NFL Betting: Rams Gathering Sharp Money For Thursday Game At Seattle

Jason Lake

Monday, December 12, 2016 10:01 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 12, 2016 10:01 PM UTC

The Seattle Seahawks have been a profitable NFL pick, but now that Pro Bowl safety Earl Thomas is out, it’s the Los Angeles Rams drawing the sharp early action for Thursday Night Football even after firing Coach Jeff Fisher on Monday. 

Season Record: 22-18-1 ATS, 4-8 Totals

Is this the end of the Seahawks as we know them? Thomas, likely the NFL's best safety and the heart of the Legion of Boom, suffered a broken leg in Week 13 and may never play again (he hinted at retirement but isn't expected to follow through on it). In Week 14, Seattle got drilled 38-10 by the Green Bay Packers (+3 at home). Now the Seahawks are preparing for Thursday night’s matchup (8:25 p.m. ET, NBC) with the Los Angeles Rams, a bad team that still managed to beat the ‘Hawks back in September.

There’s blood in the water, folks. Seattle (8-4-1 SU, 7-6 ATS) opened as a 14-point home chalk on the NFL odds board, and business is booming – for the Rams. Our expanded consensus report shows 84 percent of the early money landing on L.A. (4-9 SU, 4-8-1 ATS), even though just 40 percent of bettors are picking the underdogs. The average bet on the Rams is $789. On the Seahawks? A mere $98. OK, not so mere, but a pittance compared to Los Angeles.

Midnight Earl

It isn’t just the Packers result that should concern Seattle fans. Thomas missed the first game of his six-year NFL career when he sat out Week 12 vs. Tampa Bay. The Seahawks came out flat and lost 14-5 as 5-point road faves; Mike Evans scored two quick touchdowns for the Bucs, and the ‘Hawks failed to recover.

As for the Rams, even if we brush off their surprise 9-3 win over the Seahawks (-5.5 away) in Week 2, they look like a valuable NFL pick this week. FiveThirtyEight have slapped an Elo-based spread of Seattle -11.5 on this matchup. And we can expect L.A. to come out with a little extra zass after Todd Gurley called out his offense following Sunday's 42-14 loss to the Atlanta Falcons (-4.5 on road). Apparently that loss was the final straw for ownership as Fisher was canned on Monday. He had just tied Dan Reeves for the all-time NFL losses mark for head coaches. At least Fisher won't break it now. 

So there you have it, folks. The early money is on the Rams, the stat geeks are on the Rams, it’s a classic “buy low, sell high” situation, and it’s going to be a somewhat chilly Thursday night in Seattle. No rain, sadly, but we’ll happily recommend L.A. at the magic number 14 or better.

Free NFL Pick: Rams +14.5 (-130)Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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