NFL Betting Guide To Handicapping AFC's Top Offenses

Doug Upstone

Friday, July 15, 2016 6:33 PM UTC

Friday, Jul. 15, 2016 6:33 PM UTC

In order to win Super Bowls, you need a top quality defense, outstanding quarterback play and be peaking at the right time. NFL Betting and finding those elements is not always simple.

Because of the salary cap, it is close to impossible to dominate year after year, as numerous players go for the cash in free agency if they earned a ring, disrupting continuity. Plus, some years are different, like last season where Denver's defense carried an aging Peyton Manning to the finish line and took home the hardware.

While defense may win championships if you follow that line of thinking, for the most part, in the preceding games to reach that point, in today's NFL, it is the offense that allows teams to arrive in Big Game.

The most common factor about perennial Super Bowl contenders is top notch quarterback running-offense. If you have this, you can beat the NFL football odds. In the AFC, what teams have this key element?


Pittsburgh Steelers (+1100 to win Super Bowl LI at Heritage)
Ben Roethlisberger is a first-ballot Hall of Famer five years after he retires and if he can play 16 games, this group can roll. Pittsburgh's offense can move the ball and score on any defense and has the most diverse talent of running backs and receivers that are so explosive, they are a threat to take it to the house on any play. The Steelers are never out of any game with this contingent and if you are making NFL football picks, you are more concerned about the Pittsburgh defense than the offense when it comes to covering spreads.


New England Patriots (+800 at Bookmaker)
Some will complain the Patriots are only three games over .500 against the spread in all games the last four seasons (37-34-2). While that is not a good record, considering New England has been a heavy public betting team for over a decade, this record is pretty darn good considering the sportsbooks slant. Tom Brady has been driving this team since 2001 and while he might have to sit first four games, Bill Belichick will find ways to win early and when Terrific Tom returns, watch the fury rise.


Kansas City Chiefs (+2800 at Bovada)
After 1-4 start, Kansas City won 11 straight games (7-4 ATS) before falling to New England in the postseason. QB Alex Smith finally has useful weapons on the perimeter and with Jamaal Charles back, along RB's Charcandrik West and Spencer West, the Chiefs offense could be even more dynamic. Look for Kansas City to win the AL West (check current odds at BetDSI) and possibly go further into playoffs this upcoming year, with a defense that could be special.


Oakland Raiders (+4000 at Bet365)
For the first time in years, there is genuine promise surrounding the Oakland franchise. QB Derek Carr is ready to blossom into top flight signal caller and with offensive line upgrades, the 28th ranked running game is sure to improve. Having a revitalize Michael Crabtree and second-year pro Amari Cooper only makes the passing game stronger. The steady hand of coach Jack Del Rio added confidence to a young group and GM Reggie McKenzie has been left alone to do his job. The Raiders are sexy up and comer to reenter playoffs and they could well pull it off.


Wait and See On - Denver, Houston, Cincinnati and Baltimore

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