NFL Betting: Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Picks

David Lawrence

Friday, September 18, 2015 7:47 PM GMT

The Sunday night game should be a barnburner as Green Bay hosts Seattle in a rematch of last season's NFC championship game. Join us as we preview the betting odds & serve a free NFL pick.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open:
-3 -117 at Pinnacle

This NFL odds opened up at -3 for the Packers and has moved to -3.5, and it probably won't move much more before kickoff. Revenge is a huge factor as the Packers feel they missed out on a huge chance to beat the Seahawks in the NFC title game and while they're missing Nelson, the Seahawks are missing Chancellor.

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Injuries
Seattle is healthy, but they miss Chancellor badly and there doesn't seem to be an end in sight for his holdout. St. Louis tight ends Jared Cook and Lance Kendricks combined for seven catches, 127 yards and a score against the Seahawks. That would be Chancellor's territory. Green Bay will likely target that area as well.

Green Bay will be without right tackle Bryan Bulaga, who has a knee injury, but he has been on and off over the last couple seasons anyway, so Aaron Rodgers knows how to deal with his absence. Safety Morgan Burnett is back from a sore calf, and of course, there is Nelson, who is out for the season with a torn ACL, but Rodgers found the returning James Jones for two touchdowns. It's Aaron Rodgers; the Packers will be fine.

 

Trends
The Packers have covered in four of their last five games overall, while Seattle is 1-3-1 in their last five ATS, while both have been very good SU (Seattle is 8-2, Green Bay is 9-2). The Seahawks are 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS in their last 10 on the road, while the Packers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 at home, and 6-2-2 ATS.

Seattle is 3-2 SU (including three in a row currently) in their last five against the Packers, who have covered in three of those games. In Green Bay, however, the Packers have won their last five SU, and failed to cover just once (three ATS wins to go with a push).

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