The season is beginning to reveal which teams are in contention for postseason glory, and in order to look ahead at our NFL picks for next week, we must review what happened in Week 10.
Favorites Flip the Script
If you’re a dog lover then Week 9 was for you as the underdogs not only covered in 11 of 14 contests but nine of them won their games outright. But in Week 10, the script was flipped and all those chalk-eaters got some of their money back by backing favorites in their NFL picks. Though the win percentage wasn’t as dramatic as the dog day afternoon two Sundays ago, the chalk cashed in nine of fourteen contests last week.
One of the biggest nail-biters came in the form of the Detroit Lions, one of three selections in my weekly Swinger’s Picks column (along with Tampa Bay and Baltimore), in their 26-19 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Detroit was installed as six-point home favorites by the NFL odds makers and rewarded all their backers when Matt Prater nailed a 43-yard field goal with just 22 seconds left in the game. That field goal not only sealed the deal for the Lions but narrowly covered the six-point impost.
For those who enjoy a bit of arbitrage, there was a middle to be had in the Patriots/49’ers tilt. Early in the week, the oddsmakers opened with the visiting Patriots as 13 ½ -point favorites but by the time the game kicked off, the sharps had devoured that number and sent the number tumbling to 10. Assumed you bet San Francisco +13 ½ early in the week and then smartly hedged with New England -10 on game day, you saw your bankroll swell with a sweet little middle as the Patriots defeated the Niners 30-17 as both bets cashed!
The only real upset occurred when the Tampa Bay Bucs marched into Arrowhead as touchdown underdogs and not only covered the number but upset the Chiefs in their own backyard by the score of 19-17. For those that had unshakeable faith in Jameis Winston and his band of pirates, a money line of +235 was their bounty when the final whistle sounded. The Chiefs, battling the Raiders for AFC West supremacy, are now a game behind after division leading Oakland defeated the Texans Monday night 27-20, in Mexico City.
Swinger’s Top 10 NFL Power Rankings
1. Dallas Cowboys (9-1 SU, 9-1 ATS)
2. Seattle Seahawks (7-2-1 SU, 9-1 ATS)
3. New England Patriots (8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS)
4. Oakland Raiders (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS)
5. NY Giants (7-3 SU, 4-4-2 ATS)
6. Washington Redskins (6-3-1 SU, 7-3 ATS)
7. Denver Broncos (7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS)
8. Atlanta Falcons (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS)
9. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS)
10. Kansas City Chiefs (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS)