NFL Betting - Identifying Early Sharp Action In Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles players in action

Wednesday, November 30, 2016 1:27 PM GMT

Three NFC matchups in NFL Week 13 have moved enough to warrant examination. Let’s look at this trio of games and offer up a couple steamy early week NFL picks.

 

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings

Open: Cowboys -2½ -110, Sunday (BetOnline)

Tuesday Morning: Cowboys -4 -115 (Bovada)

The Sharps and the General Public have both driven the opening odds on the Cowboys up in this week 13 NFC showdown from the new US Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on Thursday (NBC, Twitter) and with Dallas now 10-1 SU/ATS, sportsbooks may be pulling against Ezekiel Elliott and America’s Team from now until January...and maybe even February if they’re lucky.

 

 

But buyer beware as the Vikings are 8-1 ATS the L9 in this series and 6-0 ATS the L6 here in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. But this is a different Cowboys team these days and Minnesota (19.8 ppg) scores like it hurts. 

 

Free NFL Pick: Cowboys -3½ +102 Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Philadelphia Eagles vs Cincinnati Bengals

Open: Pick ‘em, Sunday (BetOnline)

Tuesday Morning: Eagles -1½ (JustBet)

No doubt a straight Sharp fade of the devolving and injured Bengals (L4 ATS) in this inter-conference matchup from Paul Brown Stadium next Sunday afternoon, and even with the Eagles coming off the short (6 Days) week (GB, MNF), it’s easy to see why with the Bengals (2-8 ATS L10) having only scored 12 and 14 points the L2 weeks although this line did hit 2½ Monday night so maybe some questions still with Philadelphia. Cincinnati (3 straight Unders) is beat-up, with superstar WR AJ Green (Hamstring) and RB Giovani Bernard (ACL) both out and WRs Marvin Jones (Detroit) and Mohamed Sanu (Atlanta) gone from the Bengals once feared Offense (#30, 3,404 Total Yards), this could go up again. 

 

 

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints

Open: Saints -4½, Sunday (BetOnline)

Tuesday Morning: Saints -5½ (Bovada)

Analysis: This Sharp-led line move on New Orleans (8-3 ATS) on this matchup Sunday from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome makes sense in that Detroit is a worse team on the Road (2-3 SU/ATS) than it is at Home and the Wiseguys have justifiably fallen in love with Drew Brees (95-70-6 ATS vs. Non-Division) the Saints. There will be points—the 3 of the L4 meetings between these two dome teams have gone Over with 62, 47, 48, 72 points having been put up—and Mother Nature can’t affect this game. The Saints are averaging a healthy 6.4 ypp while Detroit averages 5.8 ypp. 

 

Free NFL Pick: Over 53½ -106 Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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