The injury landscape for Week 7 is not immense, but there are some key injuries on both sides of the ball that could move the NFL Odds one way or another this week. Let’s take a look at the biggest injuries and check in to see if they are already having an impact on the lines.
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger’s knee injury is head and shoulders above any other injury this week when it comes to moving the NFL Odds and it’s weight on Sunday’s game. The Patriots are in town and are a touchdown favorite right now with Landry Jones set to start this week.
While the spread is likely settling down at -7 in favor of the Patriots, the total is where you might be able to find the value for this game. At only 45½ at shops like 5Dimes and BetOnline, an over play is not out of the question here.
We are looking very possibly at a preview of the AFC Championship game as long as Roethlisberger comes back healthy after two or three weeks. The Patriots know this and the Tom Brady F-U Tour continues this week against a suspect Pittsburgh secondary.
On top of all this is the still powerful Steelers offense. Sure, they don’t have 30-point upside without their starting quarterback and sure; the Pats’ defense is solid. However, if Jones can lead this offense to 20 points, I am pretty confident in saying the over has value.
Eddie Lacy, Green Bay Packers
Eddie Lacy went from questionable to doubtful to out really quickly on Tuesday and the Packers’ run game looks suspect coming into their battle with the Bears on Thursday Night Football. A short week makes this a volatile game already, but with the Packers secondary and rushing game banged up, the Bears don’t look bad here.
That was evidenced in the apparent big time money put on Chicago with the news of Lacy’s absence. After opening at -9 in favor of Green Bay and touching -10 ½ at 5Dimes earlier, the line is now down to -7 ½ at most sportsbooks.
Knile Davis looks like he might be the starting running back for Green Bay on Thursday.
Other notable injuries
The Ravens are going to be without Terrell Suggs and possibly Jimmy Smith for their game this week in New York. That could improve the Jets’ chances of scoring the ball, but we need to know who is starting at quarterback first.
The Bengals lost their center, Russell Bodine, to a leg injury after he was carted off the field on Sunday. Centers are an overlooked injury and with the Bengals’ offense struggling, they might be laying way too many points against a surprisingly valuable Browns team at -10 ½ at 5Dimes.