NFL Betting - Thursday Night Football Prop Picks For Week 8

Allen Robinson in action

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, October 27, 2016 4:57 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 27, 2016 4:57 PM UTC

After a slight slump in our NFL prop picks, we have hit our last five in a row as we head into another week. While the Jaguars and Titans may not be a game you'll want to actively watch tonight, you might still be able to turn some profit.

 Season NFL Props Record: 49-34-2O/U 4.5 Touchdowns

So far this season, outside of the Week 2 battle between the Bills and Jets, along with the Week 5 contest between the Cards and 49ers, all of the other TNF games have been pretty low scoring. Touchdowns have also been few and far between. The Bears didn't even score an offensive touchdown last week, while the week before saw only two offensive touchdowns the entire game between the Chargers and Broncos.

This game might be something similar with tons of punts and field goals. Neither one of these offenses give you a ton of confidence and five touchdowns between these two teams seems unlikely. 

The best part about this prop is that the under has even better value than the over. I didn't think that would be that way coming in but at Bovada an A rated sportsbook, the under for 4.5 touchdowns is an amazing +120, compared to the over at -150. I could see the Titans' defense tightening down while they run the crap out of the ball. If we don't see a ton of passing from the Titans in this one, I could see them controlling the time of possession and limiting the amount of offensive upside for both teams. 


Free NFL Pick: Under 4.5 (+120)Best Line Offered: at Bovada


Allen Robinson O/U 57.5 receiving yards

Allen Robinson has been a big disappointment so far this season, but while he crapped out in his best matchup of the season last week, here on a short week in a game the Jags might have to throw a lot, I expect a bounce back from Robinson. We did the same thing last week with C.J. Anderson before he hurt his knee and I feel the same in my gut about Robinson. 

The Jags' top receiver still has double-digit targets in three games this season and after two straight weeks of limiting his targets, I think the Jags will try and get Robinson more involved this week. The Titans are hanging around the middle of the pack this season when it comes to giving up yards to opposing receivers, but a few things stand out.

The biggest thing in my eye is they are allowing big plays. The Titans are allowing just over 13 yards per catch this season and the last two weeks has seen them give up 385 yards to opposing receivers with one of those games coming against the Cleveland Browns. Now on  the short week with the defense potentially still tired, I could easily see Robinson bouncing back in this game on a short week. Last season in this same spot on a Thursday night against the Titans, Robinson caught five balls for 113 yards and his longest catch was only 38 yards. A few of those and we are walking right into an easy cash tonight with our NFL week 8 picks

 Free NFL Pick: Over 57.5 (-125)Best Line Offered: at Bovada


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