NFL Betting Odds - Biggest Spreads & Picks For Week 7

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, October 23, 2016 2:29 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 23, 2016 2:29 PM UTC

My first losing record in weeks on the biggest spread picks in Week 6, as I hit on Bills (-7.5) vs.49ers but missed on Cincinnati and Pittsburgh covering. Here are three of the biggest Week 7 spreads on NFL odds.

 Houston Texans at Denver Broncos -8.5

The biggest spread of Week 7 is Cincinnati at -10 against Cleveland, but I previewed that game in depth here at SBR Forum so check it out. I'm glad, too, because I'm tired of addressing the Browns in this story each week! This year's Monday Night Football games have been terrible and usually blowouts with zero drama. That should change this Monday as it's a matchup of division leaders. Yet that's really secondary to the fact that Houston quarterback Brock Osweiler returns to Denver. He was groomed to be Peyton Manning's replacement under center but opted to leave the Super Bowl champions in free agency for more money in Houston. GM John Elway gave a not-so-subtle shot to Osweiler out the door, and there are rumors he was not popular at all in the Denver locker room. This week, Broncos linebacker Brandon Marshall said 'we want to kill him,' while adding the players had no ill will toward Osweiler. Yeah, and I have some magic beans to sell you if you believe that. Osweiler has been terrible in his two road starts this season in completing just 51.6 percent of his passes with one touchdown and two picks for a rating of 58.3 as the Texans were blown out in New England and Minnesota. Osweiler will get back talented rookie receiver Will Fuller this week after he sat out last Sunday's overtime win over Indianapolis. The Broncos have lost two straight as their offense has gone south. Head coach and offensive play-caller Gary Kubiak missed last Thursday's 21-13 loss in San Diego for health reasons, but he's back at work. Osweiler's temporary replacement in Denver, Trevor Siemian, is 2-0 at home despite one TD and three picks for a rating of 74.4.

NFL Free Pick: Hate to give that many points in what figures to be a low-scoring game, but the Broncos players really want to make Osweiler look bad. Take Denver. The Texans are 1-7 ATS in their past eight on Monday. Denver is 12-5 ATS in its past 17 after a loss.

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New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers +7.5 

This was one of the Top-5 matchups of the regular season when the schedule was released in April. New England was the preseason favorite to win the AFC title and Pittsburgh was No. 2. And they are still that way, with the Patriots are +125 on BetOnline, one of SBR's best sportsbooks, and the Steelers at +450. But this game lost a ton of prestige last Sunday when the Steelers were shockingly stomped at one-win Miami and lost quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, an early MVP betting favorite, to a torn meniscus. Big Ben is expected to miss anywhere from 4-6 weeks. Needless to say, that could put the Steelers' playoff hopes in some jeopardy and pretty much erases any chances of them getting the AFC's top seed over the Patriots. Landry Jones takes over under center. He started twice last year for an injured Roethlisberger and beat the Cardinals but lost to the Chiefs. In his brief career, the former Oklahoma star is 32-for-56 for 513 yards, three TDs, four picks and a rating of 76.0. Expect the Steelers to run the ball a ton behind their excellent 1-2 punch of Le'Veon Bell and DeAngelo Williams as long as Roethlisberger is out. That's fine, but the opposition knows that too.

NFL Free Pick: First time this century the Steelers are getting 7.5 points at home. I'm going to take them. They will lose close. The Patriots have covered just two of their past seven vs. teams with a winning record.

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San Diego Chargers at Atlanta Falcons -6.5 

As an aside, the total of 53.5 in this game is the highest by far in Week 7. And that should be the case as the Falcons' Matt Ryan leads the NFL in passing yards and is second in TD passes in running the NFL's No. 1 total (441.5 yards) and scoring offense (33.2 ppg). Top target Julio Jones leads the NFL with 656 yards and has caught 31 passes and four touchdowns. Chargers QB Philip Rivers is averaging 275.0 passing yards per game and has 12 touchdown passes for a rating of 105.9 that's fourth in the NFL. The Chargers are third in the NFL in scoring at 28.8 ppg. Both defenses leave much to be desired as the Falcons allow 27.7 points per game and the Bolts 25.8. San Diego  might have a slight advantage in that it played last Thursday, a 21-13 home upset of Denver. The Falcons blew a late lead in a 26-24 loss in Seattle on Sunday. They are 2-0 vs. the AFC West this year, winning 35-28 in Oakland and 23-16 in Denver. The Falcons have lost just once in nine all-time games in this series.

NFL Free Pick: Falcons (and 'over'). San Diego is 1-6 ATS in its past seven after a win.

All best lines offered by BetOnline, one of the top rated online sportsbooks!

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