NFL Betting - Identifying Early Sharp Action In Week 15

Cleveland Browns Players

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, December 13, 2016 6:10 PM GMT

Offshore sportsbooks have seen money on four favorites early this week, with the Seahawks getting money against the Rams, the Packers, Bills, and Texans seeing sharp money. Let’s look at those four games and make a pick before any more money comes in on one of these popular chalks.

NFL OVERALL ATS PICKS RECORD: 75-55-3

 

Thursday, December 15, 2016Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks, 8:25 p.m. ESTOpen: Seahawks -13, Sunday (BetOnline)Tuesday Morning: Seahawks -15 +105 (5Dimes)

Definitely Sharps banging the lowly Seahawks (1-4 ATS L5 vs Rams)—the number went to 16 for some time at 5Dimes on Monday—early on in this which kicks off NFL Week 14 from CenturyLink Field (FieldTurf) in Seattle. And it’s probably for a combination of things including how bad the Rams (7-12 -1 ATS L20) looked in Week 14, their subsequent firing of Head Coach Jeff Fisher on Monday, the reality the Seahawks are so much better at Home as well as Seattle wanting to rebound after another embarrassing Road performance (Green Bay) in which Russell Wilson threw 5 Interceptions. When these two met in Week 2 in Lalaland in the Rams first Home game in their new home, Los Angeles won 9-3 (SEA -3½, 38) and the Under is 7-2 the L9 in this NFC West matchup. Although “Anything can happen on Thursday,” Seattle (Defense 17.8 ppg #3 NFL) should pummel the Rams here.

 

 

 

Sunday, December 18, 2016Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ESTOpen: Packers -5 -110, Sunday (BetOnline)Tuesday Morning: Packers -7 +110 (5Dimes)

Analysis: The money has been on the Packers early on in this historic NFL rivalry and NFC North matchup and it’s easy to see the Wiseguys like Aaron Rodgers (Calf) and Green Bay (4-1 ATS L5 vs. Bears) after the way the way it has been playing, especially Sunday vs. Seattle. And for some strange reason, nobody wants to bet on the Bears these days, even though they played well in Detroit in Week 13 and get WR Alshon Jeffery back from his Suspension and have covered 4 straight ATS. The Cheeseheads hibernated Chicago at Lambeau Field, 26-10 (GB -7, 47) earlier this Regular Season.

 

 

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills, 1 p.m. ESTOpen: Bills - 9½ -110, Sunday (BetOnline)Tuesday Morning: Bills -10½ +106 (5Dimes)

Analysis: Finally some early Wiseguy money Offshore fading the lowly Browns (7-21-1 ATS L29) in this AFC matchup from Buffalo where it will Cold and maybe white (Snow Showers, 27°, WNW Winds 10-20 mph) with the Polar Vortex slamming the upper half of the US.

 

 

And it makes perfect polar vortex sense with always-QB-searching Cleveland (L23-24 SU)—now experimenting with RG3—going 1-3 ATS L4 at Buffalo.

 

 

 

 

 

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ESTOpen: Texans -5½ -110, Sunday (BetOnline)Tuesday Morning: Patriots -7 +115 (5Dimes)

Analysis: Sharp Texans money has moved this Point Spread in AFC South matchup against the Jaguars (2-6 ATS L8) and it seems like smart money with Jacksonville devolving some, despite some decent play from their Defense. Houston  is one of three teams still unbeaten in Divisional play (Chiefs, Ravens), but why the big 130/1 odds to win the Super Bowl? Two things: The Jaguars play in the AFC South and Brock Osweiler would have to lead those troops at Valley Forge. The Texans won the first meeting in Jacksonville, 24-21 as 3-point Underdogs. Pick: Texans -6 -105 (Heritage)