, 4-0-2 ATS; at Chiefs on Sunday) in a huge AFC North fracase and what should be an extremely entertaining game, although the availability of Pittsburgh starting QB Ben Roethlisberger is still a question at this point in Time. The Bengals and QB Andy Dalton (13-12 ATS on Road) will be well-rested, coming in off their Open Date, while Head Coach Mike Tomlin and the host Steelers may be wavering between Michael Vick and Landry Jones as a starter here, so this is a game in which knowing whether or not the participation of Roethlisberger would be wise for both Oddsmakers and the Betting Public to be making any decisions. Cincinnati is really good this season. If Big ben does start here, there could be more than 55 points scored here.


San Diego Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens -2
QB Philip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS; vs. Raiders on Sunday) head to M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore next Sunday to face the Ravens Ravens (1-5 SU, 0-5-1 ATS; at Cardinals on Sunday) and QB Joe Flacco (31-28-1 at Home) in this AFC inter-divisional tilt probably more important to the visiting Bolts with the Ravens pretty much already out of the picture with their miserable start. The last time these two played, the Chargers won 34-33 as 6-point underdogs last season in Baltimore, while the Ravens won 16-14 as 3-point underdogs in San Diego in 2011. A tough handicap.


Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans No Line
The Houston Texans (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS; at Dolphins on Sunday) welcome the Tennessee Titans (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Falcons on Sunday) and Rookie QB Marcus Mariota to NRG Stadium in Houston next Sunday afternoon in a not-thrilling AFC South affair from the Lone Star State. Last year, the Texans beat the Titans, 30-16 as 3-point favorites in the first meeting in Nashville while Houston clobbered the Titans, 45-21 here in H-Town as 6-point favorites, easily covering ATS. The Texans are an impressive 7-1 ATS the L8 against Tennessee and 4-1 ATS the L5 here in Houston. Expect the Texans to be small, 2 to 3=point favorites when this number for this Week 8 comes out.


New York Jets -3 vs. Oakland Raiders
The New York Jets (4-1 SU; 4-1 ATS; at Patriots on Sunday Night Football) and RB Chris Ivory (83 rushes, 460 yards 4 TDs) head out west to the Coliseum in Oakland next Sunday to face the host Raiders (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Chargers on Sunday) in a fun inter-divisional AFC battle from the Golden State. Oakland should have a small advantage here with the J-E-T-S, Jets! Jets! Jets! having to travel 3 Time Zones (EDT to PDT) west and play the game at a physical kickoff time of 4:05 (pm, EDT), when most Homo Sapiens prefer an afternoon pot of Coffee or a good Nap, complete with some Drooling down the old chin. When these two last met, the Raiders lost 19-14 but covered as 6½-point underdogs in Week 1 last season at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford while in the last meeting here in Oaktown between the two, the Raiders rolled to a 34-24 victory in 2011, winning outright as 3-point underdogs and winning money for their Black and Silver betting backers. The Raiders are 3-1-1 ATS the L5 at Home here in Oakland vs. the Jets. These ain’t those Jets.
NFL Pick: Jets -3


Seattle Seahawks -5½ vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS; at Giants on Sunday) welcome the defending NFC champion and slumping Seattle Seahawks (2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS; at 49ers on Thursday Night Football) to AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas next Sunday afternoon for this Week 8 inter-divisional NFL dance from Big D. The last time QB Russell Wilson and the Seahawks played Dallas, the Cowboys and QB Tony Romo won and upset the Seahawks last season, 30-23 in Seattle as 10-point underdogs. The Cowpoke may be going with third-stringer Matt Cassel at QB, who was slated to start in Week 7 for the Cowboys at the New York Giants (Giants -3½, 45, Pinnacle), The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS the L8 vs Seattle overall and Dallas is 4-1 ATS the L5 at Home here in Arlington vs. the Seahawks. This looked like a great game in the Regular Season schedule this Summer, but now looks like a “Survivor may make it to the Postseason” affair although the Cowboys do play in the struggling NFC East. Dallas may still be without Romo and WR Dez Bryant here while the Seahawks and Head Coach Pete Carroll will need RB Marshawn Lynch to start contributing to open up the Offense. This team can ill afford to make any more mistakes. The Seahawks were 8½-point favorites in the NFL Games of the Year number out this Summer.


Green Bay Packers -3 vs. Denver Broncos
QB Aaron Rodgers (32-27 ATS on Road) and the Green Bay Packers (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS; Open Date) and QB Peyton Manning (73-69-2 ATS at Home) and the Denver Broncos (6-0 SU, 4-1-1 ATS; Open Date) both come in to this primetime showdown at Sports Authority Field in Denver next Sunday night well-rested, coming off their Bye weeks. The last time these two met, the 2011 at Lambeau Field, Green Bay romped to a 49-23 win, covering as healthy 12½-point favorites while the last time these two played in the Rocky Mountains, the Packers also won and covered, 19-13 as 3-point underdogs in Denver in 2007. The Packers are 3-0 ATS the L3 against the Broncos, but with Denver’s Defense, the Altitude and the Travel, this is is hard game to make a case for the Cheeseheads in and the 1-Hour Body Clock difference (CDT to MDT) ain’t no thang but a chicken wang. The Packers were also installed as 3-point favorites in the SuperBook NFL Games of the Year released early each Summer here in neon-flavored Las Vegas. This one is definitely Must-watch stuff but you already knew that if you’re reading this. This will be heavily bet on and maybe shouldn’t be. We’ll see the real Denver Broncos here. And maybe a different side of the Green Bay Packers. Avoid potential Super Bowl 50 preview cliches.


Indianapolis Colts vs. Carolina Panthers -3½
QB Cam Newton (18-16-1 ATS at Home) and the Carolina Panthers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS; vs. Eagles on Monday Night Football) open the doors of Bank of America Stadium to QB Andrew Luck (14-13 ATS on Road) and the Indianapolis Colts (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS; vs. Saints on Sunday) next Monday night (Week 8) in what should be a very entertaining inter-conference affair from the Tar Heel State. In the last meeting between the two in this infrequent series, the Panthers won 27-18 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis in 2011, covering as a 3-point favorite while the last time they met here at Bank of America Stadium, the Colts won 37-7 and easily covered ATS as 7-point favorites, so the Road teams have done great the L2. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS the L5 against the Colts and with TE Greg Olsen, RB James Stewart and WR Ted Ginn (13 receptions, 324 yards, 3 TDs), will have enough to keep Indianapolis off balance here although there’s no doubt whatever happens in the upcoming NFL Week 7, this game will be much more important to the Colts and much-maligned Head Coach Chuck Pagano, even playing in the AFC South. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook lined this at Panthers -2½ in its NFL Games of the Year.


NFL WEEK 8 OPEN DATES: Buffalo Bills, Jacksonville Jaguars, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Redskins

NFL WEEK 8 ADVANCED LINE PICKS: New England Patriots -10½ over Miami Dolphins;San Francisco 49ers +5 over St. Louis Rams; Arizona Cardinals -4 over Cleveland Browns; NY Jets -3 over Oakland Raiders (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

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