NFL Betting - Trends To Influence Week 10 Picks

Green Bay Packers players

Sunday, November 13, 2016 12:51 PM GMT

In this space, we look at two of the most popular week 10 matchups Packers vs. Titans and Steelers vs. Cowboys how they are trending in NFL betting circles and consequently on the NFL odds board. 

 

Packers Top Consensus Betting Polls Ahead Of Game Day

Green Bay Packers limp to a 4-4 SU record by week 10, an account that is underscored by a two-game losing streak (l. to Falcons and Colts). Yet, somewhat surprisingly, they represent one of the top consensus bets in week 10 NFL picks according to SBR consensus betting polls that are recording 65.5% of tickets taken on the Packers. 


Opening Line: Packers -3 (+115) 
Current Line: Packers -3 (+102)
Consensus Betting: Packers 65.5%

One of the major market setting bookmakers, Pinnacle Sportsbook, opened the Packers laying -3 (+115) on the road to the Titans in week 10, which is a significant key number in football betting. Not least seems a bit high considering the form the Packers are currently mired in.

Of course, bookies set NFL lines to test the waters, not as an indication of which side they believe is going to win necessarily. It seems they judged the public mood correctly as the Packers have raked in a significant portion of public betting dollars.

Curiously, despite the overwhelming impulsive support of the Packers the NFL line hasn’t moved off the key number -3, save for the juice adjusting from +115 to +105 or thereabouts. That’s partly down to the fact that the sharps are also onside in this game with a whopping 97.38% of the money wagered going towards the Packers and bookies are reluctant usually to move off key numbers such as -3 or -7, two of the most common margins of victory.

NFL bettors can still find Packers laying -3 (or vice versa if you’re buying what the Titans are selling as the +3 home underdogs), but be sure to shop around for the best line available. 

 

Cowboys vs. Steelers Most Bet Game Of The Week

Considering the volume of betting coming down the wire over the course of the week, the matchup between the Cowboys and Steelers emerges as the most heavily bet game across sports betting platforms for week 10 NL picks. Of course, it’s a day before game day and these numbers can change. For now, it’s the case and it reveals some interesting NFL trends and triggers line moves that matter.


Opening Line: Steelers-3 (-110)
Current Line: Steelers -2.5 (-112)
Consensus Betting: Cowboys 50.4%

Pinnacle Sportsbook opened with the Steelers laying -3 at home to the Cowboys, only the hottest team in the NFL going into week 10 behind a seven-game winning streak. At first glance, it doesn't make sense for the market to open leaning quite so heavily towards the Steelers. Evidently, the public agrees: they Cowboys emerge as the 50.4% consensus bet and it seems the NFL line is moving in their favor and whittling down to 2.5-points or in some cases to 1.5-points.

Experts and pundits alike consider the Steelers a good team despite their so-so 4-4 SU record on the season. Put this way, Big Ben may not be 100% right now. The Steelers may be coming off a loss to the Ravens. But is anybody really going to be surprised if they do win and cover on Sunday?

This is a quintessential dangerous floater in the mix. And it so happens sharps agree on that score as the Steelers are taking in 87.39% of the money with bets five times larger than those going towards the Cowboys.

Clearly, the public and sharps are at odds in this game unlike the Packers vs. Titans game. It remains to be seen which group has this game right for their week 10 NFL picks. Whichever way you slice this game, it’s important to shop around for the best line. As mentioned above, you’ll find lines ranging from 2.5 to 1.5 so be sure to find the best line and price that suits your betting requirements.