NFL Betting - Week 11 Wrap Up

Swinging Johnson

Monday, November 28, 2016 4:27 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 28, 2016 4:27 PM UTC

The battles for divisional supremacy rage as all but a few teams have a firm hold on the top spots. Let’s take a look back on the week that was with a view towards cashing our NFL picks for the coming weekend.


Close Covers and Near Misses

Week 11 featured plenty of hotly contested contests where just half a point one way or the other in the NFL odds could determine whether you were a winner or loser in your NFL picks. That is why we continue to stress that in order to get the best line available it is imperative you have more than one account at a premium offshore sportsbook. Let’s take a look at those games and how a bad beat on one side was a narrow cover on the other.

Thanksgiving Day action saw the Lions escape with a 16-13 victory over the Vikings but unless you were a chalk eater with a penchant for taking bad numbers, in this case, Detroit -3, then all those backing the Lions at -2 or even -2 ½ survived when Minnesota’s Sam Bradford tossed a critical interception with under a minute to play. Detroit’s Matt Prater would eventually convert that costly error into a game-winning field goal with no time remaining, giving the Lions a huge victory over their NFC North rival and sole possession of first place.

The second course that was the NFL Thanksgiving buffet gave us an even closer ATS nail-biter. The Washington Redskins opened as seven-point road dogs to the Dallas Cowboys but by the time the game kicked there were many shops dealing Dallas at -5. The difference in those numbers decided whether you got an underdog cover or a favorite to push. The ‘Skins fell to the Boys 31-26 and the five point differential made a world of difference depending on what side you backed and what number you got.

On Sunday, the following games all landed on critical numbers which made money for the sharps who plucked a favorable point spread early in the week and sent the squares home crying if they waited to bet the same side close to kickoff:

Bills 28 Jaguars 21 (Spread: Bills -7 to -8)

Dolphins 31 49’ers 24 (Spread: Dolphins -7 to -7 ½)

Raiders 35 Panthers 32 (Spread: Raiders -3 to 3 ½)


Swinger’s Top 10 NFL Power Rankings1. Dallas Cowboys (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS)2. New England Patriots (9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS)3. Oakland Raiders (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS)4. Seattle Seahawks (7-3-1 SU, 9-2 ATS)5. Atlanta Falcons (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS)6. Kansas City Chiefs (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS)7. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS)8. New York Giants (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS)9. Denver Broncos (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS)10. Washington Redskins (6-4-1 SU, 8-3 ATS)
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