NFL Betting Predictions Against The Spread - Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, October 28, 2016 8:40 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 28, 2016 8:40 PM UTC

There is little doubt that Arizona will have the mental, emotional and psychological edge in this contest, that's why our expert capper Joe Gavazzi is here to tell you why of his NFL pick of the Cards.

 Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers (-3) 1:00 ET

Each week in this space, I make a UNDERDOG selection in which I find compelling statistical, situational or technical reasons to favor an outright victory by the UNDERDOG. Such is the case today in the matchup of the Arizona Cardinals as they visit the Carolina Panthers.  

Carolina had one final opportunity to save their season two weeks ago when they traveled to division rival New Orleans. The 41-38 loss (their 3rd this season by 3 or fewer points) dropped Carolina to 1-5 SU ATS for the year with a 4th consecutive defeat. Now, they have had 2 weeks to mull the fact that only 2 teams in NFL history have gone to the playoffs following 1-5 SU starts. It’s not like there will be a particular motivation for this game, as it was just 9 months ago that Carolina defeated Arizona in the NFL Playoffs (45-19) on this very field. With a defense that is 10 points and 54 yards worse than last year and a running game that is 21 YPG less than 2015-16, there are fundamental reasons why the Panthers struggle. Yet, another reason might be their (-10) net TO margin in their last 5 games. The Panthers are still a talented team, but it often takes more than talent to win in this league.  

There will also be the hunger on the part of the Cardinals, knowing they are just 3-3-1 SU for the season, following 3 seasons of double digit victories under 4th year HC Arians. Speaking of Arians, he is now a lofty 85% play as an underdog in this price range. As if the Cards need any more incentive, they can simply flash back to last Sunday night’s game against Seattle. In that 6-6 tie, in which Arizona had multiple chances to seal the deal in the final quarter and OT, Arizona held dominant edges of 443-257, including 37/132 to 19/52 overland. If you had a losing Sunday last week and backed the Cardinals on Sunday night, it was the FCB (final crushing blow)!  Aside from those intangibles, consider the matchup on the field which shows that Arizona has a defense that is 13 points and 83 YPG better than that of the favored Panthers.

The Panthers are favored in this game based on their reputation and results from last year. We step in to take the value with the better team as our NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK. I invite you to put the NFL ODDS in your favor and join me in my NFL PICK on the Arizona Cardinals today.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top rated sportsbooks is offering the best deals!

 Free NFL Pick: Arizona +3Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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