NFL Free agency and odds update
With free agency set to begin in about a month, how does that
affect the betting world and the NFL Odds?
Truthfully not a great deal, but some subtle changes could very well be what gets you the best value for Super Bowl 48 odds. Let’s take a look at some of the more marquee free agents in the NFL this offseason, and I’ll play matchmaker with teams that could sign them. It looks as if the salary cap is going to be around $121 million, and all parentheses after a team name is their odds to win Super Bowl 48.
Let’s be honest, do you really think Flacco is going anywhere? Sure, he could seriously increase the odds of a team like the Chiefs (+5000) or the Eagles, (+4000) but the Ravens are still +1400 to win it again in 2014, so why would he leave? If it’s all about the money, go join Andy Reid in Kansas City, but I think he is staying put, and all will stay the same in the betting world. It looks like the two sides are getting close to sitting down and start negotiating anyways.
Reggie Bush is the big prize in running back land, and I can’t see him staying in Miami (+5000) for various reasons. Miami has some depth at RB, and Bush will likely be looking for a lot more than his $4.5 million from 2012. A lot of teams could use his services, but it will be tricky. However, a team like the Bengals (+3000) could take a serious jump in the future odds in the AFC North if they signed him. BenJarvus Green-Ellis has a very reasonable contract, and paired with Bush it could be the best running back 1-2 punch in the NFL. Plus, according to calculations, the Bengals can afford it, as they have more cash than anyone this offseason. However, they don’t necessarily make it rain most off seasons.
One of the most notable names on the market isn’t even a free agent; it’s Harvin and Minnesota seemingly wanting a divorce. Harvin has another year left on his rookie contract. Though it will have to be through trade, how about a Wes Welker sign and trade for Harvin between the Vikings (+4000) and the Patriots (+600). Would Welker agree to such things? Well it depends on if the Vikings would take, and then pay him. However, the trade would definitely increase both teams’ future odds, and New England is already the favorite to win it all at 6/1. The 49ers (+800) have also been linked to Harvin. Other really good receivers on the free agent market besides the above two are Mike Wallace, Greg Jennings and Dwayne Bowe.
Ryan Clady (LT)
The assumed wisdom in Denver is that Clady isn’t going anywhere. He is arguably the best left tackle in the NFL, and considering whose blind side he is covering in Denver, the Broncos (+800) can not afford to let him go. It will likely take over $12 million a season for the next several years, but Denver has some money to spend this offseason, even though a large portion will have to be tied up in just Clady. Logic aside, I do like the Broncos next season in the future odds.
Jake Long (LT)
While Clady looks to be staying put, Long looks like he is on his way out. Even though he was placed on IR last season with a triceps injury, teams will be after what most think to be the next left tackle to Clady this offseason. The Dolphins could franchise him, but that would cost over $15 million. The Bengals with all their money to spend could be in the market again. Andy Dalton was sacked the third most last season behind Aaron Rodgers and Phillip Rivers. The Colts (+4000) are another team that have some money, and could chose to spend some on the offensive line.Get all the news on NFL betting and NFL picks at our NFL Home Page~