It’s been slow-going building profit on our NFL Expert Picks for props as of late, but the season still has a lot of games left before the playoffs and here on Week 15 I am loving a couple of prop picks from Bovada sportsbook.
NFL Season Props Record: 71-59-2
Trevor Siemian O/U 250 ½ passing yards
Trevor Siemian has had the pleasure of playing some weak passing defenses over the last five weeks and it has inflated his passing yards total all the way up to 250 for Week 15 against the Patriots. This might be a tough number even for Siemian who has been playing excellent football over the last three or four games.
The Patriots got lit up by Joe Flacco through the air, but the Patriots’ offense might be their best defense from the Broncos’’ passing attack in this one. Their running game behind LeGarrette Blount has been great this season and in some cold weather and in a game the Patriots have probably been waiting on for a year now, they will keep this Broncos’ defense on their heels and the offense off the field.
Even with Siemian’s impressive showing from the last month, the Pats’ defense should come to play here to get some revenge from their loss last season. The Pats have allowed less than 250 passing yards per game on the road this season and I see them keeping that streak alive.
Free NFL Pick: UNDER 250 ½ (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada
Carlos Hyde O/U 72.5 rushing yards
Carlos Hyde has literally been the only bright spot for the 49ers this season. Hyde’s running has given this team at least a slimmer of hope that they have a building block for the future. If they continue using him like this, he should easily have 73 rushing yards or more against this Falcons’ defense.
Even though they have allowed less than 1000 yards rushing this season, the Falcons are allowing about four yards per carry to opposing backs With Hyde coming off his 193-yard performance against the Jets, he is going to have another big game here this week.
Plus, Hyde is the only hot hand in this offense and it’s been evidenced by his play. Even when teams know the Niners have no passing attack, Hyde still rushes for big gains behind this solid o-line. Hyde is averaging 6.3 yards per carry over his last four games with 436 rushing yards during that stretch. As long as the Niners don’t fall behind early in this one, I expect close to 100 rushing yards from Hyde.