We preview each and every game on week 13's NFL betting board in this column and serve up over-under predictions. Find out which side of the coin we feel the value NFL picks are to be had.
Week 12 NFL Total Betting Recap
We were burned last week on some of our NFL picks, coming up with just a 6-9 winning record. It was one of our forgettable weeks, admittedly. That said we improve to 55-44-1 through seven weeks of predicting over-under bets. Let's continue in good form with week 13's slate.
Bears vs. Lions O/U 47.0
Overall, Detroit is 2-9 in over-under betting this season, marking one of two teams that are most consistently cashing on the UNDER in NFL betting this season. The total has gone under in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games. While the two occasions they went OVER preset total betting lines were on home turf: 35-14 win over the Giants (week 1) and 24-23 win over the Saints (week7). On the flipside, the Bears are 6-5 over-under this season but a whopping 5-1 over-under on the road. What's more, the last two meetings between these divisional foes in Detroit went OVER: 40-32 (2013) and 26-24 (2012), both wins by Detroit.
NFL Picks: OVER 47.0
Eagles vs. Cowboys O/U 55.0
By and large, the NFL betting public is backing the OVER almost unanimously. Sportsbooks are recording approximately a 69% stake in the OVER by midweek NFL betting. We have to agree with this glaring NFL betting trend. Dallas are 6-4-1 and Philadelphia are 8-3-0 in over-under betting, respectively. At home, Dallas are 3-1 in over-under betting and they've gone OVER in their last two weeks. Philly are 3-2 in over-under betting on the road and are riding a four game OVER streak ahead of this clash. Last season both meetings between these divisional rivals went UNDER, but this season both teams are scoring with abandon. Dallas are averaging 26.6-points per game while the Eagles are averaging 31.1-points per game. If those offensive stats hold true, this game should go OVER the total, high as it is at 55-points.
NFL Picks: OVER 55.0
Seahawks vs. Niners O/U 40.0
A 40-point total is rather low, all things being considered. Appropriate though in this matchup, if the respective team stats and head-to-head stats are considered. The last three straight meetings between this pair have hit the UNDER on the NFL odds board, totals ranging from 40.5-to-44 points. The last two meetings in San Francisco yielded extremely low score lines: 19-17 and 13-6, both wins by the Niners. Overall NFL betting trends this season, however, reveal the Seahawks going 7-4 in over-under betting and the Niners 4-7 in over-under betting. Three of the last four Seahawks games have gone OVER while the opposite is the case for the Niners. Seahawks are averaging 25.4 points per game while the Niners are averaging 20.7 points per game. This game could go either way, particularly when such a low total is involved. The overriding trend between this pair is the UNDER, though, so we're hanging our hat on that being the case once again and shading the UNDER on our NFL picks.
NFL Picks: UNDER 40.0
Panthers vs. Vikings O/U 43.0
This is a tough matchup to call because of the issues the Carolina Panthers are facing this season on both sides of the ball. They've been inconsistent and wholly off form and colour. What's more, one never knows when Cam Newton is going to show up. Vikings are 3-8 in over-under betting and the total has gone UNDER in four of their last five meetings with the Panthers in Minnesota. The total has also gone UNDER in five of their last six games.
NFL Picks: UNDER 43.0
Bengals vs. Bucs O/U 44.0
Cincinnati are on a roll on the NFL betting floor, winning their last two games all while covering the spread and cashing on the UNDER in each. Overall, Bengals are 4-7 in over-under betting. Offense is scoring 22.4-points on average per game while defense is allowing just 21.3 points per game. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, meanwhile, boast an offense that produces just 18.8-points per game and a defense that allows 27.3 points per game. On the season, the Bucs are 4-7 in over-under betting and just 1-4 in over-under betting at home.
NFL Picks: UNDER 44.0
Browns vs. Bills O/U 41.0
Cleveland Brown are 5-6 in over-under betting, highlighted by six UNDERs in their last seven games. Indeed, their 26-24 win over the Atlanta Falcons went OVER the 47-point mark set by odds makers, snapping their run of six straight UNDERs. The Bills are after a commanding 38-3 win over the hapless Jets, coming just UNDER the 42-point total set. Although it's hard to ignore they practically accounted for the lion's share of the total. Bills have cashed on the UNDER in three straight games ahead of this clash and they are 1-4 in over-under betting this season.
NFL Picks: UNDER 41.0
Saints vs. Steelers O/U 53.0
This matchup serves up one of the week's consensus bets on the NFL odds board. A staggering 97% of the betting public is behind the OVER 53-point tally set by online sports betting exchanges. Indeed, both teams have offenses that can light up at any given moment. What's more, both sides are consistent OVER performers with the Saints going 8-3 in over-under betting and the Steelers going 7-4 in over-under betting. What's more, Steelers are a perfect 5-0 in over-under betting at home.
NFL Picks: OVER 53.0
Giants vs. Jaguars O/U 44.5
Giants are 7-4 in over-under betting this season, which includes a run of four OVERs in their last five road games. Offense is scoring on average 21.2-points per game while defense is accounting for 26.7 points against per game. Jaguars, meanwhile, are 6-5 in over-under betting this season. At home, they are 1-3 in over-under betting. The Achilles heel has been a defense that allows a 27.7-points per game. Going solely on the porous defenses contained in both camps, we are shading the OVER 44.5. That and Eli Manning has to have a positive turnout and win the quarterback battle against rookie Blake Bortles.
NFL Picks: OVER 44.5
Raiders vs. Rams O/U 42.5
Both Oakland Raiders and St. Louis Rams are 6-5 in over-under betting this season, a trend that has the NFL public almost unanimously backing the OVER 42.5-point total rolled out at sports betting shops. Rams are 3-2 in over-under betting at home while the Raiders are just 1-4 in over-under betting on the road. Both sides seem to have perked up recently: Rams cashed twice in their last four on the OVER while the Raiders have cashed three times on the OVER in their last four games.
NFL Picks: OVER 42.5
Chargers vs. Ravens O/U 45.5
Baltimore Ravens are 6-5 in over-under betting this season but just 1-4 over-under at home. That said, three of their last four games have cashed on the OVER for NFL bettors, including last weekend's upset over the Saints at the Superdome. Chargers, meanwhile, are 5-6 in over-under betting this season and 2-3 over-under on the road. The last two outings saw the Chargers give up 37 unanswered points to Miami and 35-points to Denver in a 35-21 loss. Chargers don't play well away from home against quality teams. If defense folds as it did against both the Broncos and Dolphins, the Ravens could runaway big winners in this game and almost singlehandedly account for the total-points in this game. Ravens are averaging almost 27-points per game and are coming off a 34-27 win over the Saints.
NFL Picks: OVER 45.5
Titans vs. Texans O/U 43.0
Curiously, the consensus bet in NFL betting circles is the OVER. Sportsbooks are recording 94% market stake in the OVER 43-point total set on the NFL odds board across various betting platforms. Texans are 6-5 in over-under betting this season, which features back-to-back UNDERS in their last two games. At home, they are 2-3 in over-under betting. Houston was dealt a blow when Ryan Mallet was injured last week. They are forced to turn back to Ryan Fitzpatrick, who was benched a fortnight ago. If Arian Foster is fit to play, he's a game changer. Titans are 5-6 in over-under betting, but since Zach Mettenberger has taken over as the starting quarterback they've gone OVER behind losses to Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.
NFL Picks: OVER 43.0
Redskins vs. Colts O/U 51.0
Andrew Luck and the Colts offense are expected to account for the bulk of this total, not without some help from a porous Redskins' defense. Colts are 8-3 in over-under betting this season and they are averaging 30.3-points per game. The Colts have beaten up on most bad teams this season. This is a straightforward OVER on your NFL picks.
NFL Picks: OVER 51.0
Cardinals vs. Falcons O/U 44.5
Cardinals are 3-7-1 in over-under betting this season, 1-3-1 over-under on the road. Four of their last six games have cashed on the UNDER. Atlanta are 4-7 in over-under betting this season, 3-1 over-under at home. Most indicative of the Falcons' offense slowing down is the fact that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games.
NFL Picks: UNDER 44.5
Patriots vs. Packers O/U 58.0
If this game lives up to the hype surrounding the quarterbacks and the respective team stats, this should be a veritable shootout. Patriots are 8-3 over-under while the Packers are 9-2 over-under this season. At home, the Packers are a staggering 5-0 over-under. Both teams have the highest point producing offenses in the league right now, capable of scoring 30-plus points. Shade the OVER 58.0 on your NFL picks.
NFL Picks: OVER 58.0
Broncos vs. Chiefs O/U 49.5
The Broncos are 8-3 in over-under betting this season and the total has gone OVER in 7 of their last 8 games. and 16 of their last 24 road games. Offense is averaging 30.2-points per game while defense is allowing 23.6-points against per game. Chiefs have been consistent UNDER performers this season, going 4-7 over-under. Most recently, they are after cashing on the OVER in a 24-20 loss to the Raiders.
NFL Picks: OVER 49.5
Dolphins vs. Jets O/U 41.5
The Miami Dolphins offense can alone account for the 41.5-point total. The Dolphins are averaging 25.9-points per game, but in their last 4 games they've been averaging 28-points approximately, a run of form that included a 37-0 win over the Chargers and a 39-36 loss to the Broncos. The Jets have lost the plot. Their quarterback position is back up in the air. They are behind a 38-3 loss to the Bills, which sees the points per game allowed increase to 27.6-points. Dolphins should ride roughshod over the Jets, so shade the OVER 41.5-points on your NFL picks.
NFL Picks: OVER 41.5