For the first time in three weeks, Doug Upstone did not come up with winning parlay. So for this week, he worked extra hard in preparation for his NFL Pick this go around.
Got out the magnifying glass and went over all NFL odds at A+ rated 5Dimes Sportsbook, who by the way has been great all year for me on payouts, and really like all three levels of my NFL picks for Week 11.
Concerning parlay wagering, if you have been betting NFL for awhile, you know what works for you, but if you are still in newbie stage, stay conservative, as Kris Bryant, the NL MVP, only had 42 homers in 668 at-bats.
2-Team Parlay - Dolphins (-1.5) and Redskins (-2.5)
From the start, Miami was my team of choice if you watched the Odds Couple video I did here and having Jared Goff now the Los Angeles starting quarterback does not change anything. The Dolphins game plan will not be altered other than potentially blitzing more in obvious passing situations. Otherwise, Miami will continue to be physical and run the ball and utilize Ryan Tannehill in play-action passing and let the confidence of four-game winning streak flow.
The last thing the Packers need to do is - RELAX - as they have been too relaxed come game time and lacked the urgency to win NFL games. Washington will bring the passion, having lost at home to Green Bay in the playoffs last season. Kirk Cousins runs the No.4 passing offense in the league and with the Pack's secondary woes, they could be in really difficult spot. While expecting the Packers to play better, it will not be enough to slow the Skins.
3-Team Parlay - Titans (+3) - Ravens (+7) - Lions (-6.5)
Tennessee has lost 10 in a row and is 1-8-1 ATS against Indianapolis, so why would they cover? It starts with having the better team and now the Titans are learning how to win as opposed to hoping to. With the Colts 30th in total defense and a smoldering Tennessee offense averaging 39.3 PPG in their past three outings, the Titans end losing streak.
How do you bet against Dallas? First to admit it takes some courage, yet Baltimore has the No.1 defense in the league, which also happens to be first against the rush. Coach John Harbaugh likes to present challenges to his team and hardly any greater right now than stopping the Cowboys offense. Dallas will get their yards, however, this shapes up as hard-hitting affair and can see the Boys being a 21-17 or 20-16 winner, with the Ravens covering the spread.
With Minnesota and Green Bay in free fall, out of nowhere Detroit has become the people's choice to win the NFC North. That is hard to argue with as Matthew Stafford has been the best quarterback in the division and he's expertly spread the ball around on offense. Jacksonville, they are not going to win with Gus Bradley as head coach and they might not win with Blake Bortles as quarterback. With the Jaguars 2-12 ATS against the NFC of late, the Lions get the call.
4-Team Money Line Parlay
For this, wager, I look to reduce risk by making four NFL picks in which the only thing (yea only) required is each team win and skip the point spreads. Here are the four teams I believe will do the job this Sunday.
Lions - Chiefs - Cowboys - Dolphins
If correct, a $100 bet currently should pay $342 and change, which is really nice payout.