NFL Betting: Over-Under Picks for All Week 10 Games

Nikki Adams

Thursday, November 6, 2014 4:29 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 6, 2014 4:29 PM UTC

Join us as we serve up our Game-by-Game predictions in over-under betting for week 10’s NFL betting slate. We’ve got you covered for all 13 games with our NFL picks.

Week 9 NFL Betting Recap
We had a modest turnout with our NFL picks in week 9, going 7-6 with our predictions. Overall, this has us improving to 55-30-1 over-under through the last six weeks of predicting games. So let’s keep the ball rolling in the right direction with our week 10’s NFL picks for the totals on each and every game.


Browns vs. Bengals O/U 44.5
Bookies have set a rather low 44.5-point total for this game, which has us leaning towards the OVER on our NFL picks. Both the Bengals and Browns are 4-4-0 in over-under betting this season. Very little separates them in terms of the scoreboard – Browns are averaging 23.1-points per game and Bengals are averaging 24.3-points per game, all while conceding 21.1 and 23.4, respectively. Given the divisional hype, this game shouldn’t disappoint. Recent NFL betting trends reveal the total has gone UNDER in Cleveland’s last four games while going OVER in four of Cincinnati’s last five games. So which trend holds true this time around? Oh, before we forget, the total has gone OVER in seven of Thursday’s nine games this season. If there were a trend that tips the scale it would be that. As well, the fact that the total has gone OVER in five of Cincinnati’s last six home games when playing Cleveland, including their last meeting that went 41-20 to the Bengals when the total was set at a lowly 39.5-points (November 17, 2013).

Free NFL Pick: Over 44.5


Falcons vs. Buccaneers O/U 44.5
The Falcons shredded the Bucs 56-14 in week 3 NFL betting. That seems a lifetime ago, the result having no impact on the NFL odds for this game set to the tune of 44.5-points in total betting. If this line doesn’t tell you how far the Falcons have fallen down in NFL betting estimation, nothing will.  Yet, the Falcons boast the 10th best passing offense and they average 24-points per game, while the Bucs boast a 27th overall defense that leaks 30.6-points per game. That said the last two games have seen the Bucs go UNDER market expectations and the last three Atlanta games have also gone UNDER; overall, the Bucs are 4-4-0 in over-under betting while the Falcons are 3-5-0 in over-under betting.

Free NFL Pick: Under 44.5


Cowboys vs. Jaguars O/U 45.0
Tony Romo may or may not suit up for this London game, and that knowledge is going to be the key towards making the correct NFL pick. Without Romo, the Cowboys are subpar at best, evidenced by their back-to-back defeats to the Redskins and Cardinals, both low scoring affairs from the Cowboys’ side of the coin, mustering up only 17-points in each account. The Jaguars are one of the league’s worst teams at the moment, 1-8 SU through nine weeks and behind a 33-23 defeat to Bengals, the first game to break their four in a row UNDER stretch in NFL betting markets. Dallas are 4-4-1 in over-under while Jaguars are 5-4-0 in over-under betting this season. If Romo suits up, backing the OVER 45-points could prove the savvy NFL pick. As things currently stand in this uncertain climate, the safe NFL pick does seem to be the UNDER.

Free NFL Pick: Under 45.0


Chiefs  vs. Bills O/U 41.0
One of the lowest totals for the week’s slate has been set for this game for good reason. Both the Chiefs and the Bills are 2-6-0 in over-under betting this season, marking the most consistent performers on the UNDER in total betting this season. It’s a glaring NFL betting trend that is hard to ignore. Question is whether THIS total is too low altogether. Both teams are capable on offense and boast pretty decent defenses as well; where the Chiefs have the edge is they are the better team all around. Chiefs have been averaging 25-points per game while the Bills have been averaging 22.3-points per game. As such, we feel this game could go just OVER the total. What’s more, seeing as only three games by the Chiefs went UNDER 40-points, this total does seem too low.

Free NFL Pick: Over 41.0


Dolphins  vs. Lions O/U 43.5
Sportsbooks have rolled out a 43.5-point total for the clash between the Dolphins and the Lions, and the NFL betting public would appear to be gravitating towards the OVER – 61% of the money coming down the wire since week 10’s NFL odds page went live has been logged on the OVER. This trend stands against the Lions’ over-under record on the season, which is 2-6-0 through eight games. What’s more, the UNDER has cashed in 10 of Miami’s last 15 games, as well four of their last five road games. Consider every current NFL trend points towards the UNDER in this game, we’re going against public money here and backing the UNDER 43.5 on our NFL picks.

Free NFL Pick: Under 43.5


Steelers  vs. Jets O/U 45.5
After three virtuoso performances by Big Ben and the Steelers, Pittsburgh is soaring high at the top of offensive charts. They are second in passing and 13th in rushing all while averaging 27.6 points per game. Overall, they are the second best offense behind Colts right now. Their last three games have also gone comfortably OVER 45-points, including a 51-34 win over the Colts and 43-23 win over the Ravens. Indeed, the rate at which they are firing, namely Ben Roethlisberger who has six touchdowns in each of his last two appearances, you’d think the Steelers would alone account for most of these points on offer at sports betting exchanges. Take the OVER on your NFL picks.

Free NFL Pick: Over 45.5

Niners  vs. Saints O/U 49.0
A major chunk of the money coming down the wire on this game is going towards the OVER 49-point total set across sportsbooks, largely down to the Saints boasting a potent offense and recent outings that suggest the Saints are back to their lethal ways. Yet, the Niners’ defense isn’t being given enough credit here. It’s the second best defense overall, leaking just 22.3 points per game – it would have been lower had it not been heavily skewed by the 42-17 loss to the Broncos. Sportsbooks and the betting public are of the opinion the Saints offense is going to dictate the outcome of this game and not the Niners defense.

Truth be told, the Saints weren’t so convincing against the Panthers last week, so scrappy was the game from beginning to end. You can’t even read too much into the 44-33 win over the Packers either in week 8 NFL betting – the huge gap in defense between the Packers and Niners being the obvious reason why. Needless to say, the Niners defense has a shot against Drew Brees and his O-line, even at the Superdome where the hosts reign supreme through two seasons. Saints are just 2-1 in over-under betting this season at home. Niners are 3-5-0 in over-under betting this season and 2-2-0 in over-under betting on the road.

Free NFL Pick: Under 49.0


Titans  vs. Ravens O/U 44.0
Unanimously, the public is backing the UNDER in this game and we have to agree with such rare consensus in football betting circles. It’s not going out on a limb to suggest the Titans offense is going to stutter against the Ravens, producing little, if anything, meaningful on the scoreboard. The total is going to go OVER only if the Titans defense rolls over and allows Joe Flacco and Company to simply ride roughshod over them, which isn’t utterly unimaginable come to think of it.  That said the NFL betting trend that stands out: the UNDER has cashed in five of Tennessee’s last five games against Baltimore on the road. So we are backing the UNDER 44.0 on our NFL picks.

Free NFL Pick: Under 44.0


Broncos vs. Raiders O/U 49.0
Predictably, NFL odds makers have rolled out a high total on this game of 49-points, largely down to the potent Bronco’s offense. Denver is 6-2-0 in over-under betting this season while Oakland is 4-4-0 in over-under betting this season. Most recent trends have delivered the UNDER between this pair, mainly since 2012 when Peyton Manning started calling the shots at centre for the Broncos – which may surprise some casual NFL bettors, if nothing else. That said three of the last five Raiders games have gone OVER, all of which boasted above .500 opponents. It seems the Raiders play up to the opposition of late, particularly on the offensive side of the ball. What’s more, the Broncos are averaging 30.6-points per game. Surely, they can top that number against the worst team in the NFL this season.

Free NFL Pick: Over 49.0


Giants  vs. Seahawks O/U 44.5
Giants and Seahawks collide in week 10 NFL betting in a game that is tipped wholeheartedly towards the Seahawks. The totals set hover around the 44.5-point mark depending on your online sportsbook of choice. Both the Seahawks and Giants are 5-3-0 in over-under betting this season. Four of Giants’ last five games have hit the 50-point total or more, including last week’s 40-24 loss to the Colts (the highest combined score of the lot). The trend between these two outfits also points towards the OVER with four of Seattle’s last five games against New York going over prescribed totals.

Free NFL Pick: Over 44.5 at a trusty sportsbook like BookMaker


Rams  vs. Cardinals O/U 43.0
St. Louis Rams are after a 13-10 win over the Niners, their biggest road upset of the season that also marked their second straight UNDER in as many weeks of NFL betting. Overall, Rams are 4-4-0 in over-under betting, but just 1-3-0 in over-under betting on the road. Arizona Cardinals, by contrast, are 2-5-1 in over-under betting this season; generally, doing just enough to win games. They don’t blow opponents off the field, per se – four of their eight games have gone UNDER 40-points, two UNDER 45-points. Leaving two breaking the 45-point barrier – a 41-20 loss to Denver and a 30-20 win over Washington. The 43-point total seems appropriate given current NFL betting trends emerging in each camp, not least the UNDER seeming the way to go for your weekend NFL wagering thrills.

Free NFL Pick: Under 43.0

Bears  vs. Packers O/U 53.5
If this clash doesn’t produce a high-scoring affair, colour the NFL betting world shocked. Question is, though, if 53.5-points is way too high of a total to be setting? To the public, it appears not: almost 70% of public money is leaning towards the 53-point total being surpassed in this highly anticipated Sunday Night extravaganza. We’ve already had a preview of this clash in week 4 NFL betting, the 38-17 win by the Packers in Chicago surpassing 53.5-points. Indeed, seven of Green Bay’s eight games this season have hit the 50-point mark combined – the only anomaly is the 19-7 defeat to the Detroit Lions on the road – four of which have gone OVER 53.5-points. Green Bay are 7-1-0 in over-under betting this season while Chicago are 5-3-0. It’s a high total, no ifs or buts about it, but fitting if this matchup lives up the hype.

Free NFL Pick: Over 53.5  


Panthers  vs. Eagles  O/U 48.0
The Monday clash between the Panthers and Eagles is nestled on a 48-point total. Both the Panthers and Eagles have cashed on the OVER more often than not – the Panthers are 5-4-0 while the Eagles are 5-3-0 in over-under betting this season. The Eagles are 3-1-0 in over-under betting at home and Panthers are 3-1-0 in over-under betting on the road. To add to this conspicuous OVER betting trend, five of the last seven meetings between this pair have gone OVER, including their last three meetings in a row. Does this scream OVER for your NFL picks as it does ours?

Free NFL Pick: Over 48.0 

For more exciting NFL picks check out our Week 10 Teasers report.

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