NFL Betting Rankings Looking into Week 3: The Good, The Average & The Perpetually Trying

Kevin Stott

Monday, September 21, 2015 12:43 PM GMT

Monday, Sep. 21, 2015 12:43 PM GMT

We take a look at Power Rankings for the NFL’s 32 teams after two weeks of play. Also, a Futures Book NFL pick on a team still holding value as Summer finally comes to an end.

An NFL where the Tennessee Titans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Washington Redskins, Cleveland Browns, St. Louis Rams and Oakland Raiders all have a win yet the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks don’t. Welcome to The Dawn. Now best get your blankets, Baked Beans and Pink Floyd CD stash and head for the Bomb Shelter because next you’ll be telling me people are utilizing a cryptocurrency that’s a cousin of Pokémon cards, there’s a Peanut Butter-flavored beer and that Donald Trump has a legitimate shot to become the next president of the United States (7/1, bet365). Say what? They do make a Peanut Butter-flavored (Milk) Stout and I can purchase a case using this thing called Bitcoin? I am unsure if I am in Heaven or Hell, so for the time being I’ll just explain why the dregs of the NFL all have victories but the highly touted Philadelphia Eagles and the defending NFC champion Seattle Seahawks don’t...it’s just the schedule, Bubba. That’s all. When a worm fights a worm over whatever worms fight over, one of the worms is going to win. All these 1-1 (SU) records we presently see are like a mirage, just a quirky reality because some of these teams have to played each other—and won—to start the 2015 Regular Season. In Week 1, the Titans and rookie QB Marcus Mariota beat the Buccaneers and rookie QB Jameis Winston, while in Week 2, the Redskins beat the Rams, the Buccaneers beat the lowly New Orleans Saints and the Browns beat the Titans in Rat v. Rat meetings, while the Jaguars (Dolphins) and Raiders (Ravens) pulled off nice upsets at Home to get their first wins. So, the chances of a couple of 2-14 (Titans, Buccaneers) and a couple of 3-13 teams (Titans, Buccaneers) will occur like last NFL season have been greatly diminished, although never underestimate the power of crappy teams to suck and get in a nice losing groove. Have you seen the Madea movies? The Schedule-maker has been kind to so many, so early this year. That will end. Now it’s time to start separating the wheat from the chaff.

In that vein, here is an NFL ranking of all 32 teams for now, based of potential to get to the Super Bowl, reputations, last season’s and this season’s performances as well as how the teams “look” and “feel” at this young part of the new season as well as how they have played. The list seems to fall into four main groups in my foggy mind: The Good (1-8); The Average (9-19); The Perpetually Trying (20-24); and The Ugly (25-32). And no, Ohio State would not beat any of these professional teams so please go jump in a lake with hungry piranhas with a taste for idiots if you are that deluded. ASAP. Northern Illinois—who lost to Central Michigan who lost to Kansas who lost to Duke who lost to North Carolina who lost to Rutgers last year—almost beat the Buckeyes last weekend in Columbus, so the notion that Ohio State could hang with Tampa Bay or Tennessee is laughable. Go away. And the day these tired comparisons stop in the NFL and NBA will be the day the Big Meteor hits. Anyway, here’s the ranking heading into Monday night’s game from Lucas Oil Stadium In Indianapolis between the Colts and the New York Jets (ESPN, 8:30 p.m./5:30 p.m. PT; Odds: Colts -7, Total: 46½, at Pinnacle). Enjoy.

 

NFL Rankings (September 20, 2015)
New England Patriots (2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS; Best Super Bowl Odds: 6/1, BetVictor)
Why? Bill Belichick and Tom Brady are mad about the Deflategate thing and the defending Super Bowl champs are smack dab in the middle of a Dynasty and have an easier path to the Super Bowl than NFC teams. And when you beat the Steelers in Week 1 and the Bills in Buffalo in Week 2 when scores of radio voices were chirping about a potential 2-2 or even 1-3 start for New England just week ago... Losing All Pro CB Darrelle Revis was a real blow and the Defense needs to tighten up, but having TE Rob Gronkowski and the dependable WR duo of Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola is enough to lock down the #1 spot. And why are the NFL odds so high for the Patriots to repeat? Markets are markets and money comes in on who people bet on and because there are so many New England Haters, and because of the Deflategate scandal, the Patriots still lie at a value-laden 6/1 (+600) in some places. Might as well jump.

 

Green Bay Packers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS;+450 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power)
Why? It’s early, but Green Bay went a long way toward getting Home-field advantage in the NFL Playoffs with Sunday night’s 27-17 win over the Seahawks at Lambeau Field. The Cheeseheads will have to thrive without inured WR Jordy Nelson, but Seattle will have to try to overcome this 0-2 start and the NFC North (Vikings, Lions, Bears) seems much easier than the NFC West (Cardinals, 49ers, Rams) this season. With one of the best two players in the NFL in QB Aaron Rodgers, one of the strongest Home-field advantages in quaint Green Bay, and the win Sunday, the Pack slide into the #2 spot here and that Patriots-Packers Super Bowl we wrote about here when Spring was kissing Summer still seems possible. Remember that Green Bay is mad about that 4th Quarter collapse against the Seahawks in the NFC Championship Game last season and with pickup and old Packer WR James Jones filling in nicely for Nelson WR slack, America’s Dairyland has a reason to be stoked. Again. Eat more cheese.

 

Seattle Seahawks (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS; 8/1 to win Super Bowl, Ladbrokes)
Why? An 0-2 start yet #3? Yes, you try playing the feisty Rams in St. Louis in your opener, then heading to Green Bay to face the aforementioned Packers in a county where the rivers flow warm Nacho Cheese. Then get back to me brother. Poor Seattle probably hasn’t slept in their own beds since Bill Clinton was president and to act like anyone under them on this list is better than them is sheer blasphemy. Do a lap immediately. One of the best Defenses in the history of the NFL and one play away from winning two straight Super Bowl titles? Good enough for me. Yeah, SS Kam Chancellor is holding out and will likely never return to the Emerald City and yeah, the OL has some issues and yeah, this team could use a decent WR or three. But a great Head Coach, Defense, QB, Fan Base and Confidence are always the key elements to getting to and winning an NFL championship, and Seattle gets solid checks in all categories. Look for them to improve after this 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS start. You try playing far, far away from home and a Timezone (CDT) two hours different than your Body Clock is accustomed to (PDT). And against St. Louis, who seems to always have your number and against Green Bay. who always seems to get the calls in the friendly confines of Lambeau Field. Seattle definitely deserves to be #3.

 

Denver Broncos (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS; 14/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power)
Why? Behind every recent AFC Regular Season lies a hidden race for Home-field advantage in the conference between the Patriots and the Broncos. Denver often slips under the radar for whatever reasons, but this team has one of the best Defenses in the NFL right now and the Peyton Manning has lost it narrative flew out the window on Thursday night in Denver’s come-from-behind 2nd Half win over the Chiefs. This team seldom loses at Home (8-0 in 2014), has great fans, has a real Altitude advantage and completely dominates its AFC West division (Chargers, Chiefs, Raiders). Always. And with a WR tandem of Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, 39-year-old Manning the Elder—a future Hall of Famer—still has two killer, 1,000-yard targets in the Mile High City. So, don’t sleep on the Broncos. No, really don’t. Broncos are wild, bucking horses and your odds of falling off are very strong. And years of valid research shows that beds are the best thing to sleep on. Try one.

 

Cincinnati Bengals (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS; 20/1 to win Super Bowl, at Bet365)
Why? The Bengals #5? Are you serious? Have you lost your mind Papa? Yes and yes. Always slighted in my cranium, the time has finally come to give Cincinnati its’ just due (for now), and I have seen enough in wins in Weeks 1 and 2 (at Raiders, Chargers) to give Andy Dalton and his team the #5 spot, although playing teams from the AFC West is sort of like going to the Petting Zoo as there is little chance you will get bit. Beware of Bunny. The Bengals opened 25/1 to win the Super Bowl, then fell to 40/1 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) and are now down to as high as 20/1 (bet365), but getting over the Patriots, Broncos and Indianapolis Colts humps in the AFC will be difficult for the Bengals while just playing in the AFC North alongside the Steelers (#6) an Ravens (#14) has a certain peril of its own. Watch this team, as like a couple of others here, they’ve steadily improved through the years, with a staunch D being the anchor.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1 SU, 1-0-1 ATS; 25/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Arizona Cardinals (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS; 20/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Indianapolis Colts (0-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 12/1 to win SB, bet365)

Dallas Cowboys (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS; 20/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Kansas City Chiefs (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 33/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Carolina Panthers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS; 40/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Buffalo Bills (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 33/1 to win SB, bet365)

Houston Texans (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS; 150/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Baltimore Ravens (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS; 40/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

New York Jets (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS; 66/1 to win SB, bet365)

Minnesota Vikings (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 50/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Atlanta Falcons (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS; 25/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Philadelphia Eagles (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS; 20/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Detroit Lions (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS; 100/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

San Diego Chargers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 40/1 to win SB, bet365) 

San Francisco 49ers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 100/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Miami Dolphins (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 33/1 to win SB, Stan James)

St. Louis Rams (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 50/1 to win SB, Stan James)

New York Giants (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS; 66/1 to win SB, Stan James)

Oakland Raiders (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 200/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Tennessee Titans (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 200/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 200/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Washington Redskins (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 100/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 200/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Cleveland Browns (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS; 150/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

Chicago Bears (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS; 200/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

New Orleans Saints (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS; 80/1 to win SB, Ladbrokes)

 

NFL Super Bowl Futures Pick: New England Patriots 6/1 (BetVictor)

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