NFL Betting Trends To Influence Your Week 9 Picks

Nikki Adams

Saturday, November 5, 2016 9:31 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016 9:31 PM UTC

Game time is fast approaching and the NFL odds board is hopping with last-minute bettors weighing in. We analyse the most interesting line moves that matter and determine how the public is betting.

 Lions vs. Vikings

The public isn’t so sweet on the Vikings this week, probably down to the back-to-back losses since coming off a week 6 bye. It’s always the case of ‘what have you done for me lately’ where the public is concerned and being burned in week 7 at Philadelphia and week 8 against Chicago didn’t go down well (both cases the Vikings were the public consensus bet). So, off the bandwagon the public goes marking the lowest level of support for the Vikings in several weeks.

As it is, consensus betting shows the Lions have the edge in tickets taken with 53.70%. Of course, that might change either way with late betting coming down the wire on Sunday. What is intriguing to note: the sharps are also on the Lions to the tune of 83.26% of the total amount wagered (at the time of writing on Saturday). Such overwhelming support for the road underdogs has seen the NFL line move against the Vikings from an opening -6 or -7 depending on your choice sportsbook down to -5.5 almost across the board. Consider the NFL line continues moving in this direction, it’s sure to trigger buyback money on the Vikings at late doors. In fact, some books are already showing such an instance with the NFL line going back up to -6 (-120). Depending on where you’re lining up your NFL picks this game is one to perhaps wait on and see what key number the books settle on.

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Cowboys vs. Browns

It’s no surprise to see the Cowboys loved up on the NFL odds board with 58.72% of the tickets taken. What’s intriguing is where the money is going…drum roll…towards the Browns to the tune of 72.42% of total dollars wagered. Bless the Browns. They are triers aren’t they?  How can sharps sweep all those weekly disappointments under the carpet so, beggars belief?  

As a consequence of the NFL betting trends on this game, the NFL line has come down from an opening Cowboys -7.5 to -7 at bet365, The Greek and BetOnline, to name a few. Without the hook, the Cowboys do strike quite the attractive pose on the NFL odds board for your week 9 NFL picks. This might be an NFL line to grab now before it potentially goes back up on the heels of buyback on the Cowboys.

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Broncos vs. Raiders

Another game that features the public and sharps at odds is the clash between the Broncos and Raiders. Surprisingly, the Broncos are the top consensus bet at 67.30% but the money is with the Raiders at 53.14% of total dollars wagered. This contrarian betting prompts a reverse line movement with the Broncos drifting from an opening PK to +1 or +1.5 depending on your preferred top-rated bookmaker. Consider if the NFL line continues moving against the Broncos, this might be a great game to wait on before grabbing the points with the defending Super Bowl champions on your week 9 NFL picks.

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