Odds makers are kind of sleeping on the Packers this summer; but due to some subtle -and crucial- moves on offense, this team could very well be a great value in our NFL picks.
The Packers had several disappointing story lines from 2012, and all were kind of interwoven. Their passing numbers were very good, but a reason for that was their lack of running game, ranked 20th in the NFL. Cedric Benson was not very effective, but now he is gone from Green Bay.
A big reason why the running game never really got going was the offensive line, which was ineffective and injured all throughout the season. On top of not run blocking very well, the pass protection was pretty bad also, as Aaron Rodgers was sacked 51 times in 2012. They are lucky he never sustained any big injuries a season ago, considering how many the Packers had. Green Bay had a total of 83 games lost due to injury last season, which was the most in the NFL. They only had eight players who started all 16 games.
Read more on how the Packers' preseason is shaping up with our Green Bay Season Win Total Odds!
The biggest question at this point in the offseason is their running game. They answered the bigger question of who, when they drafted Eddie Lacy and Jonathon Franklin in the 2nd and 4th rounds. Those two will likely fight for lead duties in training camp, but both will probably be used in a 60/40 like time share. Trusting a young running back(s) is hard, and if the Packers’ line problems aren’t solved, the running game will suffer again.
The Packers resigned starter, Evan Dietrich-Smith, and they drafted back-to-back o-linemen in David Bakhtiari and J.C Tretter in the 4th round. Those three moves were huge for this team, as depth was a major issue last season on their line. However if the injury bug comes biting for the line again, it could unravel what the Packers have built this summer. One missed block could mean the season if Rodgers gets hurt.
For more NFL betting info, read our full NFC North Offense Report here!
The loss of Greg Jennings was expected and is easily accounted for with all of the depth this team has at wide receiver. Their lack of moves in free agency is noted but doesn’t really apply to their grade on offense. Besides the running game and the depth problems, the offense was pretty much set already.
The Packers have done a very good job of accounting for their weaknesses this summer. If they can stay healthy, which is probably their main question mark, I love this team’s upside this season. I like the young running back combo they drafted, and of course, Rodgers will once again be one of the league’s best quarterbacks.
At this point in the offseason, before any of the flies start to drop, you have to look at the Packers in the offseason NFL odds. At +1400 to win the Super Bowl, they provide one of the best offseason NFL Picks for this summer, and their reloaded offense is a big reason for that.
My Grade: B+
Have a different opinion? Share it on our message boards!