NFL Betting Week 15: Advanced Lines From the Westgate Las Vegas

Kevin Stott

Thursday, December 10, 2015 2:40 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 10, 2015 2:40 PM UTC

We look at the Week 15 Advanced Lines courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook. Do not miss out on the early NFL odds and some of the NFL picks that we draw out just for you!

If you look closely, you can see the end of the NFL Regular Season in the not-so-distant Future—along with some Ham, Reindeer and a couple of Elves—and in typical NFL December tradition, we have our first Saturday game of the season coming up in Week 15 which features a trio of killer games in the Texans-Colts, Panthers-Giants and Broncos-Steelers as teams start to get eliminated from the Postseason. So, fresh from Sin City, here are your Week 15 Advanced Point Spreads from the world’s largest sportsbook, the recently remodeled Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, along with recent series results, Trends and some first-gut NFL picks for you, savvy Sportsbook Review readers.


Thursday, December 17, 2015
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. St. Louis Rams -1 (NFL Network, 8:25 p.m. EST/5:25 p.m. PST):
Yet another Holiday lump of coal in your stocking from the good folks over at the NFL, this NFC scuffle between Rookie QB Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS, vs. vs. Saints on Sunday) and Rookie RB sensation Todd Gurley and the punchless St. Louis Rams (4-8 SU, 4-7-1 ATS, vs. Lions on Sunday) now only matters to visitors Tampa Bay in the context of shooting for a Wild Card spot heading in, who for now are the projected 7-seed in the conference. The last meeting between these two saw the Rams win outright as 3-point underdogs in Tampa in 2012, 28-13, while in the last game in this series here in the Show Me State, the Rams also won and covered, this time as 3-point favorites in 2013, 23-13. St. Louis is an impressive 5-1 ATS the L6 against the Buccaneers but with the 2nd-least Total number of Points in the league (189) and a number still under 200 as we talk about Week 15 means looking at the underdog Tampa Bay is the only logical thing for now. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened up WR Tavon Austin and the host Rams as 7-point favorites over the Buccaneers in their renowned NFL Games of the Year—released each summer—for this game, so you can see how much perceptions of both teams have changed.


Saturday, December 19, 2015
New York Jets -3 Even vs. Dallas Cowboys (CBS, NFL RedZone, 8:25 p.m. EST/5:25 p.m. PST):
The first Saturday game of the season sees the New York Jets (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, vs. Titans on Sunday) heading to AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas to face the Dallas Cowboys (4-8 SU, 4-8 ATS, at Packers on Sunday) in a Week 15 inter-conference game which will likely still have meaning to both teams. The last time these two played, the Jets won 27-24 in Week 1 in the 2011 season but failed to cover ATS as 6-point favorites at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford while the last game here in the Lone State State saw the then Wade Phillips-coached Cowboys stomp the Jets, 34-3 and cover as big 14½-point favorites in 2007. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS the L5 in this series but without starting QB Tony Romo and coming off a game against the Packers in Green Bay this Sunday in Week 13, it’s too hard to want to back the hosts or lay the 3 but this seems like it could be a very sluggish, slow-starting (1st Quarter Under) and low-scoring game which betting the Total under may be the best idea when that number is released in the marketplace. In those select NFL Games of the Year put out by the SuperBook here in Sin City, America’s Former Team (the Cowboys) opened up as 7-point favorites over the Jets, so the monster 10-point perception swing says it all, of course courtesy in great part to the second Collarbone Injury to Cowboys starting QB and Eastern Illinois University product Romo on Thanksgiving Day.


Sunday, December 20, 2015
Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings -4 (FOX, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST):
Santa Claus, Indiana product Jay Cutler and the Chicago Bears (5-7 SU, 6-6 ATS, vs. Redskins on Sunday) head to Minneapolis next Sunday to play Teddy Bridgewater and the Minnesota Vikings (8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS, at Cardinals on Thursday Night Football) in and NFC North game from TCF Bank Stadium which will likely only have meaning to the Home team. When these two me earlier this year in the Windy City, the Vikings won and covered as 1½-point favorites, 23-20 on Nov. 1 on a last-second Blair Walsh FG, while in this meeting last year in the Land of the 10,000 Lakes, Minnesota won 13-9 in Week 17 and but failed to cover ATS as 7-point favorites. The Vikings—9-1-1 Under heading Week 14—are a woeful 4-8 ATS the L12 in this series but Chicago, with some newfound spark from RBs Ka’Deem Carey and Rookie sensation Jeremy Langford (Michigan State) now have absolutely nothing to lose after a disappointing Loss to San Francisco at Home in Week 13. This is definitely an NFC North game that the visiting Bears can win and make Life harder for the Purple People Eaters.


Atlanta Falcons PK vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (FOX, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST): Matt Ryan and the free-falling Atlanta Falcons (6-6 SU, 4-8 ATS, at Panthers on Sunday) head to EverBank Field in Jacksonville next Sunday afternoon to face Blake Bortles and the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8 SU, 6-6 ATS, vs. Colts on Sunday) in an inter-conference game between two teams probably already thinking about next season. The last time these two played, the Falcons won and covered laying 13 points at Atlanta, 41-14, while the last time these two played here in the Sunshine State (2007), the Jaguars won 13-7 but failed to cover the 10-point spread. The lesson? You can tell your Grandchildren there once was a time when Jacksonville was actually a 10-point favorites. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS the L5 in this series.


Houston Texans No Line vs. Indianapolis Colts (CBS, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST): JJ Watt and the rejuvenated Houston Texans (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS, vs. Patriots on Sunday) welcome the Indianapolis Colts (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS, at Jaguars on Sunday) to NRG Stadium next weekend inis Week 15 AFC South game which will likely drop the loser out of Postseason contention and may give the winner the division. The Colts (3-0 vs. AFC South) defeated their rival the Texans, covering ATS and winning outright as 5-point underdogs in Week 5, while the last time these two played here in Naptown (last season), Indianapolis won 17-10 and pushed ATS as 7-point chalks. The Colts are 5-1-2 ATS the L8 in this series and are 4-0-1 ATS the L5 here at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Although the Colts have completely dominated this AFC South division the past several seasons—and will likely snatch it again somehow this season in likely the last season for Head Coach Chuck Pagano—Watt, LB Brian Cushing and LB Jadeveon Clowney and the Texans has played lights out Defense since being down 41-0 at Halftime at Miami earlier this season and should be feared. There’s “No Line” here because of the QB situation with the Colts QBs Matt Hasselbeck (Neck, Probable Week 14) and usual starter Andrew Luck (Kidney, Late December) a question mark 11 days from the actual game. A good game to watch and not bet.


Kansas City Chiefs -5 vs. Baltimore Ravens (CBS, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST): A hot team in the eyes of NFL odds makers, Handicappers and the General Public right now, the Kansas City Chiefs (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS; vs. Chargers on Sunday) couldn’t have a worse spot on the schedule although the host Baltimore Ravens (4-8 SU, 3-7-2 ATS, vs. Seahawks on Sunday Night Football) are very beat-up Roster-wise and are without veteran team heartbeat WR Steve Smith and starting QB Joe Flacco (Knee, done for season) and are forced to have to go with choppy, Interception-prone backup QB Matt Schaub. The last time these two AFC teams met, the Ravens won 9-6 but failed to cover ATS as 6-point favorites in KC in 2012, while the last time these two met here at M&T Bank Stadium in Crab City, it was the 2010 AFC Playoffs and Baltimore and Flacco blasted Kansas City, 30-7, easily covering the 3-point spread. The Chiefs are 3-1 ATS the L4 here in Baltimore. May be a good Under.


Buffalo Bills -1 vs. Washington Redskins (FOX, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST): Tyrod Taylor and the Buffalo Bills (6-6 SU, 6-5-1 ATS; at Eagles on Sunday) head to FedExField in Landover, Maryland next Sunday afternoon to dance with the Washington Redskins (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS, at Bears on Sunday) in an inter-conference affair which will be huge to both sides. The last time these two met, the Bills shut out the Redskins, 23-0 in Buffalo in 2011, easily covering ATS as 4-point chalks while the last meeting here in Landover saw the Bills win 17-16 as 6½-point underdogs in 2007. The Bills and WR Sammy Watkins are a sparkling 6-0 ATS the L6 against the Redskins and are the call here as they have the much better team and the mystique of Washington being able to protect and shine on its Home turf here went out the window on MNF when they couldn’t score a TD in a last-second Loss to the Dallas Cowboys.

Free NFL Pick: Bills -1


Tennessee Titans vs. New England Patriots -10 (CBS, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST): Rookie QB Marcus Mariota and the Tennessee Titans (3-9 SU, 4-7-1 ATS; at Jets on Sunday) head to Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts in Week 15 to face the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (10-2 SU, 5-4-3 ATS, at Texans on Sunday) and QB Tom Brady (65-48-1 ATS on Road) in an AFC inter-divisional tilt which will only have meaning to the hosts, who are a beat-up bunch with RB Dion Lewis and WR Julian Edelman out for the season, TE Rob Gronkowski a bit hobbled and the OL wobbling. The last time these two teams met, the Patriots trounced the Titans, 34-13 in Nashville, covering ATS as 5-point favorites while the last meeting here in one of the Original 13 US Colonies saw New England embarrass Tennessee, 59-0 easily covering tATS as 9½-point chalks back in 2009 when we all knew nothing. The Patriots are 3-0 ATS the L3 in this series and 3-1 ATS the L# here at Home against Tennessee and should win by 15 or more.

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -10


Arizona Cardinals -3½ vs. Philadelphia Eagles (NBC, 8:30 p.m. EST/5:30 p.m. PST): Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia is the site of this NFC bird showdown between the host Philadelphia Eagles (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS, vs. Bills on Sunday) and Carson Palmer and the upstart Arizona Cardinals (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS, vs. Vikings on Thursday Night Football) in a huge NFC inter-divisional showdown and game which will be much more important to Head Coach Chip Kelly and the Eagles. The last meeting between these two saw the Cardinals win 24-20 last season as 1-point underdogs in Glendale, Arizona, while in 2013 in the last meeting here in the City of Brotherly Love and Santa Claus Booers, the Eagles won, 24-21 but got nicked by the ½ point, giving up 3½ points as the Home favorite. Tings happen. The Cardinals are 6-1 ATS the L7 here and with weapons like WRs Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd and John Brown and a staunch D, the Cardinals are the choice here against a schizophrenic Eagles squad. Note the wise primetime TV start and move for the fans.

Free NFL Pick: Cardinals -3½


Carolina Panthers -3½ vs. New York Giants (FOX, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST): MVP-candidate Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers (12-0 SU, 9-3 ATS, vs. Falcons on Sunday) had to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey next Sunday to face Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr. and the host New York Giants (5-7 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, at Dolphins on Monday Night Football) in what will be a big game for the G-Men and maybe only meaningful to the visitors from North Carolina in terms of keeping their unbeaten Record intact. The last time these two met, the Panthers shut out the Giants 38-0 as 2-point underdogs in Charlotte in 2013 while the last meeting here in The Big Apple (and its outlying skin), the then John Fox-coached Panthers lost and failed to cover, 31-18 getting 5½ points in 2010. New York NFC can win this one and this has looked like it would be an incredibly tough spot on the Cats schedule since the Summer and it still seems so heading in.

Free NFL Pick: Giants +3½


Cleveland Browns vs. Seattle Seahawks -13½ (FOX, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST): Johnny Manziel and the Cleveland Browns (2-10 SU, 3-8-1 ATS, vs. 49ers on Sunday) head to FirstEnergy Field in Seattle next sunday to face Russell Wilson and the Seahawks (7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, at Ravens on Sunday Night Football) as they head three Time Zones (EST to PST) west to face the defending NFC champions in a game which will only hold importance to the ghost Seahawks. The last time these two met, the Seahawks lost 6-3 at Cleveland in 2011 but Pushed ATS getting 3 points while the last meeting here in the Emerald City was way back in 2003 at a place called Seahawks Stadium where the hosts Seahawks—the franchise’s second season in the NFC after leaving the AFC—pounded and covered ATS as 6-point favorites vs. the Browns, 34-7. With the Seattle Defense now foaming at the mouth and rallying like they do in the 2nd Half of the Regular Season, expect Texas A&M product and former Heisman Trophy-winner Manziel to be frustrated beyond belief far, far from Home against a real, nasty professional NFL Defense. This could get ugly.

Free NFL Pick: Seahawks -13½


Green Bay Packers -3 -120 vs. Oakland Raiders (FOX, NFL RedZone, 4:05 p.m. EST/1:05 p.m. PST): David Carr and the Oakland Raiders (5-7 SU, 6-6 ATS, at Broncos on Sunday) welcome Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS, vs. Cowboys on Sunday) to Coliseum in Oaklnd next Sunday in an inter-conference Week 15 game which will only matter to the Cheeseheads. The last time these two historic NFL franchises met, the Packers romped to a 46-16 Win as 11½-point favorites at Lambeau Field in 2011, while the last meeting here in the Bay Area saw Green Bay and then QB Brett Favre roll to a 41-7 Win at Network Associate Coliseum in Oakland in 2003, easily covering the 5-point spread as Road favorites. The Packers are 5-1 ATS the L6 in this infrequent inter-conference series which will see Green Bay traveling two Time Zones west (MST to PST) to play veteran CB Charles Woodson and Oakland in a site they’ve (the Raiders), performed extremely poorly ATS the last decade or so.

Free NFL Pick: Packers -3 -120


Miami Dolphins vs. San Diego Chargers -1 (CBS, 4:25 p.m. EST/1:25 p.m. PST): The Miami Dolphins (5-7 SU, 4-8 ATS, vs. Giants on Monday Night Football) head three Times Zones west (EST to PST) and 2,655 miles to Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego next Sunday afternoon to face Philip Rivers and the host Chargers (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS, at Chiefs on Sunday) in a meaningless AFC inter-divisional game between two teams who expected to have better seasons and who are both fortunate to have beautiful, warm-weather cities in which to call home. The last time these two met, the Dolphins blanked the Chargers, 37-0 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens last season (2014), covering ATS as 3-point favorites while the last meeting here in Southern California saw the Bolts win 26-16 in 2011 and cover ATS as 6 ½-point chalks. The Fish are 7-2 ATS the L9 overall in this series against San Diego.


Denver Broncos vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -4½ (CBS, NFL RedZone, 4:25 p.m. EST/1:25 p.m. PST): Ben Roethlisberger and the awakening Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5 SU, 6-4-2 ATS, at Bengals on Sunday) welcome Denver QBs Brock Osweiler and Peyton Manning to The Steel City next Sunday as the Broncos (10-2 SU, 8-3-1 ATS, vs. Raiders on Sunday) in a big AFC inter-divisional game which will mean much to both historic clubs. The last time these two met, the Broncos defeated the Steelers, 31-19, covering ATS and winning outright as 2½-point favorites in Denver in 2012, while the last meeting here at Heinz Field saw the Broncos buck Pittsburgh, 35-3 and cover ATS as 7-point underdogs in 2007 when Bill Cowher was still the Steelers Head Coach. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS the L5 in this series—a common series Trend record in this particular weekly NFL Early Point Spreads assignment. This should be gobs of Fun, but probably just best watched, although backing Broncos Unders in the 1st Quarter have been fantastic this Regular Season. The SuperBook had this one a Pick (‘Em) in its NFL Games of the year released each Summer.


Cincinnati Bengals -7 vs. San Francisco 49ers (CBS, NFL RedZone, 4:25 p.m. EST/1:25 p.m. PST): Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals (10-2 SU, 9-1-2 ATS, vs. Steelers on Sunday) head west 3 Time Zones (EST to PST) and 2,384 miles to The City By The bay next Sunday afternoon to play Missouri-product Blaine Gabbert and the San Francisco 49ers (4-8 SU, 6-6 ATS, at Browns on Sunday) in an inter-conference meeting only important to the upstart visitors and Head Coach Marvin Lewis (103-96-11 ATS). The last time these two met, the Niners defeated Cincinnati at Home in the Queen City, 13-8 and covered ATS as 1-point favorites in 2011 while the last meeting here in San Francisco was at the old Candlestick Park in 2007 and saw the 49ers top the Bengals and win outright, 20-13 as big 9-point Home underdogs. The Bengals are 6-2-1 ATS the L8 in this series and Cincinnati and Andy Dalton are 3-1 ATS the L4 here in San Francisco and may have too many weapons for the NFL-scoring low (178 points) hosts who are actually playing some really good football under Gabbert if you watch closely. Need to think some more and see some more before deciding on this intriguing one in Week 15 from no-Button Fly Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, an hour from downtown Frisco. Jed York folks. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook had San Francisco open up as 1½-point favorites here in those select, aforementioned NFL Games of the Year.


Monday, December 21, 2015
Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints -1½ (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. EST/5:30 p.m. PST):
Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints (4-8 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, at Buccaneers on Sunday) welcome Matthew Stafford, Rookie RB Ameer Abdullah (Nebraska) and the Detroit Lions (4-8 SU, 4-8 ATS, at Rams on Sunday) head south to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in The Big Easy next Monday night for a completely meaningless inter-divisional Week 15 NFC date between two teams who have had disappointing seasons and yet another primetime game that looked much better before the season began. Bleech. The last time these two former employers of Reggie Bush met, the Lions beat New Orleans 24-23 in Detroit last season (2014), but failed to cover ATS as 2½-point favorites while the last meeting here in New Orleans saw the Saints roll the Lions 45-28 in the opening round of the 2011/12 NFC Playoffs, covering as 10½ favorites in Motown. Who dat? Dat da Saints bruh, who are 5-0 ATS the L5 in this series and 5-1 ATS the L6 here at Home in Nawlins. New Orleans was installed as 3½-point favorites in this game by the SuperBook in their renowned NFL Games of the Year. This baby could rocket over the Total.

WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERBOOK NFL WEEK 15 ADVANCED LINE FREE PICKS: Bills -1 over Redskins, Patriots -10 over Titans, Cardinals -3½ over Eagles, Giants +3½ over Panthers, Seahawks -13½ over Browns, Packers -3 -120 over Raiders (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

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